New York State has made its Presidential Primary election results official. On the Republican side, Donald Trump won NYC with 63.4% of the vote. John Kasich came in second with 21.9%, followed by Ted Cruz at 13.8%. Note that these calculations and the data included results for Ben Carson even though his votes were not counted for the purposes of determining whether a candidate exceeded the 50% threshhold to take all delegates. Carson received 0.95% of the Republican primary vote citywide. In total, 116,650 New York City residents voted in the Republican Presidential Primary (not counting undervotes).
On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton won with 63.3% of the vote over Bernie Sanders. 995,806 New York City residents voted in the Democratic Presidential Primary.
Fortunately, New York City released precinct-level results and has made available a precinct shapefile, which allows me to make precinct-level maps. I have exported these maps to CartoDB.com, which allows you to zoom to a particular precinct and click to get further info. The CartoDB.com precinct winner maps are available here:
2016 NYC Republican Presidential Primary Results by Precinct
2016 NYC Democratic Presidential Primary Results by Precinct
The precinct-level maps tell the story of how various religious, ethnic and socioeconomic groups voted for President. Note that precincts with no votes are in white. Ties are in dark grey in the Republican map and light grey in the Democratic map.
John Kasich won Manhattan, with 44.8% of the vote. Donald Trump was a close second at 41.1%. Ted “New York Values” Cruz was a distant third at 13.2%. Carson got 0.93% of the vote. Carson was on the ballot, but his votes did not count because he withdrew after the deadline.
On a micro level, Kasich won most of the tonier Upper East Side precincts west of Second Avenue, while Trump was more competitive east of Second Avenue. Kasich also won most precincts in the Upper West Side, the West Village, Tribeca and Battery Park City. Results in Uptown, minority-heavy areas like Harlem and Washington Heights were more mixed – though few Republican primary votes were cast in those areas. Cruz even won some precincts there and in Chinatown.
27,217 votes were cast for Republican candidates in Manhattan, second of the boroughs behind Queens.
Donald Trump cleaned up on Staten Island, winning 81.4% of the borough’s vote. Kasich came in a very distant second with 10.2%, followed by Cruz at 7.9% and Carson at 0.47%, his worst showing in any borough.
There wasn’t much regional variation on Staten Island. Trump performed a little worse on the North Shore where there are more minorites, but won every precinct except a couple less populated precincts that were ties or Cruz wins.
26,432 votes were cast for Republican candidates in Staten Island, third of the five boroughs.
The map is of Brooklyn and Queens because Queens is so large that it encircles Brooklyn, and making separate maps would be superfluous.
First, Brooklyn. Donald Trump won Brooklyn with just about the same percentage that he won the city, 63.5%. Ted Cruz overperformed in Brooklyn, coming in second at 19.4%. Kasich came in third at 16.0%, followed by Carson at 1.04%.
On the neighborhood level, Ted Cruz won neighborhoods with a lot of Orthodox Jewish voters, like Midwood and Williamsburg. John Kasich won some precincts in the richer, white areas like Brooklyn Heights and Park Slope, while Donald Trump won most of the rest of the white neighborhoods of South Brooklyn where ethnic white voters live. Like in Upper Manhattan, who won heavily minority neighborhoods was a bit of a coin flip, likely because of the lack of Republican primary voters there.
25,078 votes were cast for Republican candidates in Brooklyn, a close fourth of the five boroughs.
The pattern in Queens pretty much followed Brooklyn. Trump won it with 66.8% of the vote. Kasich came in second in this less Orthodox Jewish borough with 17.8%. Cruz came in third with 14.3%, followed by Carson at 1.11%.
Queens was Trump territory almost everywhere. Kasich did win some precincts that include the newly built luxury apartment buildings in Long Island City, and Cruz won some of the few Orthodox Jewish areas of the borough, like Far Rockaway.
30,754 votes were cast for Republican candidates in Queens, the most of any borough.
Donald Trump won the Bronx, taking 61.0% of the vote there. Cruz and Kasich were neck-and-neck for second, with 16.2% and 16.0%, respectively. The heavily-minority Bronx was Ben Carson’s best borough. He received 1.77% of the vote there.
Like in the other boroughs, results in the heavily minority areas of the Bronx were mixed, with few votes and many ties, especially in African-American areas. Donald Trump won most of the few white ethnic areas of the Bronx, like Country Club, Pelham Bay and Woodlawn. Trump generally won areas of non-Orthodox Jewish Riverdale, but by a lesser margin than the white Christian ethnic areas of the borough.
Only 7,169 votes were cast for Republican candidates in the Bronx, by far the least of any borough.
Hillary Clinton won 66.0% of the vote in Manhattan. She won practically every precinct in the borough, except for a few in Morningside Heights near Columbia University, and in the East Village/Alphabet City.
289,000 votes were cast for the two Democratic candidates in Manhattan, second of the five boroughs.
Hillary Clinton won 59.1% of the Brooklyn vote. Unlike Manhattan, the Brooklyn precinct map isn’t a near clean Clinton sweep. Bernie Sanders won precincts in trendy hipster neighborhoods like Williamsburg and Greenpoint, and white ethnic South Brooklyn neighborhoods like Dyker Heights. As you might expect, some of Clinton’s best neighborhoods were in the African-American parts of the borough, like East New York. She also seems to have done relatively well with Democratic Orthodox Jewish voters in South Brooklyn.
307,541 votes were cast for the two Democratic candidates in Brooklyn, the most of the five boroughs.
Hillary Clinton won 61.7% of the Queens vote, slightly higher than her Brooklyn percentage. Precinct-level patterns were similar, with Clinton doing best in the heavily African-American areas of the borough near JFK Airport, and Sanders doing well or winning some of the white Christian ethnic neighborhoods like Astoria, Middle Village, and Ridgewood. The heavily non-Orthodox Jewish neighborhood of Forest Hills seems to have voted for Clinton.
214,274 votes were cast for the two Democratic candidates in Queens, third of the five boroughs.
Hillary Clinton won 69.6% of the Bronx vote, her best borough. This is not surprising, given it is the most heavily minority borough, and Clinton tends to do better with minority voters than white voters. Save for heavily non-Orthodox Jewish Riverdale in the Northwest Bronx, the Sanders win map pretty much looks like a map of where Bronx non-Hispanic whites live – Woodlawn in the north central part of the borough, Morris Park and the eastern Sound Shore. But Clinton managed to win some precincts in those areas, too.
151,908 votes were cast for the two Democratic candidates in the Bronx, fourth of the five boroughs, but well ahead of Staten Island.
Staten Island was Bernie Sanders’ best borough, with Hillary Clinton only winning 53.2% of the borough’s vote. The precinct map shows a bit of a North-South divide, with areas north of the Staten Island Expressway more likely to go to Clinton than areas south. But Clinton did manage to win a few precincts in the non-Hispanic whiter areas south of the Expressway, too.
Only 33,083 votes were cast for the two Democratic candidates in Staten Island, dead last by a mile, but still more than the Republican votes cast there.
For those who are interested in I have also made heat maps for the percentage of the vote received by each candidate in each precinct:
Republicans: (Trump, Kasich, Cruz, Carson)
Democrats: (Clinton, Sanders)
I have also made maps of the total votes cast in each precinct. The Republican Primary votes cast map is basically a map of where the white ethnics live in NYC, with parts of upper crust Manhattan thrown in for good measure. Those maps are available here: (Republican, Democratic)