AP/GfK Public Affairs & Corporate Communications: Clinton 48%, Trump 33%, Johnson 4%, Stein 1%, Undecided 11%
Alternative Universe (AP-GfK): While the AP/GfK poll has Donald Trump losing by over 14 points if the GOP could replace Trump with Mike Pence , Pence would be in a very tight race with Clinton and trail her by only 4 points.
FOX: Clinton is ahead of Trump by 44-41 percent
CNBC All-America Economic Survey: Clinton 46 Trump 37
Alternative Universe: Frank Luntz says his polling shows that if John Kasich was was the GOP nominee he would be crushing Hillary right now by 12 points, Marco Rubio would be winning by 8 points and Ted Cruz would be tied. The current RCP 4 way average has Donald Trump trailing Hillary Clinton by 5.4 points.
CA-Pres (Public Policy Institute of California): Are you tired of all this winning? Donald Trump is falling into uncharted low territory in the latest California public opinion polls. Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump 54 percent to 28 percent in the Golden State. This would be worst showing for Republican in state history. Trump is performing so poorly that he has California Republicans terrified of the down ballot consequences.
FL-Pres (Florida Atlantic University): Clinton 46%, Trump 43%
MA-Pres (Suffolk University/Boston Globe): Massachusetts is not a battleground state. Hillary Clinton 57 percent, Trump 25 percent, Gary Johnson 4 percent and Jill Stein 3 percent.
NE-2 (Congressional Leadership Fund/North Star Opinion Research): Donald Trump 44%, Hillary Clinton 40%, Gary Johnson 8% and Jill Stein 2%. This district would be Hillary’s best opportunity to pick up an electoral vote in Nebraska.
NH- Pres (NBC/WSJ/Marist battlegrounds): Clinton 45, Trump 36, Johnson 10, Stein 4
NV- Pres (NBC/WSJ/Marist battlegrounds): Trump 43% Clinton 43% Johnson 10%
NV-Early Voting: With only a few rural counties missing Democrats have built 26,500 early voting lead statewide. That’s 45 percent to 36 percent, the same percentage lead and 3,500 raw votes more than they had at this point in 2012 and about 3 points above the actual registration difference.
TX-Pres (Crosswind Media & Public Relations and Pulse Opinion Research): Trump 45% , 38% for Clinton, Johnson 7% and 10% Not Sure.
TX-Pres (University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll): Trump 45%, Hillary 42%, Johnson 7%, Someone else 5% and Stein 2%. Mitt Romney won Texas by over 16 points in 2012.
UT-Pres (Rasmussen): Trump 32%, McMullin 29%, Clinton 28%, Johnson 4%
CA-Sen (Public Policy Institute of California): Democrat Kamala Harris leads Democrat Rep. Loretta Sanchez 42 percent to 20 percent in the top two runnoff. 18 percent of voters who said they would not cast a ballot in a race between two Democrats.
FL-Sen (Florida Atlantic University): Rubio (R): 46, Murphy (D) 42%
LA-Sen (Southern Media & Opinion Research): State Treasurer John Kennedy (R) 22%, Public Service Commissioner Foster Campbell (D) 16%, Rep. Charles Boustany (R) 14%, Caroline Fayard (D) 12%, Rep. John Fleming (R) 9% for the jungle primary in which the top two finishers advance to the runoff.
MA-Sen ’18 (Suffolk University/Boston Globe): Sen. Elizabeth Warren would lead former Rex Sox Pitcher Curt Schilling 58 percent to 24 percent in a hypothetical Senate match-up.
NH-Sen (Mammouth): Sen. Kelly Ayotte (R) 46% and Democrat Maggie Hassan 46%
NH- Sen (NBC/WSJ/Marist battlegrounds): Ayotte 48%, Hassan 47%
NV- Sen (NBC/WSJ/Marist battlegrounds): Heck 49, Masto 42
UT-Sen (Rasmussen): Mike Lee 56%, Misty Snow’s 26%, Independent candidate Bill Barron 4%, Independent American Party candidate Stoney Fonua 3%, some other candidate in the race 3%, and 8% are undecided.
NE-2 ( Congressional Leadership Fund/North Star Opinion Research): This is essentially a GOP internal and finds Retired Brig. Gen. Don Bacon (R) 48% and incumbent Democratic Rep. Brad Ashford 44%
NY-19 (End Citizens United/PPP): A PPP Democrat internal for End Citizens United finds zany Professor Zeyphr Teachout (D) leading Republican John Faso 44% to 41%. Take this poll with a giant heaping of salt. They had to use a sample in which only 40% voted for Romney in 2012 and need 15% undecided to get Teachout a lead in this D+1 district.
NH-Gov (Mammouth): Van Ostern 48%, Sununu 43%
VT-Gov: We don’t have a poll yet, but check back tomorrow at 11 AM for RRHelection’s poll of Vermont!
State, Local & Other:
CA-Ballot Prop (Public Policy Institute of California): Proposition 64, a measure to legalize Marijuana in California led with 55 percent supporting it and 38 percent opposed. Proposition 56, which would drastically raise taxes on cigarette, has the backing of 56 percent of voters with 38 percent saying they planned to vote against the tax. Proposition 55, an extension of a tax on wealthy residents, which has 59 percent support. But Proposition 51, a $9 billion school bond, is struggling. The poll found 46 percent of voters supportive of the bond and 41 percent against it.
MA-Ballot Prop (Suffolk University/Boston Globe): Question 1 to add one more slot machine establishment in Massachusetts Yes 29%, No 56%. Question 2 to expand the number of charter schools in the state Yes 45%, No 45%. Question 3 to prohibit any confinement of farm pigs, calves, and hens that prevents them from lying down, standing up, fully extending their limbs, or turning around freely Yes 62%, No 24%. Question 4 legalize marijuana Yes 48.8%, No 42.4%
NV-Ballot Prop (KTNV-TV 13 Action News/Rasmussen Reports): 59 percent of Nevada voters support Question 1, which would require all firearm sales and transfers to go through a licensed firearm dealer and have the buyer undergo a mandatory background check. Thirty-four percent of voters said they opposed the measure, with seven percent unsure. Question 2, which would legalize recreational use and possession of marijuana, was supported by 53 percent of voters while 41 percent opposed it, with six percent not sure.