Congressional districts ranked by PVI.

All congressional districts ranked by PVI. Note that my PVI formula is 1/2 weight for 2016, 1/3 for 2012, and 1/6 for 2008. Results are posted for 2-party republican votes. Racial data and communities also included

hispanicblackasianwhite200820122016PVI index community
26.4%5.2%1.9%64.1%TX-13Thornberry, Mac77.8%81.3%82.5%83.1%Amarillo/Wichita Falls
37.5%3.5%1.0%56.6%TX-11Conaway, Michael76.8%80.2%80.3%81.5%Midland/San Angelo
12.5%7.2%1.0%77.5%GA-09Collins, Doug75.5%79.2%80.1%80.9%Gainesville/NE Georgia
6.0%6.8%0.5%84.0%AL-04Aderholt, Rob74.2%75.7%82.2%80.5%Gadsden/Muscle Shoals/Cullman
0.9%1.6%0.3%96.1%KY-05Rogers, Hal67.8%76.4%82.0%79.6%London/Morehead/Pikeville
3.5%2.1%0.6%91.8%TN-01Roe, Phil71.0%73.9%79.6%78.1%Kingsport/Morristown
12.0%1.0%1.7%81.8%UT-01Bishop, Rob69.7%79.1%76.3%78.0%Ogden/Park City
9.8%0.7%1.9%83.0%UT-03Chaffetz, Jason69.6%80.1%75.5%77.8%Provo/Moab
20.9%7.9%2.9%66.1%TX-08Brady, Kevin73.7%78.0%75.3%77.7%The Woodlands/Huntsville
9.2%4.0%1.5%74.6%OK-03Lucas, Frank72.9%73.9%77.9%77.5%Stillwater/Yukon/Guymon
13.6%10.1%0.8%72.4%TX-04Ratcliffe, John70.7%74.9%77.6%77.4%Sherman/Denison/Texarkana
11.0%9.6%0.9%77.4%GA-14Graves, Tom71.9%74.3%77.2%77.2%Rome/Hiram/Dalton
11.1%1.1%0.6%85.0%NE-03Smith, Adrian68.4%71.4%78.9%76.5%Grand Island/Scottsbluff
35.6%5.7%1.3%55.3%TX-19Arrington, Jodey71.7%74.6%75.5%76.4%Lubbock/Abilene
4.9%14.4%1.9%77.2%AL-06Palmer, Gary74.8%75.1%73.1%75.8%Birmingham suburbs
24.2%9.0%1.9%62.5%TX-36Babin, Brian69.7%74.0%74.1%75.1%Houston/Baytown
16.8%18.3%1.0%62.6%TX-01Gohmert, Louie69.7%72.3%74.1%74.5%Tyler/Lufkin
9.8%1.0%0.9%84.0%WY-ALCheney, Liz66.6%71.2%75.7%74.5%Wyoming ALL
9.1%13.4%2.5%71.9%LA-01Scalise, Steve74.2%72.5%72.0%74.4%New Orleans/Hammond/Houma
15.5%2.9%1.4%77.2%KS-01Marshall, Roger68.4%71.8%74.0%74.2%Salina/Hutchinson/Garden City
3.7%4.4%1.0%89.0%TN-06Black, Diane66.0%70.1%75.4%73.9%Cookeville/Lebanon/Hendersonville
1.8%4.9%0.7%90.4%MO-08Smith, Jason61.0%67.3%78.2%73.5%Cape Girardeau/Rolla/West Plains
5.0%3.4%0.6%64.6%OK-02Mullin, Markwayne65.7%67.8%76.2%73.5%Muskogee/Miami/Durant
4.8%2.1%1.2%88.7%MO-07Long, Billy64.1%69.1%74.0%72.5%Springfield/Joplin
2.9%6.9%0.5%87.5%KY-01Comer, James62.5%67.4%75.2%72.3%Paducah/Hopkinsville
3.6%23.7%1.1%69.2%MS-04Palazzo, Steven68.6%68.4%71.1%71.6%Gulfport/Hattiesburg
6.2%13.4%2.6%73.6%FL-01Gaetz, Matt67.6%69.5%70.5%71.5%Pensacola/Crestview
0.9%3.9%0.4%93.2%WV-03Jenkins, Evan56.8%66.5%75.7%71.3%Huntington/Beckley
18.0%1.7%1.4%75.3%AZ-04Gosar, Paul65.1%68.4%71.1%71.0%Kingman/Prescott/Yuma/Apache Junction
10.4%0.3%1.1%85.1%ID-01Labrador, Raul64.0%66.8%71.5%70.5%Nampa/Meridian/Coeur d’Alene
5.8%8.1%1.5%81.1%TN-04DesJarlais, Scott63.6%66.4%71.5%70.3%Murfreesboro/Cleveland
8.4%6.8%2.1%71.2%OK-04Cole, Tom66.1%67.1%69.9%70.2%Norman/Lawton
2.4%4.3%0.6%91.3%IL-15Shimkus, John56.4%65.2%74.3%70.1%Danville/Effingham/Fairfield
3.6%24.9%1.5%68.0%LA-0365.3%67.2%69.7%70.0%Lafayette/Lake Charles
4.9%10.3%1.7%80.8%TN-07Blackburn, Marsha63.2%66.6%70.5%69.8%Franklin/Clarksville
3.8%6.5%1.6%86.4%TN-02Duncan, John65.0%68.5%68.7%69.8%Knoxville
4.3%24.3%2.2%67.5%LA-06Graves, Garret68.6%67.4%67.6%69.5%Baton Rouge
4.3%18.1%0.7%74.7%SC-03Duncan, Jeff64.4%65.5%69.8%69.3%Anderson/Greenwood
3.3%5.1%1.2%87.5%KY-02Guthrie, Brett62.3%64.3%71.0%69.1%Bowling Green/Owensboro
3.3%19.4%1.8%73.8%TN-08Kustoff, David64.7%66.8%68.4%69.1%Memphis/Jackson
2.0%5.7%1.1%89.7%VA-09Griffith, Morgan59.7%64.3%71.6%69.0%Blacksburg/Martinsburg/Abingdon
2.1%2.8%0.5%93.0%PA-09Schuster, Bill58.6%63.6%72.0%68.8%Altoona/Uniontown/Chambersburg
1.3%2.6%0.9%93.7%WV-01McKinley, David57.7%63.7%72.0%68.7%Morgantown/Wheeling/Parkersburg
13.8%3.0%2.6%76.1%AR-03Womack, Steve65.3%67.5%67.0%68.7%Fayetteville/Fort Smith
5.8%24.7%2.0%64.7%FL-02Dunn, Neal64.3%65.5%68.4%68.6%Tallahassee/Panama City
16.1%1.1%2.4%76.0%UT-02Stewart, Chris60.4%70.0%66.3%68.3%Salt Lake City/St. George
3.0%3.1%0.9%90.7%KY-04Massie, Thomas62.4%64.6%69.0%68.2%Covington/Ashland
5.2%24.2%1.9%66.1%GA-03Ferguson, Drew65.8%66.6%66.2%68.1%Columbus/Newnan/Griffin
22.6%8.8%3.5%62.5%TX-12Granger, Kay64.6%67.8%65.8%68.1%Fort Worth/Weatherford
3.5%11.0%1.2%82.4%TN-03Fleischmann, Chuck62.2%64.3%68.4%67.8%Chattanooga
5.0%17.1%1.4%73.1%AL-05Brooks, Mo63.3%64.7%67.3%67.6%Huntsville/Florence
2.2%3.6%0.7%90.9%MO-03Luetkemeyer, Blaine56.6%63.2%70.5%67.6%Jefferson City/St. Peters
17.8%6.3%5.6%67.0%TX-26Burgess, Michael64.6%68.8%63.9%67.5%Denton/Lewisville/Keller
2.2%2.9%1.3%92.1%IN-06Messer, Luke55.8%61.8%71.2%67.3%Muncie/Columbus/Greenfield
15.9%1.5%2.8%76.1%UT-04Love, Mia57.8%69.0%65.5%67.2%West Jordan/Nephi
8.2%13.3%4.6%71.2%FL-04Rutherford, John64.8%66.8%64.3%67.1%Jacksonville suburbs
10.7%8.4%2.3%65.6%OK-01Bridenstine, Jim64.2%65.8%65.2%67.1%Tulsa
3.3%6.1%1.8%86.5%OH-08Davidson, Warren61.3%63.0%68.0%67.0%Hamilton/Springfield
3.2%30.6%1.1%63.3%AL-02Roby, Martha64.8%63.3%66.4%66.9%Montgomery/Dothan
10.8%16.7%3.4%67.2%GA-11Loudermilk, Barry64.9%68.0%63.1%66.8%Marietta/Canton
3.0%25.9%1.4%67.7%AL-03Rogers, Mike D.63.1%62.9%67.0%66.8%Auburn/Oxford
3.5%4.7%1.4%86.9%MO-04Hartzler, Vicki57.4%62.7%69.0%66.8%Columbia/Lebanon/Belton
3.1%18.2%0.3%76.5%AR-01Crawford, Rick59.7%62.7%68.3%66.8%Jonesboro/Mountain Home
5.5%19.9%0.6%71.9%AR-04Westerman, Bruce61.6%63.3%67.2%66.8%Hot Springs/Pine Bluff/El Dorado
5.8%5.8%2.2%83.6%IN-03Banks, Jim56.6%63.6%68.4%66.7%Fort Wayne/Warsaw
3.0%27.2%0.6%67.6%MS-01Kelly, Trent63.0%62.6%66.9%66.6%Tupelo/Memphis suburbs
13.8%1.0%1.7%80.3%ID-02Simpson, Mike62.0%65.9%64.7%66.5%Boise/Twin Falls/Idaho Falls
27.6%15.6%2.5%52.2%TX-05Hensarling, Jeb62.6%65.2%64.6%66.3%Dallas/Mesquite/Palestine
1.7%4.4%0.6%90.9%WV-02Mooney, Alex55.5%61.2%69.1%66.0%Charleston/Elkins/Martinsburg
4.0%3.5%0.8%90.1%PA-10Marino, Tom57.2%61.0%68.6%66.0%Williamsport
2.8%2.0%1.2%86.8%ND-ALCramer, Kevin54.4%60.1%69.8%65.9%North Dakota ALL
0.9%2.4%0.5%94.7%OH-06Johnson, Bill54.3%56.4%72.2%65.8%Steubenville/Marrieta
5.9%3.6%2.7%85.7%IN-04Rokita, Todd54.9%62.3%68.0%65.7%Lafayette/Kokomo
2.0%35.6%0.7%60.1%LA-05Abraham, Ralph62.8%61.8%65.1%65.4%Monroe/Alexandria
3.1%27.8%1.4%65.3%AL-01Byrne, Bradley61.3%62.3%65.2%65.4%Mobile
5.9%30.6%1.2%60.5%GA-08Scott, Austin62.0%62.2%64.8%65.3%Warner Robins/Valdosta
11.8%6.9%3.3%74.3%KS-04Pompeo, Mike59.7%63.1%64.6%65.1%Wichita
8.3%19.3%2.2%68.3%SC-04Gowdy, Trey61.6%63.2%63.6%64.9%Greenville/Spartenburg
3.7%4.0%1.2%88.5%MO-06Graves, Sam56.2%61.3%66.6%64.9%St. Joseph/Kirksville
3.6%11.9%2.4%80.2%MD-01Harris, Andy60.8%61.5%64.9%64.9%Eastern Maryland/Bel Air
4.9%26.5%2.1%64.9%GA-10Hice, Jodi60.9%63.3%63.1%64.6%Athens/Milledgeville
18.6%2.6%4.5%70.8%AZ-05Biggs, Andy63.3%64.8%61.2%64.6%Mesa/Gilbert/Chandler
9.3%8.2%1.2%78.8%FL-11Nugent, Rich56.8%59.8%66.6%64.5%Spring Hill/The Villages
5.9%3.3%1.3%86.3%NC-11Meadows, Mark57.9%60.4%65.3%64.3%Western Appalachians
38.0%7.0%4.7%46.5%CA-23McCarthy, Kevin62.9%63.0%61.7%64.1%Bakersfield/Porterville/Lancaster
1.9%4.1%1.0%91.1%IN-08Bucshon, Larry51.3%59.6%67.6%64.1%Evansville/Terre Haute
3.1%5.1%0.9%88.0%OH-04Jordan, Jim55.5%57.1%67.7%64.0%Lima/Fremont/Marysville
2.7%3.4%2.6%89.3%IL-18LaHood, Darin55.2%61.9%64.5%63.9%Peoria/Bloomington/Quincy
15.4%5.1%2.6%72.0%CO-05Lamborn, Doug59.7%60.7%63.3%63.6%Colorado Springs
3.4%1.7%1.3%83.2%SD-ALNoem, Kristi54.3%59.2%66.0%63.6%South Dakota ALL
2.0%35.2%1.1%60.1%MS-03Harper, Gregg61.3%60.5%62.5%63.5%Jackson suburbs/Meridian
19.1%5.0%3.4%69.4%AZ-08Franks, Trent61.2%62.6%61.1%63.4%Peoria/Surprise/Goodyear/Anthem
38.1%1.0%1.5%55.0%WA-04Newhouse, Dan60.0%61.2%62.3%63.4%Kennewick/Yakima
51.5%5.2%1.5%40.3%TX-27Farenthold, Blake59.6%61.3%62.2%63.3%Corpus Christi/Victoria
4.8%10.8%1.9%80.5%VA-06Goodlatte, Bob58.3%60.1%63.1%63.1%Roanoke/Lynchburg/Harrisonburg
4.0%33.5%0.8%58.7%LA-0459.6%59.8%62.3%62.9%Shreveport
14.7%8.9%13.7%59.6%TX-03Johnson, Sam62.2%65.3%57.4%62.7%Plano/Frisco/McKinney
21.7%1.5%1.9%72.4%CO-04Buck, Ken57.4%59.9%62.6%62.6%Greeley/Longmont/Parker/E. Colorado
5.9%11.8%1.4%78.8%NC-10McHenry, Patrick58.0%59.1%62.8%62.6%Gastonia/Asheville
19.2%8.3%1.6%68.9%FL-17Rooney, Tom55.5%58.2%64.0%62.5%Port Charlotte
5.8%1.8%2.7%88.0%WI-05Sensenbrenner, Jim57.8%61.9%60.6%62.4%Waukesha/Watertown
19.1%7.8%1.4%70.6%FL-19Rooney, Francis57.3%61.0%61.4%62.4%Cape Coral/Naples
3.2%2.4%1.7%90.7%MI-10Mitchell, Paul51.0%55.9%66.9%62.4%St. Clair/Shelby/Thumb area
2.0%2.3%1.6%92.4%PA-05Thompson, Glenn52.2%57.9%65.0%62.3%State College/DeBois
2.6%2.6%2.2%90.1%MN-06Emmer, Tom55.9%57.7%64.0%62.3%St. Cloud/Elk River/Blaine/Waconia
3.2%2.8%2.2%89.8%IN-09Hollingsworth, Trey53.3%58.4%64.1%62.2%Louisville suburbs/Bloomington
7.9%18.5%0.8%69.8%NC-03Jones, Walter57.3%59.0%62.3%62.2%Jacksonville/Kill Devil Hills
4.3%1.3%0.7%89.8%MN-07Peterson, Collin51.7%55.0%66.6%62.1%Moorhead/Bemidji/Marshall
24.6%13.0%4.5%55.8%TX-17Flores, Bill58.6%61.6%59.2%61.7%Waco/College Station
2.3%3.8%0.6%90.9%OH-07Gibbs, Bob52.0%54.9%65.6%61.6%Canton Suburbs/Amish country
23.8%19.7%3.1%51.6%TX-14Weber, Randy57.6%60.0%60.2%61.5%Galveston/Beaumont
5.4%23.0%1.9%67.0%SC-02Wilson, Joe60.2%60.0%59.3%61.5%Columbia/Aiken
31.2%2.5%5.7%55.6%CA-50Hunter, Duncan59.8%61.6%58.0%61.3%Santee/Escondido/Temecula
2.1%4.5%1.0%90.4%PA-03Kelly, Mike53.0%56.4%63.5%61.2%Erie/Butler/New Castle
3.0%2.8%0.9%91.3%NY-27Collins, Chris55.1%56.3%62.9%61.2%Buffalo suburbs
8.3%2.8%2.6%83.2%NE-01Fortenberry, Jeff55.1%58.2%61.4%61.1%Lincoln/Norfolk
30.7%9.3%6.8%50.7%TX-02Poe, Ted62.6%63.9%54.9%61.0%Houston
13.6%0.4%1.0%80.1%OR-02Walden, Greg55.4%58.4%60.8%60.9%Bend/Medford/Grants Pass
13.4%1.4%2.5%77.1%CA-01LaMalfa, Doug55.8%58.4%60.6%60.9%Redding/Chico/Grass Valley
1.2%3.2%1.6%92.0%PA-12Rothfus, Keith54.8%58.6%60.8%60.9%N. Allegheny County/Johnstown
6.9%7.5%2.1%81.2%PA-04Perry, Scott54.4%57.9%61.2%60.8%York/Harrisburg
1.4%2.4%1.9%92.9%PA-18Murphy, Tim55.8%58.5%60.1%60.7%S. Allegheny County/Washington/Greensburg
4.8%2.8%1.3%89.4%OH-05Latta, Bob53.2%55.0%63.3%60.7%Toledo Suburbs/Findlay
18.3%6.9%2.9%68.6%TX-25Williams, Roger56.6%61.3%57.8%60.6%Austin/Cleburne
10.0%9.9%2.1%75.6%FL-08Posey, Bill55.6%57.3%60.8%60.6%Melbourne/Titusville
6.5%1.2%1.9%88.5%IA-04King, Steve50.9%54.1%64.5%60.6%Sioux City/Fort Dodge/Mason City
6.7%3.2%5.9%61.8%AK-ALYoung, Don61.0%57.3%58.4%60.3%Alaska ALL
9.1%6.7%1.1%80.5%IN-02Walorski, Jackie49.8%57.1%62.2%60.3%South Bend/Elkhart
15.3%13.3%3.1%58.9%OK-05Russell, Steve59.2%59.2%57.2%60.0%Oklahoma City/Edmond/Shawnee
5.6%4.9%1.5%86.5%PA-11Barletta, Lou52.3%54.8%62.4%60.0%Harrisburg suburbs/Hazelton
3.4%0.6%0.8%86.7%MT-ALZinke, Ryan51.1%57.1%61.1%59.9%Montana ALL
24.5%13.3%17.7%42.7%TX-22Olson, Pete60.6%62.9%54.1%59.9%Sugarland/Cinco Ranch
23.8%10.8%4.6%57.7%TX-31Carter, John56.6%60.9%56.7%59.9%Round Rock/Killeen/Temple
12.8%1.2%5.0%76.8%CA-04McClintock, Tom55.7%59.4%57.9%59.9%Roseville/S. Lake Tahoe/Mariposa
6.3%4.4%1.4%83.0%KS-02Jenkins, Lynn53.8%57.0%59.9%59.7%Topeka/Lawrence
3.1%1.8%0.9%91.8%MI-04Moolenaar, John49.5%54.0%63.2%59.7%Midland/Cadiallac/Mount Pleasant
3.8%26.8%1.0%65.5%SC-05Mulvaney, Mick55.7%55.8%59.6%59.5%Rock Hill/Sumter
8.8%12.8%1.4%75.5%NC-05Foxx, Virginia54.9%57.2%59.0%59.5%Winston-Salem
6.5%18.2%2.0%70.7%SC-01Sanford, Mark56.8%59.2%57.0%59.5%Charleston
30.1%3.1%3.1%61.8%TX-21Smith, Lamar57.1%61.2%55.3%59.4%San Antonio/Austin/Fredericksburg
9.1%16.9%0.8%69.5%NC-07Rouzer, David55.0%56.4%59.1%59.4%Wilmington/Clayton
15.9%2.2%5.0%73.4%AZ-06Schweikert, David58.3%60.5%55.3%59.4%Scottsdale/N. Phoenix
9.1%12.4%2.9%72.6%FL-03Yoho, Ted55.3%57.5%58.3%59.3%Gainesville/Ocala
39.4%7.5%3.4%45.5%CA-08Cook, Paul56.7%57.1%58.0%59.3%Victorville/Barstow/Twenty-Nine Palms
22.6%19.2%4.2%51.4%TX-06Barton, Joe57.6%58.7%56.4%59.2%Arlington/Corsicana
3.9%29.0%0.9%64.0%SC-07Rice, Tom54.2%55.1%59.7%59.1%Myrtle Beach/Florence
4.6%8.8%1.8%82.5%KY-06Barr, Andy54.5%56.9%58.1%59.0%Lexington/Frankfurt
5.7%35.3%1.7%55.4%GA-12Allen, Rick55.9%56.0%58.3%58.9%Augusta/Statesboro
18.3%18.3%13.0%47.8%GA-07Woodall, Rob60.6%61.1%53.3%58.9%Lawrenceville/S. Forsyth County
9.4%5.8%2.1%79.4%MI-02Huizenga, Bill51.2%56.5%59.4%58.9%Holland/Muskegon
6.2%29.3%2.1%59.5%GA-01Carter, Buddy55.3%56.5%58.0%58.9%Savannah/Brunswick
27.8%9.6%5.1%55.5%TX-10McCaul, Michael56.6%60.4%54.8%58.8%Cypress/Katy/Austin
1.7%1.6%0.6%91.2%MI-01Bergman, Jack49.3%54.2%61.3%58.7%N. Michigan/Upper Peninsula/Traverse City
2.0%8.5%1.3%86.0%OH-02Wenstrup, Brad55.0%55.6%58.4%58.7%Cincinnati Suburbs
24.2%10.7%12.2%49.7%TX-24Marchant, Kenny58.6%61.4%53.3%58.7%DFW Airport
7.2%15.5%2.5%72.9%NC-06Walker, Mark54.3%56.4%57.8%58.6%Greensboro/Burlington
37.5%6.0%7.8%44.7%CA-42Calvert, Ken55.7%57.7%56.3%58.5%Murrieta/Eastvale/Menifee
3.8%7.4%3.5%83.1%IN-05Brooks, Susan53.0%58.6%56.3%58.3%Hamilton County/Anderson
13.0%5.0%2.7%77.0%FL-12Bilirakis, Gus51.9%53.8%59.7%58.3%Pasco County/St. Petersburg suburbs
9.3%19.1%1.3%61.5%NC-08Hudson, Richard54.3%55.2%57.7%58.1%Kannapolis/Pinehurst
9.3%16.4%3.6%66.6%VA-01Wittman, Rob55.8%56.2%56.5%58.1%Fredericksburg/Williamsburg
46.7%3.2%7.9%39.4%CA-22Nunes, Devin56.7%57.6%55.0%58.0%Fresno/Visalia
9.8%6.3%3.9%78.2%NJ-04Smith, Chris54.2%54.8%57.6%57.9%Lakewood/Neptue/Trenton suburbs
2.2%2.1%2.1%92.1%OH-16Renacci, Jim52.1%54.2%58.7%57.9%Cleveland & Akron suburbs/Wooster
12.4%13.2%10.4%61.3%GA-06Price, Tom59.5%61.9%50.8%57.8%Alpharetta/Sandy Springs
18.1%13.6%2.9%62.2%FL-15Ross, Dennis52.7%52.8%59.0%57.7%Lakeland/Tampa Suburbs
3.0%3.2%4.7%87.2%MO-02Wagner, Ann53.1%58.0%55.4%57.7%St. Louis County
8.5%12.3%4.5%71.6%NC-09Pittenger, Robert54.4%55.8%56.2%57.6%Fayetteville/Monroe
8.4%3.9%1.4%84.5%IL-16Kinzinger, Adam49.1%53.9%59.2%57.6%Rockford/Ottawa/Pontiac
4.4%1.6%2.4%90.0%WI-06Grothman, Glenn49.9%53.7%58.9%57.5%Sheboygan/Oshkosh
6.2%1.5%2.3%84.4%WA-05McMorris Rodgers, Cathy52.5%55.0%57.1%57.5%Spokane
5.1%22.2%1.4%69.0%AR-02Hill, French54.8%56.0%55.7%57.5%Little Rock/Conway
2.0%4.0%2.4%89.2%OH-15Stivers, Steve53.1%52.9%58.1%57.3%Columbus Suburbs/Lancaster
2.3%3.9%3.4%87.0%OH-12Tiberi, Patrick54.5%55.3%55.9%57.3%Columbus Suburbs/Mansfield
10.9%16.5%4.0%65.0%NC-02Holding, George54.8%56.5%54.9%57.2%Raleigh suburbs
7.8%9.1%1.9%79.0%FL-06DeSantis, Ron49.3%52.8%58.8%57.0%Dayton Beach/Palm Coast/Deltona
2.1%0.6%1.6%92.1%WI-07Duffy, Sean46.0%51.6%60.7%57.0%Wausau/Superior/Rhinelander
31.4%12.7%10.7%43.2%TX-07Culberson, John59.6%60.8%49.3%56.7%Houston
4.4%4.0%0.9%88.3%MI-07Walberg, Tim48.3%51.6%59.0%56.6%Jackson/Monroe
21.8%1.5%3.7%67.6%NV-02Amodei, Mark49.4%54.1%56.7%56.5%Reno/Elko
3.6%20.0%1.6%72.6%VA-05Garrett, Tom52.7%53.8%55.8%56.4%Charlottesville
12.0%6.6%1.7%78.1%FL-16Buchanan, Vern51.8%54.4%55.6%56.4%Sarasota/Bradenton
4.9%1.2%2.2%87.7%WI-08Gallagher, Mike45.6%51.9%59.3%56.4%Green Bay/Appleton
24.8%0.8%0.7%70.6%CO-03Tipton, Scott50.8%53.1%56.5%56.2%Grand Junction/Pueblo
5.9%14.6%4.9%71.6%VA-07Brat, Dave54.7%55.6%53.4%56.2%Henrico/Culpeper/Richmond
3.5%3.6%2.7%88.1%NY-22Tenney, Claudia50.0%50.2%58.2%56.0%Utica/Binghamton
53.4%1.7%0.8%37.7%NM-02Pearce, Steve50.9%53.5%55.7%56.0%Las Cruces/Roswell
3.7%2.7%2.3%88.6%NY-23Reed, Tom49.5%50.6%57.9%55.9%Ithaca/Elmira/Jamestown
8.5%17.5%2.3%69.2%NC-13Budd, Ted51.7%53.4%54.8%55.6%High Point/Statesville
7.0%8.6%1.8%79.9%MI-03Amash, Justin49.4%53.7%55.0%55.5%Grand Rapids/Battle Creek
2.8%4.0%2.0%89.3%OH-14Joyce, David50.2%51.7%56.0%55.4%Ashtabula/Cleveland & Akron suburbs
70.8%5.8%2.2%20.5%FL-25Diaz-Balart, Mario59.2%54.8%50.8%55.4%Hialeah/Miami Suburbs
6.2%2.9%2.6%86.7%MN-01Walz, Tim47.9%49.3%58.1%55.3%Rochester/Mankato
9.5%5.5%1.8%81.1%WI-01Ryan, Paul48.6%52.1%55.4%55.0%Kenosha/Janesville/Racine
2.9%22.1%3.0%69.8%OH-01Chabot, Steve52.3%53.1%53.4%55.0%Cincinnati
25.8%12.0%7.6%51.7%TX-32Sessions, Pete55.6%57.9%49.0%54.9%N. Dallas County
12.8%5.0%3.7%76.6%NY-01Zeldin, Lee48.5%49.7%56.4%54.7%Eastern Long Island
17.7%6.4%2.0%72.3%PA-16Smucker, Lloyd49.4%53.1%53.8%54.6%Lancaster/Reading/Coatesville
14.9%12.6%1.8%68.8%FL-18Mast, Brian48.3%51.9%54.8%54.6%Port St. Lucie
3.4%16.6%1.1%76.5%IL-12Bost, Mike44.4%49.2%57.8%54.5%E. St. Louis/Carbondale
1.6%0.9%0.6%92.0%MN-08Nolan, Rick45.6%47.2%58.4%54.4%Duluth
11.9%2.9%4.7%78.8%IL-14Hultgren, Randy48.6%55.1%52.1%54.3%McHenry/Batavia/Oswego
3.4%2.9%1.0%89.9%NY-21Stefanik, Elise47.5%46.9%57.4%54.1%Watertown/Potsdam/Glens Falls
2.6%17.0%2.2%75.3%OH-10Turner, Michael50.0%51.0%53.8%54.1%Dayton
17.1%6.4%13.0%61.4%NY-11Donovan, Dan51.5%47.8%55.0%53.9%Staten Island
21.4%1.1%18.3%55.3%CA-48Rohrabacher, Dana52.6%56.0%49.1%53.8%Huntington Beach/Newport Beach/Laguna Beach
9.0%1.3%2.9%80.9%WA-03Herrera Beutler, Jaime48.1%50.9%54.0%53.8%Vancouver/Centralia
3.5%5.3%9.1%79.9%MI-11Trott, Dave49.0%52.7%52.3%53.7%Livonia/Troy/Auburn Hills
15.3%4.0%2.3%76.3%PA-15Dent, Charlie47.2%51.5%53.7%53.7%Allentown/Bethlehem/Hershey
4.8%5.8%4.2%82.3%MI-08Bishop, Mike47.2%51.6%53.5%53.6%Lansing/N. Oakland County
5.9%8.3%1.6%81.1%MI-06Upton, Fred46.0%50.7%54.5%53.6%Kalamazoo/Benton Harbor
11.0%9.6%2.9%73.4%NE-02Bacon, Don49.5%53.5%51.2%53.5%Omaha
10.6%3.5%9.9%74.2%NJ-11Frelinghuysen, Rodney52.6%52.9%50.5%53.5%Morristown/Pompton Lakes/Hopatcong
7.5%20.9%4.9%62.6%VA-02Taylor, Scott51.6%51.2%51.8%53.4%Newport News/Virginia Beach
11.6%8.4%4.2%72.6%KS-03Yoder, Kevin50.6%54.8%49.3%53.2%Kansas City/Overland Park
22.0%9.5%2.5%64.1%NY-02King, Peter48.5%47.8%54.7%53.2%Islip/Lindenhurst
12.2%4.9%9.8%71.9%NJ-07Lance, Leonard52.2%53.1%49.4%53.0%Phillipsburg/Somerville/Westfield
20.0%1.8%21.5%52.4%CA-45Walters, Mimi52.6%56.0%47.1%52.8%Irvine/Mission Viejo
21.8%2.3%1.4%49.7%AZ-01O’Halleran, Tom51.6%51.3%50.6%52.8%Flagstaff/Casa Grande/Oro Valley
13.6%4.9%10.9%69.2%NJ-05Gottheimer, Josh51.0%51.6%50.6%52.8%Sussex/Washington/Franklin Lakes/Paramus
3.4%11.5%3.5%78.7%IL-13Davis, Rodney44.4%50.2%52.9%52.4%Champaign/Decatur/Springfield
7.7%9.8%3.7%75.5%NJ-03MacArthur, Tom48.3%47.7%53.2%52.4%Willingboro/Toms River
1.2%0.7%0.8%94.3%ME-02Poliquin, Bruce43.9%45.4%55.7%52.1%Bangor/Lewiston/Caribou
6.9%4.1%1.7%85.2%NY-19Faso, John45.9%46.8%53.9%52.0%Kingston
5.6%4.3%4.4%82.6%MN-02Lewis, Jason48.5%49.9%50.7%51.9%Apple Valley/Shakopee
6.6%3.9%2.9%84.5%IA-03Young, David46.9%47.9%51.9%51.5%Des Moines
6.0%4.2%4.1%83.8%PA-06Costello, Ryan46.5%51.3%49.7%51.5%West Chester/Downington/Pottstown/Lebanon
3.2%1.2%2.5%91.0%NH-01Shea-Porter, Carol46.8%49.2%50.8%51.4%Manchester/Portsmouth/Laconia
67.7%3.0%1.2%26.6%TX-23Hurd, Will49.5%51.3%48.2%51.3%San Antonio suburbs/Del Rio/Fort Stockton
8.1%5.4%2.0%82.6%PA-17Cartwright, Matt42.4%43.9%55.5%51.3%Scranton/Pottsville/Easton
5.0%3.8%5.2%84.3%PA-08Fitzpatrick, Brian46.2%50.1%50.1%51.3%Buck County
17.0%6.1%12.9%58.1%NV-03Rosen, Jacky45.5%49.6%50.5%51.2%Henderson/Summerlin/Enterprise
16.5%9.0%3.0%69.2%NY-18Maloney, Sean47.5%47.8%51.0%51.2%Newburgh/Poughkeepsie
9.5%2.6%9.5%76.7%IL-06Roskam, Peter48.0%54.2%46.3%51.0%Cary/Lake Zurich/Wheaton
15.9%12.2%4.0%65.7%NJ-02LoBiondo, Frank46.1%45.9%52.4%51.0%Atlantic City/Vineland
24.6%2.2%6.5%62.6%CA-49Issa, Darrell49.5%53.4%46.0%50.9%San Clemente/Oceanside/Encinitas
27.6%3.3%3.0%61.9%AZ-02McSally, Martha50.5%50.8%47.4%50.9%Sierra Vista/Tucson
3.3%5.5%4.6%85.0%PA-07Meehan, Pat48.3%51.0%47.8%50.7%Delaware County/Philadelphia Suburbs
34.2%2.4%29.1%31.4%CA-39Royce, Ed51.0%51.9%45.4%50.3%Yorba Linda/Chino Hills/Buena Park
10.3%3.1%8.0%73.1%WA-08Reichert, David47.6%49.2%48.4%50.3%Auburn/Issaquah/Wenatchee
37.5%8.0%8.5%42.1%CA-25Knight, Steve49.5%51.0%46.4%50.3%Santa Clarita/Palmdale/Simi Valley
42.3%2.4%7.1%43.8%CA-10Denham, Jeff48.5%48.2%48.4%50.1%Modesto
21.2%9.5%3.6%62.6%FL-07Murphy, Stephanie48.4%50.0%46.2%49.7%Orlando/Winter Park/Sanford
7.2%0.8%2.3%84.9%OR-04DeFazio, Peter44.1%46.5%49.9%49.6%Eugene/Corvallis/Roseburg
12.6%6.6%13.5%63.2%VA-10Comstock, Barbara50.0%50.8%44.7%49.4%Leesburg/Winchester
2.4%1.0%2.3%92.4%WI-03Kind, Ron39.7%44.4%52.4%49.4%Eau Claire/La Crosse/Stevens Point
5.2%3.7%2.3%86.4%IA-02Loebsack, David42.1%43.4%52.2%49.4%Iowa City/Davenport/Newton
16.2%1.0%2.9%75.5%OR-05Schrader, Kurt45.5%48.3%47.7%49.3%Salem/Oregon City/Newport
12.3%2.6%15.0%68.1%NY-03Suozzi, Tom46.0%48.7%46.9%49.2%Glencove/Huntington
3.7%3.4%1.6%89.4%IA-01Blum, Rod40.8%43.1%51.9%48.9%Cedar Rapids/Dubuque/Waterloo
4.5%6.6%7.7%78.3%MN-03Paulsen, Erik48.2%49.6%44.9%48.8%Bloomington/Maple Grove
49.1%3.9%3.5%40.7%CA-36Ruiz, Raul48.5%48.4%45.4%48.7%Palm Springs/Hemet
3.2%1.1%2.6%91.3%NH-02Kuster, Annie43.5%45.1%48.7%48.5%Nashua/Concord/Berlin
9.6%5.8%3.3%78.2%FL-13Crist, Charlie43.7%44.6%48.3%48.1%St. Petersburg
17.6%6.0%3.6%69.7%CT-05Esty, Elizabeth42.9%45.5%47.9%48.0%Waterbury/Danbury/Meriden/Torrington
20.0%8.9%5.2%62.1%CO-06Coffman, Mike45.6%47.4%45.1%47.8%Aurora/Highland Ranch/Brighton
16.5%6.9%14.8%56.0%CA-07Bera, Ami47.4%48.0%43.9%47.7%Folsom/Citrus Heights/Elk Grove
29.2%14.1%5.7%45.8%NV-04Kihuen, Ruben42.3%44.5%47.4%47.4%N. Las Vegas/Pahrump/Ely
9.2%11.0%1.1%75.9%IL-17Bustos, Cheri39.1%41.3%50.4%47.3%Rockford/Moline/Peoria
7.9%4.0%3.0%82.0%CT-02Courtney, Joe40.4%43.4%48.5%47.3%New London/Norwich/Enfield
4.1%8.2%2.6%82.3%NY-24Katko, John42.9%41.9%48.1%47.0%Syracuse
27.2%5.3%4.5%57.2%AZ-09Sinema, Kyrsten48.0%47.7%41.3%46.4%Phoenix/Tempe
20.1%13.8%6.4%57.8%NY-04Rice, Kathleen44.4%43.2%45.1%46.2%Nassua County
76.1%5.2%1.8%16.1%FL-27Ros-Lehtinen, Ileana49.6%46.6%40.1%45.7%Miami/Miami Beach/Coral Gables
2.1%13.1%3.9%78.1%MI-09Levin, Sander40.8%42.3%45.9%45.7%Warren/Eastpointe/Clinton Twp/Royal Oaks
47.4%9.3%4.4%36.5%FL-09Soto, Darren44.9%43.8%43.3%45.5%Kissimmee
4.8%3.0%1.4%86.8%MA-09Keating, Bill41.3%43.7%44.3%45.4%New Bedford/Plymouth/Yarmouth
68.8%8.5%1.8%20.1%FL-26Curbelo, Carlos48.2%44.2%41.7%45.4%Homestead/Key West
29.0%5.8%11.1%48.8%CA-03Garamendi, John43.3%44.3%43.3%45.4%Davis/Fairfield/Woodland/Yuba City
73.9%3.3%3.3%17.2%CA-21Valadao, David46.9%44.3%41.8%45.3%Bakersfield/Hanford
11.0%5.7%6.5%67.5%WA-10Heck, Denny41.8%42.2%43.8%44.7%Olympia/Puyallup
4.8%17.1%1.0%74.0%MI-05Kildee, Dan35.9%38.7%47.8%44.6%Flint/Saginaw
27.9%1.4%3.4%64.5%CO-07Perlmutter, Ed41.5%42.4%43.4%44.6%Thornton/Arvada/Lakewood
4.9%21.4%2.6%68.5%KY-03Yarmuth, John43.2%43.5%42.1%44.6%Louisville
7.7%3.5%4.1%77.1%WA-06Kilmer, Derek41.8%42.3%43.2%44.5%Tacoma/Bremerton/Aberdeen
5.0%51.3%1.0%40.2%GA-02Bishop, Sanford41.8%41.0%44.0%44.5%Macon/Albany/Columbus
10.7%4.2%3.8%79.2%RI-02Langevin, Jim39.0%39.0%46.3%44.5%
8.8%1.1%9.2%76.1%WA-01DelBene, Suzan42.7%44.5%41.1%44.3%Redmond/Mt. Vernon/Lynden
12.8%11.9%10.8%60.9%MD-06Delaney, John42.7%43.5%41.6%44.2%Germantown/Frederick/Hagerstown
20.9%12.1%2.8%62.1%FL-22Deutch, Ted41.3%43.3%42.0%44.1%Broward County/Palm Beach County
31.1%4.1%4.6%59.0%IL-03Lipinski, Dan40.9%43.2%42.0%44.0%Oak Lawn/Lemont/Lockport
8.2%2.8%4.1%82.9%MA-06Moulton, Seth42.1%44.5%40.5%43.9%Gloucester/Billerica
14.5%2.9%19.0%58.6%CA-52Peters, Scott43.9%46.7%38.0%43.7%N. San Diego
81.4%1.7%1.0%15.3%TX-15Gonzalez, Vicente42.4%42.0%41.4%43.6%McAllen/Edinburg/Seguin
8.9%21.1%3.9%63.5%DE-ALBlunt Rochester, Lisa37.3%40.6%44.0%43.6%Delaware ALL
9.1%24.8%2.9%60.7%TN-05Cooper, Jim41.8%43.2%40.3%43.3%Nashville
6.1%8.4%4.7%77.7%NY-20Tonko, Paul40.8%39.6%42.9%43.2%Albany/Schenectady
35.6%1.7%4.4%55.1%CA-24Carbajal, Salud42.3%44.3%39.2%43.2%Santa Barbara/San Luis Obispo
3.1%11.7%1.9%80.9%OH-13Ryan, Tim36.5%36.0%46.6%43.2%Youngstown/Akron
44.7%1.6%6.3%44.3%CA-26Brownley, Julia42.3%44.7%38.3%42.9%Ventura/Oxnard/Thousand Oaks
29.0%24.1%3.5%40.7%FL-14Castor, Kathy41.3%41.7%40.6%42.9%Tampa
8.9%22.0%1.7%64.0%MO-05Cleaver, Emanuel37.2%40.1%42.9%42.8%Kansas City
22.5%10.0%5.8%59.8%NY-17Lowey, Nita41.4%42.3%39.6%42.6%White Plains/Spring Valley/Peekskill
37.1%9.3%13.7%35.4%CA-09McNerney, Jerry42.3%41.0%40.2%42.6%Stockton/Lodi/Brentwood
8.1%15.0%3.4%70.9%NY-25Slaughter, Louise40.4%40.1%41.3%42.6%Rochester
48.8%2.4%2.1%40.7%NM-01Lujan Grisham, Michelle39.5%41.7%40.5%42.6%Albuquerque
19.0%11.6%5.4%62.1%CT-04Himes, Jim40.0%44.4%38.0%42.3%Stamford/Bridgeport
40.7%1.4%1.3%37.7%NM-03Lujan, Ben38.0%40.2%41.5%42.3%Santa Fe/Farmington/Clovis
1.7%1.7%1.4%93.0%ME-01Pingree, Chellie38.4%38.8%42.2%42.3%Portland/Augusta
21.7%9.4%18.7%48.4%NJ-06Pallone, Frank41.0%37.9%41.9%42.2%
15.0%19.1%1.3%62.9%IN-01Visclosky, Pete36.1%37.9%43.4%42.2%Gary/Michigan City
51.1%10.0%8.2%27.7%CA-31Aguilar, Pete42.3%41.5%38.8%42.1%San Bernadino/Rancho Cucamonga
76.9%3.8%0.9%17.3%TX-28Cuellar, Henry41.4%39.1%39.8%41.6%Laredo/San Antonio
19.1%2.1%7.4%69.1%MA-03Tsongas, Niki40.1%42.1%37.8%41.5%Lowell/Lawrence/Marlborough
59.1%5.6%8.7%24.0%CA-16Jim Costa41.2%40.2%38.6%41.4%Fresno/Merced
9.3%4.5%5.3%78.7%MA-02McGovern, Jim38.3%40.0%39.6%41.3%Worcester/Northampton
28.6%4.0%13.2%52.5%IL-08Krishnamoorthi, Raja37.6%41.6%38.5%41.2%Schaumburg/Elgin
14.4%12.4%4.0%66.9%CT-03DeLauro, Rosa36.4%36.4%42.0%41.0%New Haven
22.0%12.6%3.7%59.1%FL-21Frankel, Lois36.2%39.2%40.0%40.9%Palm Beach County
4.2%2.7%5.8%84.8%MA-04Kennedy, Joe38.6%42.0%37.2%40.8%Newton/Milford/Fall River
10.2%0.8%2.9%83.5%CO-02Polis, Jared37.8%40.6%38.3%40.8%Boulder/Fort Collins/Vail
5.4%31.2%2.4%57.9%VA-04McEachin, Donald39.4%39.1%38.7%40.8%Richmond/Chesapeake/Petersburg
14.3%1.6%7.3%72.3%OR-01Bonamici, Suzanne38.7%41.1%37.6%40.8%Washington County/McMinnville
83.8%1.1%0.5%14.2%TX-34Vela, Filemon39.4%38.6%38.9%40.7%Brownsville/Beeville/Kingsville
26.6%11.7%6.8%52.1%IL-11Foster, Bill38.0%41.3%37.5%40.7%Aurora/Joliet
5.3%9.3%7.5%75.1%MA-08Lynch, Stephen41.2%41.4%36.3%40.6%Boston/Brockton/Quincy
10.8%2.7%8.7%71.4%WA-02Larsen, Rick38.3%39.1%38.0%40.2%Everett/Bellingham
68.8%5.0%3.3%21.4%TX-20Castro, Joaquin41.4%40.3%36.0%40.1%San Antonio
5.8%17.6%4.1%69.9%NY-26Higgins, Brian35.7%34.9%39.7%39.3%Buffalo/Niagra Falls
18.5%11.4%4.1%63.4%FL-10Demings, Val38.7%38.7%36.1%39.3%Orlando/Disney World
40.0%11.1%3.2%43.6%FL-23Wasserman Schultz, Debbie37.6%38.2%36.7%39.2%Broward County
23.2%6.4%10.0%57.9%IL-10Schneider, Brad36.3%41.7%34.5%39.0%Waukegan/Round Lake/Highland Park
6.6%33.1%5.3%51.9%MD-02Ruppersberger, Dutch38.2%35.8%37.2%38.7%
16.7%5.9%1.9%73.5%MA-01Neal, Richard34.5%34.9%39.0%38.7%Springfield/Pittsfield
16.2%14.5%4.8%62.3%CT-01Larson, John33.3%36.4%37.9%38.5%Hartford
12.9%51.9%2.6%30.4%FL-05Lawson, Al36.2%35.8%37.2%38.4%Jacksonville/Tallahassee
11.0%29.7%2.4%54.1%IN-07Carson, Andre33.1%36.0%38.0%38.4%Indianapolis
61.6%4.1%1.5%28.1%AZ-03Grijalva, Raul41.2%37.5%34.2%38.3%Tucson/Avondale/Yuma
58.9%8.1%6.4%23.1%CA-41Takano, Mark39.2%37.1%35.2%38.3%Riverside/Moreno Valley
34.3%6.9%22.9%32.6%CA-47Lowenthal, Alan40.2%38.5%33.1%37.9%Long Beach/Westminster
8.5%22.9%7.5%58.1%MD-03Sarbanes, John38.7%38.0%33.8%37.8%
13.1%16.4%4.8%63.9%NJ-01Norcross, Donald34.6%34.2%37.3%37.6%Camden
11.0%14.9%1.4%69.4%OH-09Kaptur, Marcy32.1%31.4%38.3%36.8%Toledo/Cleveland suburbs
2.1%66.1%0.4%30.7%MS-02Thompson, Bennie35.4%33.2%35.6%36.6%Jackson/Vicksburg
6.5%9.5%12.1%68.2%MN-04McCollum, Betty36.2%36.2%33.2%36.5%St. Paul/Stillwater
17.3%6.8%2.9%69.0%RI-01Cicilline, David32.3%32.7%36.6%36.4%Newport/Woonsocket
15.0%11.5%9.3%61.4%MD-08Raskin, Jamie36.2%36.8%32.4%36.3%Silver Spring/Rockville/Westminster
5.8%10.5%5.4%74.8%MI-12Dingell, Debbie31.9%33.1%36.2%36.3%Ann Arbor/Dearborn
33.4%7.4%13.8%40.6%CA-53Davis, Susan37.1%37.2%31.5%36.1%Lemon Grove/La Mesa/Chula Vista
44.0%10.8%8.1%33.5%NV-01Titus, Dina33.8%33.1%34.6%35.8%Las Vegas
60.9%9.9%1.3%26.1%TX-35Doggett, Lloyd35.7%35.5%32.2%35.7%Austin/San Antonio
66.8%1.3%12.9%17.2%CA-46Correa, Lou40.2%37.1%29.6%35.7%Anaheim/Santa Ana
8.0%37.0%4.2%46.8%MD-05Hoyer, Steny34.0%32.8%33.9%35.4%Bowie/Waldorf/Lexington Park
19.0%12.4%17.4%47.0%VA-11Connolly, Gerry38.8%37.3%29.1%35.3%Reston/Fairfax/Dale City
11.5%17.0%9.5%59.6%PA-13Boyle, Brendan34.0%33.2%33.2%35.2%Philadelphia/Lansdale/Norristown
36.1%9.3%12.4%40.4%NJ-09Pascrell, Bill35.5%31.1%34.0%35.1%Paterson
1.7%0.9%1.6%93.2%VT-ALWelch, Peter31.1%31.8%34.8%35.0%Vermont ALL
6.1%56.6%2.1%31.6%VA-03Scott, Bobby34.1%32.1%33.4%34.9%Norfolk/Newport News
28.1%3.9%37.9%27.3%CA-27Chu, Judy36.5%35.9%30.1%34.9%Pasadena/Rosemead/Monterey Park/Claremont
19.6%3.4%39.6%35.0%NY-06Meng, Grace36.4%31.4%33.0%34.9%Queens (flushing)
16.2%16.5%16.5%48.1%NJ-12Watson Coleman, Bonnie33.6%32.8%32.9%34.8%Trenton/Princeton
12.9%2.1%13.8%66.0%CA-33Lieu, Ted34.0%37.8%28.1%34.1%Santa Monica/Malibu
79.2%3.8%1.2%14.7%TX-16O’Rourke, Beto35.4%35.0%28.6%33.7%El Paso
63.1%3.3%14.9%16.4%CA-38Sanchez, Linda36.5%33.7%29.0%33.6%Artesia/Norwalk/Whittier
62.0%3.0%17.9%15.5%CA-32Napolitano, Grace36.1%33.3%29.4%33.6%El Monte/West Covina
11.9%29.2%5.8%49.4%NC-04Price, David33.5%34.6%29.2%33.6%Raleigh/Chapel Hill
2.3%21.2%3.3%70.0%PA-14Doyle, Michael32.3%31.0%31.6%33.4%Pittsburgh
8.3%53.2%1.4%34.6%NC-01Butterfield, G.K.32.4%31.4%30.6%33.0%Durham/rural Black
8.0%2.1%48.7%16.9%HI-01Hanabusa, Colleen28.7%29.4%32.6%32.7%Honolulu
13.7%50.7%4.1%28.5%NC-12Adams, Alma31.5%31.6%29.5%32.4%Charlotte
77.0%11.1%1.2%10.0%TX-29Green, Gene37.4%33.4%26.3%32.3%Houston
6.3%4.3%4.0%82.9%WI-02Pocan, Mark29.0%30.9%30.6%32.3%Madison
8.7%5.1%11.5%72.3%MA-05Clark, Katherine32.7%33.7%27.1%32.0%Lexington/Framingham
70.5%5.8%5.7%15.2%CA-35Torres, Norma33.3%31.2%28.4%32.0%Pomona/Ontario/Fontana
6.2%32.1%3.6%53.5%OH-03Beatty, Joyce31.7%29.3%29.9%31.8%Columbus
4.8%56.4%1.1%35.5%SC-06Clyburn, Jim29.2%28.4%31.2%31.7%Columbia/Charleston
26.9%5.2%12.0%52.1%CA-30Sherman, Brad32.0%33.0%27.1%31.7%San Fernando Valley
12.2%1.9%24.4%28.9%HI-02Gabbard, Tulsi25.3%27.2%32.5%31.4%Outer Islands
10.8%9.0%13.2%64.6%IL-09Schakowsky, Jan30.6%33.9%26.2%31.3%Evanston/Des Plaines
12.4%55.6%2.4%28.0%GA-13Scott, David32.5%30.2%27.3%30.9%Stockbridge/Douglasville
2.6%63.7%0.6%31.5%AL-07Sewell, Terri28.2%27.2%29.4%30.3%Birmingham
19.0%2.5%6.5%69.7%IL-05Quigley, Mike29.2%32.5%25.3%30.2%Chicago
22.8%6.4%32.5%33.0%CA-15Swalwell, Eric30.9%30.5%25.7%30.0%Hayword/Dublin/Livermore
29.0%12.6%15.5%36.1%CA-06Matsui, Doris29.9%29.1%26.1%29.5%Sacramento
12.1%10.3%23.9%46.1%WA-09Smith, Adam30.4%30.2%24.9%29.4%Bellevue/Federal Way
19.1%13.4%12.1%51.8%VA-08Beyer, Don33.1%32.3%22.1%29.2%Arlington/Alexandria
70.9%6.4%7.5%13.0%CA-51Vargas, Juan33.0%29.4%24.1%29.2%Chula Vista/El Centro
26.7%7.5%13.0%47.3%CA-11DeSaulnier, Mark28.9%30.7%24.1%28.9%Concord/Richmond/Pittsburg
28.2%8.1%3.6%57.2%CO-01DeGette, Diana28.0%29.4%25.2%28.9%Denver
27.6%6.3%11.1%50.1%CA-05Thompson, Mike27.1%28.3%26.0%28.8%Vallejo/Napa/Santa Rosa
64.0%8.9%2.8%20.2%AZ-07Gallego, Ruben34.5%27.0%24.0%28.6%Phoenix
63.2%16.7%2.3%16.3%TX-33Veasey, Mark31.0%27.3%24.5%28.4%Dallas/Fort Worth
17.9%1.5%3.9%70.8%CA-02Huffman, Jared26.0%28.1%25.2%28.2%Eureka/San Marin County
52.4%1.8%5.2%37.4%CA-20Panetta, Jimmy26.8%27.0%24.8%27.7%Monterey/Santa Cruz
26.6%2.1%13.6%54.4%CA-28Schiff, Adam27.1%27.4%23.6%27.3%Burbank/Glendale
41.6%2.6%27.0%25.5%CA-19Lofgren, Zoe29.9%27.1%22.8%27.2%San Jose/Morgan Hill
16.7%2.2%22.3%54.6%CA-18Eshoo, Anna27.8%29.8%21.6%27.2%San Jose/Mountain View
11.1%4.7%6.3%72.0%OR-03Blumenauer, Earl25.0%25.5%24.1%26.6%Portland
24.1%29.0%5.5%39.0%NY-16Engel, Eliot26.3%25.7%23.1%26.3%Yonkers/Bronx/Rye
16.1%2.6%52.0%25.4%CA-17Khanna, Ro28.9%26.2%21.7%26.2%Sunnyvale/Fremont
10.2%56.4%5.2%25.9%GA-04Johnson, Hank26.4%25.8%22.8%26.2%DeKalb County
16.3%33.8%3.7%43.3%WI-04Moore, Gwen24.8%24.0%22.7%25.3%Milwaukee
5.6%61.8%2.3%28.6%LA-02Richmond, Cedric25.7%23.1%22.9%25.3%New Orleans/Baton Rouge
9.1%16.3%5.7%64.4%MN-05Ellison, Keith25.0%24.6%20.1%24.2%Minneapolis
54.9%8.5%9.5%24.8%NJ-08Sires, Albio26.2%20.9%22.1%24.2%Hoboken/Union City
4.0%53.2%6.7%33.5%MD-07Cummings, Elijah22.7%22.8%21.4%23.9%Baltimore
12.5%3.1%18.4%63.3%NY-10Nadler, Jerrold23.2%25.4%19.4%23.8%Manhatten/Brooklyn
41.2%38.7%3.3%15.5%TX-18Jackson-Lee, Sheila23.0%23.1%20.7%23.7%Houston
24.2%3.2%32.6%34.8%CA-14Speier, Jackie24.7%24.1%19.1%23.6%San Mateo/Daly City
6.6%65.6%1.8%24.0%TN-09Cohen, Steve22.6%21.1%20.3%22.8%Memphis
9.9%50.9%1.6%36.1%IL-01Rush, Bobby18.6%20.4%22.1%22.8%Chicago/Frankfort
15.7%52.3%2.8%26.9%MD-04Brown, Anthony22.0%20.9%19.8%22.4%DC black suburbs
37.7%37.6%12.3%10.5%TX-09Green, Al23.2%21.3%18.5%22.0%Houston
47.9%9.8%16.7%23.9%NY-14Crowley, Joe23.2%18.5%20.3%22.0%Bronx/Queens
69.1%3.7%7.4%18.3%CA-29Cardenas, Tony23.7%21.0%17.8%21.7%San Fernando Valley
39.0%42.5%1.9%14.8%TX-30Johnson, E.B.21.2%19.8%18.8%21.3%Dallas
45.8%23.6%11.3%15.1%CA-43Waters, Maxine22.7%20.4%17.6%21.2%Inglewood/Torrance
2.8%49.1%2.5%42.2%MO-01Clay, Lacy18.8%19.1%19.6%21.1%St. Louis
13.2%55.3%0.7%29.6%IL-02Kelly, Robin18.3%18.6%19.7%20.9%S. Chicago Suburbs/Kankakee
4.7%56.5%4.7%31.1%MI-14Lawrence, Brenda17.2%18.7%18.8%20.3%Detroit/Southfield/Pontiac
16.4%35.2%6.6%39.8%PA-01Brady, Bob20.7%17.0%18.6%20.3%Philadelphia
21.5%51.3%2.2%22.8%FL-20Hastings, Alcee18.7%17.2%18.4%19.9%Broward County/Palm Beach County
14.2%4.4%13.2%65.1%NY-12Maloney, Carolyn19.2%21.8%13.9%19.3%Manhatten/Brooklyn
3.7%54.0%2.3%37.7%OH-11Fudge, Marcia17.3%16.6%17.4%19.0%Cleveland/Akron
6.8%54.9%1.2%34.3%MI-13Conyers, John14.3%14.4%18.7%18.3%Detroit/Romulus/Wayne
70.6%4.2%3.3%20.7%IL-04Gutierrez, Luis18.4%17.4%13.9%17.6%Chicago
7.6%4.1%10.3%71.7%WA-07Jayapal, Pramila18.3%18.6%12.9%17.5%Seattle
86.9%4.6%2.9%4.7%CA-40Roybal-Allard, Lucille19.8%16.8%13.5%17.5%Huntington Park/Downey
32.1%54.3%1.5%10.6%FL-24Wilson, Frederica15.7%14.0%15.5%16.8%Miami
11.5%47.8%7.1%31.4%NY-09Clarke, Yvette15.2%14.0%14.7%16.4%Brooklyn
20.8%22.9%9.8%42.2%MA-07Capuano, Mike16.9%15.9%12.4%16.1%Boston
6.6%57.6%4.4%29.3%GA-05Lewis, John15.1%16.0%12.3%15.8%Atlanta
70.5%15.4%5.8%6.1%CA-44Barragan, Nanette16.5%13.8%12.9%15.6%Compton
64.8%3.7%20.4%9.5%CA-34Becerra, Xavier19.8%14.5%11.3%15.6%Los Angeles Downtown
18.9%52.3%6.3%20.5%NJ-10Payne, Donald14.7%11.6%13.1%14.7%Newark
18.2%52.2%4.9%22.4%NY-08Jeffries, Hakeem14.0%10.3%13.8%14.5%Brooklyn
18.4%49.0%13.7%10.4%NY-05Meeks, Gregory14.0%9.1%12.9%13.6%Queens
39.3%21.8%10.4%25.5%CA-37Bass, Karen13.4%13.0%10.1%13.4%USC campus/Culver City
40.7%7.7%19.4%30.2%NY-07Velazquez, Nydia15.2%10.4%10.7%13.2%Brooklyn
14.8%5.1%31.7%43.3%CA-12Pelosi, Nancy13.4%12.9%9.2%13.0%San Francisco
14.8%49.2%7.3%27.0%IL-07Davis, Danny10.0%11.9%9.5%12.2%Chicago/Oak Park
22.4%16.9%19.2%35.2%CA-13Lee, Barbara10.3%9.3%7.2%10.3%Oakland
6.2%56.8%5.0%28.8%PA-02Evans, Dwight8.8%9.1%7.7%10.2%Philadelphia
54.5%25.2%5.0%12.7%NY-13Espaillat, Adriano6.1%4.6%5.5%7.1%Manhatten
65.3%29.9%1.5%2.0%NY-15Serrano, Jose5.0%3.0%5.0%6.1%Bronx

 

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15 Comments

  • krazen1211January 30, 2017 at 11:29 am

    Amazing! If you have this in some sort of google doc spreadsheet, a link would be great.

    • shamletJanuary 30, 2017 at 11:35 am

      Twinpines, send it to us and we’ll put it in a sortable Google Doc on the Resources Page.


      R, MD-7
      Process is more important than outcome.

  • Republican MichiganderJanuary 30, 2017 at 12:44 pm

    Interesting results (although I use 3rd parties in my analysis to show elasticity)
    Michigan:
    Order of more R to least R.
    The 10th District used to be the 3rd or 4th most R district (behind the 2nd, 3rd, and sometimes 4th). It’s hard to believe D’s used to win parts of that area quite regularly as late as the 2000’s.

    The 4th District moved to the right outside of Mt Pleasant and maybe Midland. The farm areas and up north areas, some of which have D roots (Southern Saginaw County, Clare County), moved our way big league.

    The 2nd District is interesting. The more R area there (Ottawa) moved left, but the most D area (Muskegon County) moved right. Some of the bleeding was stopped (evened out).

    The 1st District was a swing district usually in the low 50’s at the top of the ticket. Bergman can thank Trump for the contest being easier than expected.

    The 7th District, the swingiest district recently, is the 5th most R by this measurement. There’s no Calhoun County anymore (although Trump won it), and 1/2 of Scio is gone, but Monroe County has a long D tradition and wasn’t safe territory for Walberg.

    The 3rd district used to be the 2nd most R district in the state. Kent County is becoming a problem. Grand Rapids used to be slightly D, but it’s now 60%+D. Calhoun County isn’t safe, but it is going in our direction some however.

    The 11th district was tough for Trump, although Trump did well in Livonia. Suburbs are not a monolithic bloc. Livonia moved right. Canton was another disaster, as was Novi. Northville and Plymouth were rough for Trump although he survived it. He held his own however in Milford, Highland, and the White Lake area. He did well in Waterford.

    The 8th is the battle of the bases. I know you ranked the 8th slightly less R than the 11th based on previous elections. Trump did better in the 8th than the 11th by a percent. This seat won’t be completely safe as long as Ingham County is in it. Luckily, Northern Oakland doesn’t have a lot of Pontiac spillover, and Livingston County’s Ann Arbor spillover is controlled a bit (although concerning a bit with Hamburg and Putnam Twps).

    The 6th was given the same score as the 8th. I was surprised that Trump did better in the 6th than the 8th. I overestimated Kalamazoo and St Joe’s (City) impact and underestimated Trump’s appeal in swing Van Buren and the rural slight R counties.

    ——————-
    Of the D held seats:
    9th – Levin would be tough to dislodge, but I’d like to see it targeted in a gubernatorial year if it’s open. If we have a good blue collar Macomb candidate who isn’t offensive to the independents and soft D’s in Bloomfield Twp (still safe R for non Trumps), Royal Oak, and Madison Heights (where Trump improved), maybe we get lucky.

    5th – Kildee’s have won there for generations, like Levin. Still, 47% in a district with D roots this strong is shocking. Flint, Saginaw, and Bay City. If Trump keeps his promise, this is a good one to go after in 2020. It’s also going to be a problem in 2018 with Flint water and Snyder.

    12th – Dingell – Surprisingly this district moved a little to the right despite Ann Arbor. That shows how strong Trump was downriver. I may be 20 miles from Ann Arbor, but it’s like a whole other country, or at least another state.

    MI-13/14 – No surprises, although Trump did surprisingly well in MI-13.


    MI-08 - Michigan is a red state again. We need a 50 state strategy and an 83 county strategy.

  • GOPTarHeelJanuary 30, 2017 at 1:40 pm

    This actually shows how the redraw of the NC districts was a huge boon to the GOP. The old NC-9 probably moved 5-8 points to the left this year, same for the old NC-13, but since the seats are more compact now they’re likely safe for the decade.


    R/NC-4. Needed a May, got a Trump.

    • krazen1211January 30, 2017 at 6:53 pm

      I looked up some figures. The old NC-01 was 71-29 Obama/McCain. The old NC-04 was 72-27 Obama/McCain. The old NC-12 was 78/22. I’ll have to find Romney numbers.

      The new districts per 2016 figures aren’t quite as effective vote sinks (68/31, 68/28, 68/28, respectively), but they ended up pretty close on the first two. The first 2 districts matter much more than NC-12 since there is excess GOP strength in Western NC.

      • GOPTarHeelJanuary 30, 2017 at 7:29 pm

        The Wake and Meck precincts that were in the old NC-13 and -9 swung wildly left this year though, while the Fayetteville/Forsyth/Guilford/rural black precincts were stagnant or trended right. Plus trading rich Charlotte burbs for Lumbee precincts was a shockingly favorable trade.


        R/NC-4. Needed a May, got a Trump.

        • krazen1211January 31, 2017 at 8:26 am

          Ah, that is true.

          The old NC-09 and NC-13 were 45-54 Obama/McCain when drawn. The new NC-02 and NC-09 are 44-53 and 43-54 in 2016, respectively. So I do think you make a generally great point.

          FWIW, the new NC-13 is only 44-53 Clinton/Trump and is technically the weakest of the bunch, but that area doesn’t seem to be trending anywhere.

          We ended up with districts of similar strength under a cleaner map and I think we are better set up for 2020.

  • IzengabeJanuary 30, 2017 at 3:10 pm

    Wow! Really good work! This will be my new go to for PVI Index score!

    Thanks. This is awesome.


    Follow me on Twitter: @Izengabe_

  • shamletJanuary 30, 2017 at 7:51 pm

    This chart is now up on the resources page!


    R, MD-7
    Process is more important than outcome.

  • WingNightAloneJanuary 31, 2017 at 1:07 pm

    Wow, interesting stuff! I noticed NH seems to be creeping back to the right since 2008. It’s a better Trump fit than the ’16 results indicate (especially the inland seat) and should be key in any 2020 offensive plans along with ME-AL, NV, and MN. Those 23 EVs could help offset losing MI or PA, both of which I think are more at risk than NC/WI (tier 2) and FL/AZ/GA (tier 3).


    24. Saint John-Rothesay. Consultant.

  • krazen1211February 3, 2017 at 10:53 am

    So the Median House district in the 2012 election was NC-09. Pittenger won by 6.

    Looking at Twinpines figures, the Median House district in the 2016 election was UT-04. Mia Love won by 13. The Democrats won most of the House races within a 5 point margin.

  • FreedomJimFebruary 3, 2017 at 6:21 pm

    Great work. How are some of the PVIs higher than all three presidential percentages?

    • twinpinesFebruary 3, 2017 at 6:37 pm

      The PVI is calculated such that a district that has a PVI of 50% would be a district that the republican candidate gets 50% in when he/she is getting 50% nationally. Remember that none of the last 3 presidential candidates got 50% nationally. They all got less. PVI measures the partisan performance relative to the national average, its not itself a pure average.


      AZ LD-20, Conservative Independent, not associated with either party.

      • twinpinesFebruary 3, 2017 at 6:39 pm

        Simple example for a 1 year PVI. Lets say Rubio gets 54% nationally and 56% in a particular district. The PVI of that district is not 56%, its R+2 or 52% because the district is 2% to the right of the national performance that Rubio got.


        AZ LD-20, Conservative Independent, not associated with either party.

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