Political Roundup for July 12, 2017

As it becomes clearer that Donald Trump, Jr. is not the brightest of the President’s children and everyone starts wondering if other elements of the Russia hysteria are true, it is time for today’s roundup:

Special Elections

Last night, Democrats continued their streak of strong performances in Oklahoma special elections as the Democrats picked up 2 legislative seats from the sex scandal / unpopular school budget cut plagued Republicans.  Michael Brooks (D) won SD-44 and Karen Gaddis (D) won HD-75.  In the HD-46 primary, Darin Chambers (R) and Jacob Rosencrants (D) will move on; The general is scheduled for September 12 in HD-46.

President/National

Sanders:  Senator Bernie Sanders (Socialist Property Magnet) is stumping in Trump territory trying to drive support for Obamacare.  Sanders made stops in West Virginia and Kentucky to push the agenda of the Democratic Party being the true champion of working class voters.

Trump-Progressive Anger:  One of my favorite authors, Victor Davis Hanson looks at how President Trump has earned such a robust and borderline unhinged reaction from the left with his agenda.

Congress

August Recess: The Senate has cancelled its August recess in a prelude to potential deals happening on several fronts including healthcare and judicial nominations.  Being stuck in DC in August has to be one of the worst things imaginable.

More August Recess:  Senator Ted Cruz (R) does not want the Senate to recess until a healthcare bill is passed.  It sounds like Cruz wants to stay in DC for awhile.

Human Rights Campaign: The Human Rights Campaign plans to made a $26 million push in 2018.  The pro-sexual orientation equality group will focus on Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona and Nevada and supporting candidates who support the group’s ideals.  Just another drop in the bucket of endless financing.

IN-Sen:  Real Clear Politics looks at Senator Joe Donnelly’s (D) reelection odds.  RCP provides some good insight that Donnelly’s win was not just tied to running against a Republican who said stupid stuff about abortion.

Obamacare:  Making promises to destroy Obamacare for 6 years and failing to do so can have some grave consequences for Republicans.  Something has to be done or the consequences will be dire for inaction.

PA-16:  Christina Hartman (D) will make a second run against Representative Lloyd Smucker (R) in 2018.  Smucker defeated Hartman by almost 11 points in 2016.

States/Other

Pennsylvania:  In a state where corruption ebbs and flows in the news, the Pennsylvania General Assembly passed a bill creating an independent Office of Inspector General to root out various forms of fraud and waste.  Whether the Office takes this form or not will depend on whether Governor Tom Wolf (D-Just Lets Bills Pass) will veto it or not.  Wolf has raised his ire regarding the bill, but has not said whether he will veto or not.  The bill received enough votes initially for a override to be possible.

Brooks-Upper Middle Class:  For the fodder of our occasional discussions on socio-economic factors impact elections, David Brooks (Burkian Liberal) wrote a very interesting piece on how the upper-middle class is essentially ruining America.  As someone who is upper-middle class, but came from a lower-middle class background, I do sympathize with points he makes on a number of fronts.

Previous Post Next Post

124 Comments

  • rdelbov July 12, 2017 at 8:31 am

    I can now report that per the Judicial conference Janice Brown, DC circuit court of appeals, will be retiring on 08/31/2017. So she will not be taking senior status. The difference between retired and senior status is not money-both judges receive either a pension or salary that is more or less the same. The difference she can teach or work at a think tank or write full time without doing judicial work or worry about cannon of professional ethics for judges.

    It was mentioned that Anne Williams of the 7th circuit is taking senior status on Tuesday. Another circuit court judge-Frank Hull (a female from Georgia) is taking senior status on the 11th circuit. This will not change the 11th circuit (currently 3 R appointments-7 D appointments-now two vacancies) as the court has a reputation for being moderate/conservative Circuit. Several of the D appointees were appointed by R presidents to the lower court plus most of the judges had experience on federal district court slots. While service on the lower court does not always mean judicial restraint it often does.

    I think we see numerous votes in judiciary committee over the next month or so on judges plus more Trump nominees plus more D noise on judges.

    • Ryan_in_SEPA July 12, 2017 at 8:45 am

      There is a backlog of judges who are capable of taking senior status on our side from the 2003-2007 Bush nominations.


      31, PA-6, fiscally conservative communitarian

      • rdelbov July 12, 2017 at 9:07 am

        There are still 20 or so Reagan/Bush 41 judges who could take senior status. There are nearly that same amount of Bush 43 judges. There are +70 judges right now on the circuit court of out 160 or so slots who could take retirement.

    • prsteve11 July 12, 2017 at 10:05 am

      As a point of interest, the Senate Judiciary Committee is scheduled to hold a hearing tomorrow on some federal judges (Bush and Newsom).


      SC-03, Conservative Republican

      • Mayor Perk July 12, 2017 at 10:07 am

        Which is pathetic. Those two are red state judges where blue slips are not an issue. Grassley needs to pick up the pace.


        30. OH-12. Establishment Republican.

        • prsteve11 July 12, 2017 at 12:55 pm

          I agree. I thought Senator Grassley wasn’t going to be buffaloed on blue slips for circuit court nominees?


          SC-03, Conservative Republican

          • rdelbov July 12, 2017 at 2:15 pm

            Grassley will work around Blue Slips but here is the deal-he has to do it under extraordinary circumstances. Thus the GOP will do that once the democrats stall and block capable nominees. Current circuit court nominees from MI-MN-ND-CO will be the litmus test. If Ds refuse to work with GOP then we move onto district nominees.

            I note that in the case of circuit court nominees to 7th-8th-6th-10th Trump’s nominees have met with near universal kudos from both republicans and democrats in IN-MN-MI-CO. Of course Franken and Kobuchar claim they were not adequately consulted. What a farce.

            • prsteve11 July 12, 2017 at 4:23 pm

              I note that in the case of circuit court nominees to 7th-8th-6th-10th Trump’s nominees have met with near universal kudos from both republicans and democrats in IN-MN-MI-CO.

              I must say I’m surprised that the Dems have signed off on all of his latest appointments. Aren’t they fairly conservative?


              SC-03, Conservative Republican

              • rdelbov July 12, 2017 at 5:25 pm

                Democratic senators from ND-MN-MI-CO have not said anything negative about Trump’s circuit court nominees from their states. They have not yet, however, said how they would be voting nor have they returned blue slips. So basically the D senators are stalling. It is pure D politics. They are still complaining about how Obama nominees did not get a vote for court appointments in 2015-2016. Of course Bush nominees did not get chances for senate votes many many times during the 2001-2008 time period but Ds love to whine and whine. So Grassley will have let some time pass before he pulls the trigger on Blue Slip tradition.

                McConnell and Grassley might have to toss the Ds a few bones on judicial matters to spend things along. I still think Trump could be on pace for +200 confirmations in four years. Will Sessions/Trump have to give a little ground-I suspect so but we will see.

              • BostonPatriot July 12, 2017 at 5:29 pm

                The ones that matter haven’t. Donnelly, Casey, and the pairs from MN and MI have all yet to return their blue slips on the nominees from their state, all of whom are qualified, Federalist Society conservtiaves.

                There’s a reason the only action has been on nominees from Kentucky and DC, both of which McConnell can push forward singlehandedly.

                • prsteve11 July 12, 2017 at 5:36 pm

                  The Dems won’t miss a chance to be stupid and obstructive so I fully expect fireworks here on the blue slip front in the relevant states – at least for MI and MN. ND and IN are more question marks as both Heitkamp and Donnelly supported Justice Gorsuch. They’re in for likely tough Senate races so obstructing a judge for being conservative might not sell well at home.


                  SC-03, Conservative Republican

          • krazen1211 July 12, 2017 at 3:08 pm

            The time frame is reasonable. Both those guys were nominated 2 months ago?

            I think we are making good progress. There was a big judicial flurry in December 2010 and December 2014. I expect the same this year.

            For the blur slips i think we might start with split states like PA and CO rather than go nuclear on 2 dem states.

  • Mayor Perk July 12, 2017 at 8:46 am

    You know to stop and run far away when David Brooks starts quoting The Brookings Institution. I also love the humblebrag about the gourmet sandwich shop. He’s truly insufferable.


    30. OH-12. Establishment Republican.

    • zbigreddogz July 12, 2017 at 10:16 am

      I don’t think it’s a humblebrag to say you eat $12 dollar fancy sandwiches. If anything, he’s poking fun at himself a little and others who live and work in DC.

      He can be smarmy but I think there’s a lot to his overall point here.

      • rdw72777 July 12, 2017 at 11:02 am

        But there’s nothing new here. High income areas have better schools than low income areas? Duh, they pay for them, the good schools didn’t just magically happen. People of like ethnic and socio-economic factors gravitate towards each other? Duh. I mean what is actually new here?

        Oh and the metaphor about Whole Foods? It’s absolutely 100000000% the prices that keep lower income people out. Poor people know what quality fresh apples and fresh caught Salmon are of course they just can’t afford to pay $4 per apple and $20 per pound for Salmon that Whole Foods charges. There’s no college diploma holder discount.

        • kewgardens July 12, 2017 at 1:21 pm

          Oh and the metaphor about Whole Foods? It’s absolutely 100000000% the prices that keep lower income people out . . . they just can’t afford to pay $4 per apple and $20 per pound for Salmon that Whole Foods charges.

          Except that this is not true. I was in a Whole Foods in Manhattan this morning (holds elitist head in shame 🙂 ) and fresh fillet of salmon was $7 per pound — way cheaper than the local Gristedes. And their regular fruit (apples, bananas) is consistently CHEAPER than local competitors. Not only that but their 365 brand oreo cookies are not only healthier than the Nabisco brand but 40% cheaper.

          Yet the clientele of Whole Foods is far less diverse (read: more affluent white) than other grocery stores in the city. Part of that is, of course, geographic placement. But I suspect that is not the only reason.

          • rdw72777 July 12, 2017 at 2:40 pm

            Fine it’s the farm raised Atlantic Salmon that’s $15 per pound and the organic apple that’s $4. You need to compare Whole foods and a national supermarket chain at a non-Manhattan location to see the true cost difference. I live right next to a Acme and Whole Foods built side by side in Philadelphia and the produce and fresh meats just aren’t close.

            $15.39/pound for pork tenderloin at Whole foods versus like half that price at Acme.
            $27.49/pound for Yellowfin Tuna at Whole foods
            The produce isn’t really close.

            Even the packaged goods are more expensive at Whole foods and that’s before taking into account that low income people are going to be more likely to shop sales (which Whole foods doesn’t have) and use manufacturer’s coupons (for which most Whole foods vendors don’t offer).

            There’s a reason it got the moniker Whole Paycheck…and it had nothing to do with the race or education level of the clientele.

            • Son_of_the_South July 12, 2017 at 2:48 pm

              Yep.

              1 lb of deli salami at Giant in Cathedral Heights, DC is ~$8
              1 lb of deli salami at Whole Foods in Tenleytown, DC is ~$12

              Both of these stores are in wealthy areas that abut each other and serve a generally wealthy clientele. In fact, in the Giant you can actually grab a beer or glass of wine while you shop. They even have cup holders on the carts for your drink. Whole Foods is just more expensive, period.


              23, R, TN-08
              Classical liberals are a minority. Fusionism is the answer.

              • roguemapper July 12, 2017 at 3:18 pm

                Yeah, I’m bored, so I called for a price check at the nearby Ingles Market & Whole Foods that are 2 minutes away from one another.

                1 lb of deli salami at Ingles Market is $9.
                1 lb of deli salami at Whole Foods is $16.

                I called because I thought the price points you stated were too close. At least here the difference is even greater than what you stated.


                Dem NC-11

                • Son_of_the_South July 12, 2017 at 4:02 pm

                  Well, I’m working from memory lol. I bought it many times at Giant and only once at Whole Foods, which is probably why I screwed up that price and not the Giant one.


                  23, R, TN-08
                  Classical liberals are a minority. Fusionism is the answer.

                • Izengabe July 12, 2017 at 4:36 pm

                  “deli salami” is not a fair comparison. Not all salami meat is the same quality, taste and cost. Obviously an uncured or imported salami would be priced differently than a domestic one with fillers an nitrate. This is not really an apples to apples comparison. It’s like saying I called the Tesla dealership and their electric cars where more expensive than the one at the GM dealership. Call again and compare the price on the same product and brand sold at both stores.

                  Also a lot of this discussion about Whole Foods is moot. Amazon now owns it and my guess is the Whole Foods experience will change quite dramatically in the future. More automation, online ordering, paying with your cell phone and probably cheaper prices.


                  Follow me on Twitter: @Izengabe_

                  • roguemapper July 12, 2017 at 5:44 pm

                    Oh, I know it’s not the same. I asked about salami because that was the example given above and as I said I was pretty sure that the price difference given was too low. But however much of that price difference is due to a difference in quality it still doesn’t change the point at hand. No one said that there isn’t a difference in quality between items at Whole Foods and items at discount grocers. Upper income folks have the money to pay for that difference in quality. The reason why low income folks don’t shop at Whole Foods is because of prices, not “cultural codes” or whatever BS David Brooks is talking about. The “cultural codes” are not the cause, they are the effect.

                    That said, there’s also a big price difference in the exact same items when they’re stocked at Whole Foods versus a discount grocer. I’ll give you a specific example. I almost never shop at Whole Foods but coincidentally I dropped in on the Whole Foods store yesterday. Since I was there anyhow I figured to pick up a bag of my current cereal: Nature’s Path Organic Heritage Flakes Ancient Grains. Well, I didn’t, because Whole Foods had it marked at $10. It’s $6 at Walmart.

                    Finally, whatever changes may come due to Amazon buying Whole Foods it’s irrelevant to the point that Brooks made about the current clientele at Whole Foods. It would be interesting to see though if that changes assuming prices drop. If Brooks is right about his “cultural codes” BS then a price drop won’t make a difference. If he’s wrong, it will.


                    Dem NC-11

            • w920us July 12, 2017 at 4:16 pm

              Thank god for the parking levels above that Whole Foods! It would be impossible for me to stop in there on occasion if not for the free parking!


              R, South Philly, 47, Gay, WFU Alum
              #TrumpVoter #NeverHillary

              • Son_of_the_South July 12, 2017 at 4:34 pm

                Lol how do you know that? It slightly weirds me out because my apartment is only a few minutes’ walk from there.


                23, R, TN-08
                Classical liberals are a minority. Fusionism is the answer.

                • rdw72777 July 12, 2017 at 5:47 pm

                  W920US is referring to the Philadelphia Whole Foods at the corner 10th and South street. Both it and the Acme each have I think 2-3 levels of parking since there is no real on-street parking availability (it exists but the area is heavy-traffic so you rarely can find anything on-street).

                  • Son_of_the_South July 12, 2017 at 6:16 pm

                    Ah. The one in Tenleytown is in a parking structure that’s been partially converted. That’s why I thought he was talking about my local Whole Foods.


                    23, R, TN-08
                    Classical liberals are a minority. Fusionism is the answer.

                    • w920us July 12, 2017 at 7:25 pm

                      I confess… I’m stalking you! 😜😜

                      But yeah referring to the South Street Whole Foods,


                      R, South Philly, 47, Gay, WFU Alum
                      #TrumpVoter #NeverHillary

              • californianintexas July 12, 2017 at 5:43 pm

                There are two Whole Foods not far from me. The one near downtown SLC also has parking above the store. The other one, in Sugar House, has regular parking. With so many other good stores to choose from (Harmon’s is my and my husband’s favorite), we don’t go to Whole Foods unless they carry something that we can’t find elsewhere.


                34, Female, Libertarian, UT-02 (hometown CA-31), theelectionsgeek.com

            • Ryan_in_SEPA July 12, 2017 at 9:30 pm

              The disparity is even more apparent in the suburbs where you have non-union grocery stores like Wegmans, who basically do Whole Foods at half the price.


              31, PA-6, fiscally conservative communitarian

        • Son_of_the_South July 12, 2017 at 2:43 pm

          The real difference in schools isn’t necessarily money. It’s parental involvement. However, this tends to correlate with income for several different reasons.


          23, R, TN-08
          Classical liberals are a minority. Fusionism is the answer.

          • rdw72777 July 12, 2017 at 2:47 pm

            I would say similarly the difference in educational achievement is parental involvement for sure (as I really don’t buy the whole thing being attributed to the 6-7 hours per days kids are in class). But money, school rankings and parental involvement are all intertwined so it’s all part and partial to the same thing..

    • AD123 July 12, 2017 at 10:58 am

      I didn’t find it insufferable as much as just stupid.

      Replace all of the gourmet sandwich shops in Manhattan with Taco Bells and it won’t magically make more people upper middle class. He waives away economic barriers (college costs and housing costs in his article) for no good reason.

      • rdw72777 July 12, 2017 at 11:08 am

        In his world it’d make the divide bigger. If all those monied upper middle class folks spent less on their Taco Bell lunches (compared to gourmet sandwiches) they’d have more money to spend on their kids’ educational endeavors which would be bad. I guess the solution is making the gourmet sandwich prices for upper middle class people equal to Taco Bell prices for lower middle class in terms of purchasing power…or some junk like that.

  • rdelbov July 12, 2017 at 9:51 am

    Talk about your paranoia -voters are unregistering in Colorado to avoid having their data turned over to Trump commission on voter fraud

    http://www.denverpost.com/2017/07/11/colorado-voters-unregister-donald-trump-integrity-commission/

    Of course clamor is not a word we often see in print. 472 voters out of 399,000 active voters in Denver is not quite a stampede. I note that this information is open to the public and every SOS office that I know makes this information available to any party or pollster or any interested party (like county jury commissioners who often use voter registration information for jury summons) for price or even free to other government bureaus.

    I guess some voters want to not only have a secret ballot but a secret registration?

    • zbigreddogz July 12, 2017 at 10:17 am

      These are probably people registered in more than one place.

      Of course, that doesn’t mean they voted twice, most probably didn’t. But it means that they could have if they wanted. Which is why they should tighten up things like this.

      • HS July 12, 2017 at 10:24 am

        More likely they are just paranoid. The Dems have totally jumped the shark with Trump, and are convinced he is both uniquely radical and dangerous. No doubt these people think Trump and his evil allies the Russians are planning to use this data to control peoples minds.

      • rdw72777 July 12, 2017 at 10:46 am

        Based on what?

        • HS July 12, 2017 at 7:05 pm

          CNN. The Times and the Post. Polling of Democrats. The ravings of my Democrat relatives. The posts by you and the other Dems on this website…

          • rdw72777 July 12, 2017 at 7:25 pm

            No I was responding to Zbigr; I agree with your supposition as it has at least some basis in not assuming everything regarding voting in Dem areas is a criminal activity. Concluding that every action was due to potential criminal activity as Zbigr was suggesting was a ridiculous assertion.

    • Left Coast Libertarian July 12, 2017 at 10:44 am

      People are really uninformed at what is publicly available and are shocked to find that anyone can get some of this information. They also think that others having it will negatively impact them, when it clearly hasn’t. Colorado is right. If this information isn’t publicly available than any election official could add or subtract votes as they pleased. With the information public we can verify 200,000 people voted if they say that and that those people are eligible voters.

      • rdw72777 July 12, 2017 at 10:48 am

        Yup the average voter is not exactly the sharpest knife in the drawer. Of course it makes you wonder if the voters in Colorado, a state with party registration and one of the purple-est of states, has voters who thought their targeted mailings during primaries was somehow coincidental. Sigh…

        • Left Coast Libertarian July 12, 2017 at 1:58 pm

          One of these:

          1. Everyone gets the mailings
          2. They get their information from a source other than the state.
          3. They don’t think about it.

          • rdw72777 July 12, 2017 at 2:41 pm

            All of those in some proportion… 🙂

    • krazen1211 July 12, 2017 at 3:18 pm

      Maybe we should not make Colorado and the potheads a first 4 state in the Presidential primary. Heh.

      • Izengabe July 12, 2017 at 4:41 pm

        Passed winners of the NH primary include Pat Buchanan, Bernie Sanders, Donald Trump, Gray Hart and Jimmy Carter. My guess is that stoned voters in CO couldnt do any worst!


        Follow me on Twitter: @Izengabe_

  • segmentation_fault July 12, 2017 at 12:06 pm

    Miles at DDHQ (who also is an occasional commenter here) has an extensive analysis of NC-Gov races over the last 8 years:

    https://decisiondeskhq.com/data-dives/caught-between-coalitions-an-eisenhower-republican-in-the-tar-heel-state/


    core dumped

  • Mayor Perk July 12, 2017 at 12:35 pm

    NM-Gov/Sen/01: LG John Sanchez not running for governor; endorses Steve Pearce. Speculation is he’s looking at NM-Sen or the now open NM-01 seat.

    http://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/blogs/roundhouse_roundup/john-sanchez-not-running-for-governor/article_7cfed762-668c-11e7-9590-f777d7614fa3.html


    30. OH-12. Establishment Republican.

    • rdw72777 July 12, 2017 at 1:07 pm

      Much like Republicans should be encouraging Green candidates to run in House districts in places like upstate NY or suburban Philadelphia, NM-Sen (and NV-Sen) seems like the place where Dems should be covertly trying to get someone from the Independent American Party to run as it seems like voters for such a coandaite would be at the very least lean-R.

  • MosheM July 12, 2017 at 12:38 pm

    NEW POLL: NEW JERSEY GOV 2017 (RV)
    53% Murphy (D)
    26% Guadagno (R)

    https://t.co/l3fgfHwnOK


    28, M, R, NY-10

    • Izengabe July 12, 2017 at 12:54 pm

      Good news and bad news here!

      The good news is Guadagno is out polling Christie by 11 points. The bad news is Christie is polling at 15%.


      Follow me on Twitter: @Izengabe_

      • TexasR July 12, 2017 at 1:17 pm

        The real question, though, is: who are the 15% that approve of Christie?


        Whatever we're talking about, it's all Frank Meyer's fault
        Be careful what you wish for

        • HoneyBee July 12, 2017 at 4:32 pm

          If I lived in New Jersey, I would approve of Christie.

          Yeah, bridgegate is unexcusable and he was a total jerk for doing that beach thing, but Christie is the first real Republican New Jersey has had in a long time and is probably the first real Republican they will have for a long time. Christie, even with a Democratic legislature reduced property taxes, repealed the death tax, balanced the budget, reformed the pension system a bit, expanded charter schools and is the first pro-life Governor of New Jersey since Roe v Wade. That’s enough to make me approve even with his antics.


          Former Anti-Trump Rubio supporter in the primaries. Trump is now my favorite Republican

          • Izengabe July 12, 2017 at 4:45 pm

            His antics is why he is such a disappointment. New Jersey has an imperial Governor system and its Governor is one of the most powerful governors in the country. Christie started off well but his hubris threw it all away. He could have done so much more but threw it all away for his own vanity. He put his own self interest above the people who elected him. He betrayed their trust and is a giant embarrassment the the GOP.I could never approve of that.


            Follow me on Twitter: @Izengabe_

            • rdw72777 July 12, 2017 at 5:49 pm

              As you (I think) pointed out the other day the GW Bridge closure really showed how he doesn’t care about the average person. I’d argue the beach thing showed the same though there’s more nuance there but the Bridge was pretty clearly designed to hurt the mayor by making everyone in proximity to the bridge miserable for a few days…

    • prsteve11 July 12, 2017 at 12:58 pm

      I suppose it will tighten a bit as ED approaches, but Christie sure hasn’t done Guadagno any favors.


      SC-03, Conservative Republican

      • StatenIslandTest July 12, 2017 at 6:22 pm

        So the regional breakdowns here a little odd:

        North: Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Morris, Passaic, Sussex, Union, Warren.
        Murphy 65-19!

        Central: Hunterdon,
        Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Somerset Murphy 42-34

        South: Atlantic, Burlington, Camden Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester, Ocean, Salem Murphy 48-29

        The South makes sense, central too close for statewide and theres no way hes at 65 in the North with Morris, Sussex and Warren in there.


        31, Jersey City

  • Mayor Perk July 12, 2017 at 12:44 pm

    WI-Gov: Wealthy Milwaukee area businessman Andy Gronik (D) announces run for governor. Will not self-finance; calling the practice “wrong.”

    https://www.wpr.org/businessman-andy-gronik-announces-bid-governor


    30. OH-12. Establishment Republican.

    • Tekzilla July 12, 2017 at 9:28 pm

      Evers would be a much better get, but I suppose this is a good backup.


      36/M/NY-01 (D)

  • Mayor Perk July 12, 2017 at 1:09 pm

    Regarding NJ-Sen, if Menendez is convicted before Christmas, I assume he would hold on until Murphy took office (even if serving from a prison cell)?


    30. OH-12. Establishment Republican.

    • kewgardens July 12, 2017 at 1:28 pm

      Who would Murphy appoint? Does Norcross want to be a Senator?

      • Mayor Perk July 12, 2017 at 1:37 pm

        I would assume Norcross would be the favorite.


        30. OH-12. Establishment Republican.

    • Izengabe July 12, 2017 at 1:52 pm

      If Menendez cuts a plea they would insist he resigns. I am sure Menendez is using his seat as a bargaining chip in any plea negotiations with he Justice Department.


      Follow me on Twitter: @Izengabe_

      • Mayor Perk July 12, 2017 at 1:57 pm

        Clock is definitely ticking on a plea bargain. Trial is set to begin in September with jury selection in late August. If he accepts a plea bargain and immediately resigns, Christie is the hero and appoints a GOP caretaker who becomes the 50th vote on ACA repeal!


        30. OH-12. Establishment Republican.

        • Left Coast Libertarian July 12, 2017 at 2:01 pm

          When Michael Grimm accepted a plea bargain the Justice department didn’t make him resigning a condition of the agreement.

          • Izengabe July 12, 2017 at 2:23 pm

            Grimm held off resigning until sentencing agreement was completed. It was the last card he was holding.


            Follow me on Twitter: @Izengabe_

        • MikeFL July 12, 2017 at 2:22 pm

          Christie would appoint himself, lol.


          26 | FL-16/27 | FisCon

          • Izengabe July 12, 2017 at 2:42 pm

            No Christie will nominate Mike Francesa to the Senate to guarantee himself a spot on his sports radio show.


            Follow me on Twitter: @Izengabe_

            • HS July 12, 2017 at 5:44 pm

              I wouldn’t be surprised if Christie appointed a Democrat to help his approval rating.

              • Manhatlibertarian July 12, 2017 at 8:16 pm

                As bad as Christie is I don’t think he would appoint a Dem to the Senate. I think he is beyond caring what his approval rating is now.

                • californianintexas July 12, 2017 at 11:58 pm

                  He didn’t appoint a Democrat to replace the late Frank Lautenberg.


                  34, Female, Libertarian, UT-02 (hometown CA-31), theelectionsgeek.com

                  • Izengabe July 13, 2017 at 12:03 am

                    Yes, the last time Christie appointed one of his aides who promised not to run to election to the Senate and take attention away from Christie’s own re-election.


                    Follow me on Twitter: @Izengabe_

          • Manhatlibertarian July 12, 2017 at 5:44 pm

            If Menendez is convicted before the end of the year, he will likely want to stay in the Senate pending an appeal. However, the GOP could move to expel him from the Senate since he is a convicted felon, creating a vacancy and allowing for an appointment by Christie. It would also create a dilemma for Dem Senators up for election in 2018: vote to kick out a party colleague or face voters after having voted to keep a convicted felon in the Senate.

            • Ryan_in_SEPA July 12, 2017 at 9:35 pm

              We can only hope such a situation occurs. The final act for Christie would be appointing himself to the Senate.


              31, PA-6, fiscally conservative communitarian

          • shamlet July 12, 2017 at 9:42 pm

            The real way to say eff you to the state would be to appoint Bridget Kelly.


            R, MD-7. Process is more important than outcome.

            • pstchrisp July 13, 2017 at 10:28 am

              Bill Baroni was probably on the actual short list for Lautenberg’s seat. He probably would have had a puncher’s chance to hold it.

  • RogueBeaver July 12, 2017 at 1:46 pm

    Brazil: Lula convicted on corruption charges & sentenced to 9 years in prison, will remain free pending appeal. http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-40588992?ns_mchannel=social&ns_campaign=bbc_breaking&ns_source=twitter&ns_linkname=news_central


    QC/Blue Tory/M

    • VastBlightKingConspiracy July 12, 2017 at 7:59 pm

      Dang, this is big. Lula has consistently led Brazilian opinion polls for the upcoming presidential election. I wonder if he could win from jail lol.

      Honestly, the Brazilian prosecutorial system is starting to get kind of ridiculous.


      I am not a member of any organized political party. I am a Republican.

      • Greyhound July 12, 2017 at 9:45 pm

        Really? I thought it was more that just about everyone in Brazilian Politics was and has always been thoroughly corrupt, and the prosecutors are just starting to get to addressing that.


        R, 26, CA-18. Anti-Anti-Trump

        • jncca July 12, 2017 at 10:09 pm

          It’s definitely that one.


          24, CA-6. Part Obama, Part May, Part Christian Democrat.

        • VastBlightKingConspiracy July 12, 2017 at 10:12 pm

          Oh yeah, you’re totally correct on that point. That being said, throwing almost every elected official in the country into jail can’t be healthy. Especially when many of them are so popular, they’d win despite the corruption charges. Lula would probably be elected President even if though he’s corrupt as hell. It makes me uncomfortable that we’re having prosecutors and judges basically decide “naw, he’s not going to be President.” Even though I’d think he’d be a pretty terrible President (his economic performance was almost based entirely on a commodities boom). Also, my Brazilian friends are huge Bolsonaro supporters and ecstatic about this, so I can’t complain that much. But it makes me a little uneasy.


          I am not a member of any organized political party. I am a Republican.

          • Ryan_in_SEPA July 12, 2017 at 11:03 pm

            Sometimes you need to throw a lot of big wigs in jail to get some control on the insanity. Jailing several prominent legislators in Pennsylvania seems to have controlled the corruption for now.


            31, PA-6, fiscally conservative communitarian

          • californianintexas July 13, 2017 at 12:25 am

            My husband would love to see every elected official there, as well as the lobbyists, thrown in jail. He can’t stand Bolsonaro because Bolsonaro defended the military regime, which was in power when my husband was a kid, saying Brazil was more stable and prosperous at those times. The military regime didn’t allow any effective organized opposition, they set up an Electoral College system that ensured that only military men could be elected president, and allowed only two parties, their ARENA Party, and the Democratic Movement (MDB), the ineffective opposition party. They also appointed 1/3 of Congress, heavily censored the press, and banned even peaceful street protests. Opposition figures would be “disappeared”, tortured, and even killed or forced into exile. The president could (and did do 5 times) an institutional act, an executive order with the power of a constitutional amendment.

            My husband is no fan of Lula or Dilma because their programs for the poor looked good on paper but didn’t really improve their status, and collapsed when the economy went into recession. He usually votes for the centrist Social Democrats. Fernando Henrique Cardoso is his favorite president.


            34, Female, Libertarian, UT-02 (hometown CA-31), theelectionsgeek.com

            • VastBlightKingConspiracy July 13, 2017 at 1:22 am

              Opinion of Bolsonaro seems to line pretty perfectly with people’s opinion of the military junta, for I suppose obvious reasons. I remember hearing a friend describe the fall of the junta as the “worst thing to happen to Brazil since Getulio Vargas”.

              Coincidentally, the junta is actually a constant source of fascination among people who study economics because Brazil and Korea are really the last countries to give import-substitution industrialization a whirl and their economic growth tracks pretty closely together until the fall of the military junta in Brazil. The story I hear is that the post-military governments sucked, but I happen to also think the last junta administration engaged in remarkably irresponsible fiscal policy in a desperate attempt to prolong its rule. So I actually have a pretty high opinion of Cardoso too. But the facts on the ground was there was almost no per capita economic growth between the end of the military junta and well, the (short-lived as we can see now) commodities boom in the early 2000’s. So I can see why some people are nostalgic for the military junta.

              If a government in America was picking presidents from the Joint Chiefs of Staff, “disappearing” journalists, rolling tanks down every street of America, and this somehow all hypothetically led to 4% GDP growth, it’d probably have my support.


              I am not a member of any organized political party. I am a Republican.

    • VastBlightKingConspiracy July 12, 2017 at 8:09 pm

      A friend tells me that Brazilian law prohibits people from running for office 8 years after being released from jail for a serious conviction, but that it doesn’t apply until a party’s criminal appeals fail. So Lula is good to run until his appeal fails.

      Of course, a party might not want to nominate someone who could randomly become ineligible for the office.

      Ironically, the law in question was signed by Lula himself.


      I am not a member of any organized political party. I am a Republican.

  • MosheM July 12, 2017 at 4:40 pm

    WSJ: Russian officials overheard discussing meeting with Trump associates before campaign began https://t.co/hHAmhfSnjM via @WSJ


    28, M, R, NY-10

    • segmentation_fault July 12, 2017 at 10:21 pm

      So Trump is actually a Russian plant.


      core dumped

    • Son_of_the_South July 12, 2017 at 5:00 pm

      Wow. I’m kind of speechless.


      23, R, TN-08
      Classical liberals are a minority. Fusionism is the answer.

    • Izengabe July 12, 2017 at 5:07 pm

      The real fun will be the Ted Nugent vs Rid Rock MI-Sen 2018 GOP primary!


      Follow me on Twitter: @Izengabe_

      • Republican Michigander July 12, 2017 at 5:56 pm

        I like Nugent’s music and his love of hunting, but he left the state.

        His skeletons are also closer to the level of Bill Clinton instead of Donald Trump.


        MI-08 - Michigan is a red state again. We need a 50 state strategy and an 83 county strategy.

        • Izengabe July 12, 2017 at 7:06 pm

          TFW people can no longer tell parody from reality.


          Follow me on Twitter: @Izengabe_

    • Izengabe July 12, 2017 at 5:09 pm

      All joking aside Kid Rock would be without a doubt the best GOP recruit for this seat. MI-Sen really has not been on the table and if Kid Rock ran he could push the table over.


      Follow me on Twitter: @Izengabe_

    • Republican Michigander July 12, 2017 at 5:54 pm

      No FEC Paperwork filed. No disclaimer on signs. He’d also have to be on the ballot as Bob or Robert Ritchie. It goes back to his record label site.

      I’ll believe an actual run when I see it.


      MI-08 - Michigan is a red state again. We need a 50 state strategy and an 83 county strategy.

      • OGGoldy July 12, 2017 at 7:18 pm

        It depends. James Janos was able to appear on the Minnesota gubernatorial ballot as Jesse Ventura. Not sure of Michigan law on the matter though.

        • Republican Michigander July 12, 2017 at 7:39 pm

          Michigan law is rather strict. It only allows Real name or commonly known nicknames. Michael Bishop could be on the ballot as Mike Bishop since everyone knows “Mike” as being short for Michael. Richard Snyder was on the ballot as Rick Snyder.

          When Rocky Raczkowski ran for Senate, he had to be on the ballot as “Andrew Raczkowski.” He later changed his middle name so he was on the ballot as “A. Rocky Raczkowski” in his congressional run. When Buddy Moorehouse ran, he had to legally change his name since that wasn’t an “acceptable” nickname (And the ballot shows the old name if changed in last 5 years unless it is through marriage reasons), even though everyone knew him by that name. That hurt a friend of mine bad in a campaign who is a Chaldean immigrant. His known name is Michael (and his whole family calls him that), but he was born in Iraq and “legally” had a more “Islamic/Arabic” sounding first name.

          If Jesse Ventura ran here, he’d be “James Janos” unless he changed his name.

          If Robert Ritchie runs, he’d have to be on the ballot as his name or change his name.


          MI-08 - Michigan is a red state again. We need a 50 state strategy and an 83 county strategy.

          • shamlet July 12, 2017 at 8:01 pm

            If he actually ran, would the legislature be able/willing to ram through a quick change to let him be listed as Robert “Kid Rock” Ritchie or something like that?


            R, MD-7. Process is more important than outcome.

            • Republican Michigander July 12, 2017 at 8:17 pm

              He could legally change his name to Robert “Kid Rock” Ritchie.


              MI-08 - Michigan is a red state again. We need a 50 state strategy and an 83 county strategy.

              • shamlet July 12, 2017 at 8:20 pm

                But wouldn’t that not appear on the ballot for 5 years?


                R, MD-7. Process is more important than outcome.

                • Republican Michigander July 12, 2017 at 8:59 pm

                  It would say the following on the ballot.
                  “Kid Rock” or “Bob Kid Rock Ritchie”
                  (formerly Robert Ritchie)


                  MI-08 - Michigan is a red state again. We need a 50 state strategy and an 83 county strategy.

  • Greyhound July 12, 2017 at 5:35 pm

    Brad Sherman files articles of impeachment against Trump:
    https://sherman.house.gov/media-center/press-releases/congressman-sherman-introduces-article-of-impeachment-obstruction-of
    Has exactly 1 co-signer so far.


    R, 26, CA-18. Anti-Anti-Trump

    • andyroo312 July 12, 2017 at 7:36 pm

      Dumbass. All this will do is tickle Trump.


      MA-7

      • VastBlightKingConspiracy July 12, 2017 at 7:57 pm

        The purpose isn’t to hurt Trump. It’s to burnish his “progressive” credentials.


        I am not a member of any organized political party. I am a Republican.

    • Manhatlibertarian July 12, 2017 at 8:10 pm

      But I thought it was up to Maxine Waters to decide who gets impeached!

  • Manhatlibertarian July 12, 2017 at 6:26 pm

    Well as long as we have investigations into ties between political campaigns and foreign governments to dig up dirt on opponents, then how about this. DNC operative Alexandra Chalupa met with Ukranian officials, such as the Ukrainian ambassador to the US, to dig up dirt on Paul Manafort and Trump. According to Politico she then turned over her information to the DNC and the Clinton campaign. Perhaps GOP members of the relevant Congressional investigating committees should expand their investigation to look at this also.

    https://thehornnews.com/trump-jr-meeting-secret-truth-wow!

    • HS July 12, 2017 at 7:00 pm

      http://m.washingtontimes.com/news/2017/jul/11/democrats-spread-false-russian-information-on-trum/

      It turns out, as usual, the Democrats were attacking Trump for collusion when they were “guilty” (not legally) of colluding with the Russians rather than him.

      The people who look worse, of course, are the GOP leadership, which is going along with the talking points without challenging them and focusing on Republican priorities or Dem scandals. This is because the GOP is the Stupid Party.

      • Manhatlibertarian July 12, 2017 at 8:04 pm

        Yes this is the infamous Steele memo that was summarized by US intelligence agencies and contained such tidbits as a supposed kinky Trump sex orgy with prostitutes in the bed Obama had slept in in Moscow and a meeting in Prague between Michael Cohen, a Trump lawyer and a Russian official to discuss anti-Clinton moves (Cohen said he was not in Prague at the time). Steele, who was a British intelligence agent years ago, was paid by the Clinton campaign to dig up dirt on Trump and he claimed he got his info from Russian government officials. Even Jim Comey in testimony claimed the info in the memo was unverifiable. But if a presidential campaign obtaining political dirt on an opponent from foreign government officials is wrong, then Clinton campaign operatives involved in this need to be questioned also. But of course part of the problem is that Steele doesn’t give the names of the Russian officials involved, so you can’t contact them to see if they really said what is claimed; and for that matter a lot of the info could have been invented by Steele for all we know.

  • shamlet July 12, 2017 at 7:23 pm

    WATN: R-turned-D ex-State Rep. Nathan Fletcher running for SD County Supervisor; will likely face DA Bonnie Dumanis (R). http://fox5sandiego.com/2017/07/11/nathan-fletcher-to-run-for-county-board-of-supervisors/


    R, MD-7. Process is more important than outcome.

  • w920us July 12, 2017 at 7:56 pm

    I am personally devastated. Well not really.

    MSNBC’s Joe Scarborough Is Leaving The Republican Party
    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/joe-scarborough-republican_us_5965541be4b09b587d632516


    R, South Philly, 47, Gay, WFU Alum
    #TrumpVoter #NeverHillary

    • Republican Michigander July 12, 2017 at 8:18 pm

      Good riddance to the now FORMERLY GOP version of Gary Condit……..


      MI-08 - Michigan is a red state again. We need a 50 state strategy and an 83 county strategy.

      • TexasR July 12, 2017 at 8:21 pm

        To be fair, Scarborough was never a suspect in a highly publicized murder investigation.


        Whatever we're talking about, it's all Frank Meyer's fault
        Be careful what you wish for

        • jncca July 12, 2017 at 9:03 pm

          Also to be fair, Condit had an affair, but he was not at all involved in the murder, so criticizing him for being a suspect is silly.


          24, CA-6. Part Obama, Part May, Part Christian Democrat.

          • BostonPatriot July 12, 2017 at 9:16 pm

            The police didn’t consider him a suspect but the media did, and when he lost in 2002 plenty of people thought he had something to do with the murder. So it can go either way.

    • GoBigRedState July 12, 2017 at 9:18 pm

      He’d essentially left a long time ago. I’m surprised it took him this long to make it official. I remember liking him when he was a congressman. Seems ages ago now.


      45, NE-1, #NeverTrump in 2016, support Trump now as situation warrants

    • segmentation_fault July 12, 2017 at 10:16 pm

      https://twitter.com/DavidNir/status/884923699811450881


      core dumped

      • Ryan_in_SEPA July 12, 2017 at 11:13 pm

        I am sure Ryan and Joe have very similar feelings on Trump.


        31, PA-6, fiscally conservative communitarian

        • segmentation_fault July 12, 2017 at 11:48 pm

          The joke is that Joe’s party registration is irrelevant bc he’s a talk show host and not in Congress.


          core dumped

    • Izengabe July 13, 2017 at 12:27 am

      Joe Scarborough is leaving the Republican Party because Donald Trump has coopted the agenda Joe Scarborough has spent the last dozen years advocating for. Ideologically Trump and Scarborough are soulmates. During the campaign Trump’s talking points on Iraq, foreign policy, trade and entitlements seems straight out of Morning Joe. Their falling out is 100% personal which makes the whole thing is rather sad.


      Follow me on Twitter: @Izengabe_

    Leave a Reply

    Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!