As the denizens of DC realize that they got wintry mix instead of real snow, here’s your daily cup of hot electoral news to wake you up and prevent you from being so cranky that you hit your annoying neighbor.
Media Bubble: This is actually the ninth article in a series over at 538 that explores the 2016 election and the media’s roll in it. This part looks at the Pauline Kael Effect as it relates to 2016 and uses Brexit as a comparison.
Trumpocrats: Democracy Corps revisits a bunch of Trump voters in Macomb County and finds out that they really don’t regret their vote at all. I’d say it would be fair to extend this result to all of the fairly urban areas where Trump got major crossover support.
IN-Sen: Howey Politics looks at Todd Rokita’s (R-Indecision) nascent senatorial bid and finds him in a decent position should he choose to run. If I were him I’d decide soon, though, as Rep. Luke Messer (R-The Early Bird) is already gathering endorsements for later release.
MA-Sen: Another day, another Republican wants to challenge Lizzy Warren. Businessman John Kingston (R-Money) has been meeting with donors and party leaders in advance of a possible run for the Senate in 2018. At this point I’d call this a surprisingly crowded primary.
PA-06/PA-07: The DCCC has already come out swinging on healthcare, slamming Reps. Meehan & Costello (R-Popular) for supporting the Obamacare replacement. Yeah, yeah, whatever – Come back to me when you have actual candidates.
TX-Redistricting: Well, apparently trying to hurt OR help Hispanics elect a legislator of their choice is illegal, depending on whether it hurts or helps Democrats. No, seriously, stop laughing. That’s what a three-judge panel just said. The panel ruled that TX-23, TX-27, and TX-35 are illegal because they hurt the Democrats, err, consider race illegally. The panel issued an order for a redraw, though the state may appeal to SCOTUS to block it.
UT-03: Dr. Kathryn Allen (D-Unrealistic Expectations) has filed to run against Rep. Jason Chaffetz (R-Bulletproof) in 2018. This wouldn’t be very notable, except that she got over $400k in donations after Chaffetz made some mildly stupid remark about the Obamacare replacement bill.
CA-Gov: Former Assemblyman David Hadley (R-High Property Values) has filed to run for Governor. Hadley served one term representing a South Bay seat in L.A. County before losing in the anti-Trump CA tsunami in 2016. He’s a really great guy, and a very good campaigner, but I have no idea why he’s running for so high an office.
WI-Gov: Rep. Ron Kind (D-Low Risk) has decided against a bid for Governor against incumbent Scott Walker (R-Conservative Pantheon). This is very good news for Walker in his search for a third term, as Kind likely would have instantly turned the race into a coinflip.
PA-HD-197: The Philly Democratic machine has lost their appeal, so the only name that will appear on the special election ballot is that of Lucinda Little (R). Democrats are now mounting a write-in campaign, which should be a good test of the machine’s strength.
WATN: Former OH Senate Minority Leader Capri Cafaro (D-Their Only Hope) has taken a job at American University teaching public affairs. In the article she doesn’t rule out running for Congress in the future. However, AU being in my neck of the woods, I put my ear to the ground. From what I hear, she has no desire to return to electoral politics anytime soon.
Western Australia: Labor has swept the Liberal-National coalition out of power in state elections in Western Australia. This is significant because Labor often starts rolling up state victories like this before a big general election win at the national level.