Today we finish taking stock of the insane dump of pre-debate polls (by my count, around ~35 polls dropped between 6PM Sunday and 6PM Monday). Odds are the rate of poll releases will slow down for the next few days as pollsters likely don’t want a survey spanning both sides of last night’s debate.
And in case you missed it THIS is the best highlight reel that we have been able to find of last night’s debate.
Breitbart/Gravis: Clinton won the debate 48-43 in an electorate that supported Trump by 5.
PPP: Clinton won the debate 51-40.
YouGov: Clinton won the debate 57-30.
NBC/SurveyMonkey: Clinton 45 Trump 40 Johnson 10 Stein 3
Monmouth: Clinton 46 Trump 42 Johnson 8 Stein 2
Bloomberg/Selzer: Trump 43 Clinton 41 Johnson 8 Stein 4
Quinnipiac: Clinton 41 Trump 39 Johnson 13 Stein 4
50 States: UPI/CVoter has online polls of all 50 states; the national results have Clinton up 48-47.
President-States & Senate:
Arizona: Data Orbital has Trump leading Clinton 40-38 with Johnson at 9.
Colorado: CNN/ORC has Trump up 42-41 in Colorado. Sen. Michael Bennet (D) leads El Paso County commissioner Darryl Glenn (R) 55-43.
Florida: A poll for the Florida Chamber of Commerce has Clinton leading Trump 43-41 while Sen. Rubio (R) leads Rep. Murphy (D) 46-42.
Iowa: Loras has Clinton and Trump tied at 38 while Sen. Chuck Grassley (R) leads ex-LG Patty Judge (D) 54-37.
Louisiana: JMC Analytics for Rep. John Fleming (R) has Trump up 45-35. But more importantly they show this Senate jungle primary as deeply chaotic, with Rep. Charles Boustany (R) and Public Service Commissioner Foster Campbell (D) tied at 15, Fleming at 14, Treasurer John Kennedy (R) at 12, and 2010 LG nominee Caroline Fayard (D) at 11.
Massachusetts: YouGov, UMass Amherst, and WBZ-TV has Clinton leading Trump 47-34. If you haven’t looked at it already scroll down to the first word cloud on page 6.
Minnesota #1: SurveyUSA for KSTP-TV has Clinton leading Trump 46-39 with Johnson at 6 and Stein at 2.
Minnesota #2: Gravis/Breitbart has Clinton and Trump tied at 43 with Johnson at 4 and Stein at 2.
New Hampshire: ARG has Clinton leading 46-42 Head to Head. They have the Senate race with Sen. Kelly Ayotte (R) and Gov. Maggie Hassan (D) at 47. The Governor race has Chris Sununu (R) leading fellow Executive Councilor Colin Van Ostern (D) 45-44.
New York: Marist has Clinton leading Trump 52-31 with Johnson at 7 and Stein at 5.
North Carolina #1 : High Point University has Clinton up 43-42 with Johnson at 10, Sen. Richard Burr (R) leading ex-State Rep. Deborah Ross (D) 45-43, and AG Roy Cooper (D) leading Gov. Pat McCrory (R) 50-41.
North Carolina #2: Breitbart/Gravis has Clinton up 44-43 while Ross leads Burr 49-38 (!/?)
North Carolina #3: Meredith College has Clinton leading Trump 38-35, while Ross leads Burr by the same margin. McCrory leads Cooper 41-39.
Ohio: TargetSmart and William & Mary have Clinton leading Trump 40-37. Sen. Rob Portman (R) leads ex-Gov. Ted Strickland (D) 47-32.
Pennsylvania #1: Harper has Clinton leading Trump 45-43 with Johnson at 8. Sen. Pat Toomey (R) and Gov. Wolf CoS Katie McGinty (D) are tied at 42.
Pennsylvania #2: CNN/ORC has Clinton up 45-44 with Johnson at 6 and Stein at 3. McGinty leads Toomey 49-46.
Pennsylvania #3: Mercyhurst has Clinton leading Trump 42-41 while Toomey leads McGinty 43-42.
Pennsylvania #4: Breitbart/Gravis has Clinton leading Trump 46-43 while McGinty leads Toomey 43-39.
Virginia: Christopher Newport University has Clinton leading Trump 39-33 with Johnson taking 15 (!).
AZ-2: An internal for Rep. Martha McSally (R) has her up 56-37 on ex-State Rep. Matt Heinz (D).
IA-3: An internal for Rep. David Young (R) from the Tarrance Group has him up 52-37 on 2014 IA-4 nominee Jim Mowrer (D) for this Des Moines area seat.
VA-10: An internal for businesswoman Luann Bennett (D) has her trailing Rep. Barbara Comstock (R) 45-41 in this light-red suburban DC-based seat.
State & Local:
WV-Gov, WV-AG: GHY for State Rep. and AG Candidate Doug Reynolds (D) has a survey of the Gov and AG races. Billionaire businessman Jim Justice (D) leads State Sen. Bill Cole (R) 46-33, while AG Patrick Morrisey (R) leads Reynolds 37-36.
VA-Gov ’17, etc.: POS has a survey of next year’s primaries for statewide offices in VA. Ex-RNC chair Ed Gillespie (R) has a clear lead with 38%, far outpacing Rep. Rob Wittman (R) at 12, Prince William CE Corey Stewart (R) at 5, and State Sen. Frank Wagner (R) at 4. The winner will face LG Ralph Northam (D). The survey also tested the LG and AG primaries and find a ton of undecideds: State Sen. Jill Vogel (R) leads State Rep. Glenn Davis (R) 13-12 with State Sen. Bryce Reeves (R) trailing at 8. For AG, State Rep. Rob Bell (R) leads prosecutor John Adams (R) 16-11.