Political Roundup for August 11, 2017

Senate:

TN-Sen/TN-6: State Sen. Mark Green (R) will not run for any higher office next year. Green had previously announced a run for governor earlier this year, but suspended that bid while he was under consideration to be Secretary of the Army. He later withdrew his name from consideration, but did not restart his campaign for governor. Sen. Bob Corker (R) has not yet said whether he is seeking re-election, but some had hoped Green would challenge him or run for the open seat if Corker does not run fro re-election. There was also some speculation Green might run for TN-6, which Rep. Diane Black (R) is giving up to run for governor.

TX-Sen: Former Corpus Christi Mayor Dan McQueen (R) is challenging Sen. Ted Cruz (R) in the Republican primary. Running for Senate seems like a curious choice for McQueen after he resigned from his job as Corpus Christi Mayor earlier this year after spending just 37 days on the job. Among other things, McQueen is running on reducing the size of Congress to about one representative per 1 million people(the current average is about 1 per 711,000).

House:

FL-6: Former state Rep. Fred Costello (R) is planning to run for Congress, but only if Rep. Ron DeSantis (R) decides to run for governor. Costello has run for Congress twice before, losing to DeSantis in the 2012 and 2016 Republican primaries.

IN-4: Diego Morales, an Army veteran and a senior advisor to VP Mike Pence when Pence was governor is running for this now open seat. Morales is the first candidate to announce plans to run since Rep. Todd Rokita announced on Tuesday he is running for US Senate.  Also, state Sen. Brandt Hershman (R) announced on Facebook he is not running.

MA-3: Dan Koh, chief of staff to Boston Mayor Marty Walsh (D) hasn’t said anything publicly yet about running for this newly open seat, but of he does, he has the full support of his current boss. Walsh says he is “100 percent behind” Koh running for the seat. Koh, whose name was mentioned in connection with the seat after Rep. Niki Tsongas (D) announced her retirement Wednesday has said in the past that he has considered running for Congress or another elected office.

TN-6: Former Tennessee Agriculture Commissioner John Rose (R) has announced he will run for Congress next year. Rose served as Ag Commissioner from 2002-2003 and also has been involved with the Tennessee State Fair Association and owns a business that trains IT professionals. Rose joins state Rep. Judd Matheny (R) in the GOP primary. Political strategist Scottie Nell Hughes, an ardent supporter of President Trump has also expressed interest in the race.

Governor:

AL-Gov: State Senate President Del Marsh (R) will run for re-election to the state Senate and not run for governor. Marsh had been considering getting into the governor’s race, but said he wanted to wait until Gov. Kay Ivey (R) decided whether or not to run. Ivey says she is close to making a decision.

CO-Gov: Former Colorado State athletic director Jack Graham is considering running for governor, but wants to be sure he can win the Republican primary. Graham says he is a “different kind of candidate” who favors limited government and a strong defense but who is also pro-choice, pro-gay rights and favors some forms of gun control. He ran for US Senate last year, finishing a distant second behind Darryl Glenn in the Republican primary.

CT-Gov: Senate Republican Leader Len Fasano will not join the crowded GOP primary for governor. A gubernatorial bid by Fasano could have set up an awkward matchup between the Republican leaders of both the House and Senate with House Minority Leader Themis Klarides still deciding on a potential bid. 3 Republicans are already running with 3 others having formed exploratory committees, and others like Klarides could still join the race.

ME-Gov: Former state Rep. Diane Russell (D) is joining the Democratic primary for governor. Russell identifies herself as a “hardcore progressive” and favors single-payer healthcare. She was also a supporter in the Legislature of legalizing recreational marijuana and was also a supporter of the ranked-choice voting initiative. She joins 6 other Democrats in the primary.

MD-Gov: Krish Vignarajah, a former policy director for Michelle Obama, is joining the Democratic nomination for governor. However, questions have been raised about whether she meets Maryland’s residency requirements to run. Candidates must have been a registered voter in the state for 5 years, and while she says she registered to vote in the state as early as she was able, she also registered to vote in the District of Columbia in 2010 and voted there in 2014. She says she never voted in more than one place at a time, and doesn’t think being registered in more than one place precludes her from meeting the requirements.

 

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120 Comments

    • roguemapper August 11, 2017 at 8:44 am

      More like Sinema planning on challenging Kelli Ward. 😉


      Dem NC-11

      • HS August 11, 2017 at 9:22 am

        When Sinema gets in I think another Republican will jump in. Flake really hurt himself with the Trump Republicans at the worst possible time. And lets not forget national security hawks and illegal immigration opponents already didn’t like him.

      • andyroo312 August 11, 2017 at 10:25 am

        Sinema would defeat Ward by double-digits.


        MA-7

    • Tekzilla August 11, 2017 at 9:04 am

      Surprised Stanton is running for Congress and not for Governor. I wonder who they get for Governor then? Gordon? Carmona? Someone else?

      At this point, Sinema vs Flake is Tilt D and Sinema vs Ward is probably Lean D.


      36/M/NY-01 (D)

      • zbigreddogz August 11, 2017 at 9:05 am

        If Flake makes it through the primary, I don’t see why Sinema is the favorite against him.

        • rdw72777 August 11, 2017 at 9:36 am

          Because Trump will actively campaign against Flake through the GE to prove a point. The hard right stays home and the balance of the electorate is probably 50-50. I don’t think Sinema beats Flake heads up without Flake having a scandal or something; AZ just always seems like fool’s gold for us.

          • andyroo312 August 11, 2017 at 10:28 am

            Yeah, I definitely think Flake fares better than Sinema in the general but he’ll still have a tough time getting much higher than 46-47%. If Trump actively campaigns against him, he could wind up down double-digits in November. Heck, if Trump endorses a third-party conservative against him, it could be a landslide Democratic win.


            MA-7

          • zbigreddogz August 11, 2017 at 12:46 pm

            I seriously doubt Trump would do that. He’d be an idiot if he does.

            Wait…

        • Indy1975a August 11, 2017 at 12:07 pm

          She isn’t. I think people are overreacting to Flake expressing his conscience. I think that will get Flake support across the political spectrum, and most although not all hard core Trumpists will hold their nose and vote for Flake.
          Flake could still lose, but that would be because the national environment is bad more than his viewpoints.

          Also I might add, Sinema is non-religious at the least and an atheist at worst, and she has a very hipster vibe her record aside. That also will not help Sinema. As I’ve said before, if Sinema is actually an atheist, she is not electable in California, let alone Arizona.


          Independent, R until November 2016. Proud "Globalist Cuck"!

          • rdelbov August 11, 2017 at 12:23 pm

            Yup my thinking as well.

          • zbigreddogz August 11, 2017 at 12:47 pm

            She’s also openly bisexual, which ironically hurts her more than being gay. I know a lot of hardcore gay activist types that really don’t like bisexuals much, regardless of what they’ll say publicly.

            • andyroo312 August 11, 2017 at 1:27 pm

              Oh yeah, I’m sure they’ll cross over to Ward, who wants to ensure they can’t get married or adopt children.


              MA-7

              • zbigreddogz August 11, 2017 at 1:34 pm

                If Ward is the nominee, it won’t matter, Ward will get crushed.

                What I’m talking if Flake is.

            • Indy1975a August 11, 2017 at 2:04 pm

              That adds to her flaky hipster image as well. If she gets her somewhat moderate record out there early, perhaps she can undercut it, but most people vote on their perception and not just the political record. Gay activist types will vote for Sinema, though. It isn’t much different than hardcore Trumpist types and Flake.


              Independent, R until November 2016. Proud "Globalist Cuck"!

              • Son_of_the_South August 11, 2017 at 2:07 pm

                Eh, I’d say she hasn’t had a hipster image since her first term. That might be her real self, but if it is, she’s hidden it well.


                24, R, TN-09
                Classical liberals are a minority. Fusionism is the answer.

            • fzw August 11, 2017 at 2:15 pm

              Flake is not the kind of person to run a personal smear campaign like that, and even if outside GOP groups did start a smear campaign themselves, it would have the potential to backfire. IIRC, Arizona is more agnostic, pro-choice and pro-LGBT than the nation at large, like many western states. Hell, Michele Reagan and Kelli Ward herself have identified as pro-choice in the past! It also wouldn’t help that Sinema comes off as likable.

              @Tekzilla: my theory is that Stanton is starting a House account now so that he can transition to the other Senate race if that becomes open.


              Currently MO-5. From MO-3.
              R-leaning Indy.

            • krazen1211 August 11, 2017 at 3:27 pm

              Unmarried lesbian atheist just screams secret SJW status.

      • GerGOP August 11, 2017 at 9:31 am

        Yep, I’m in agreement with you here.

      • jncca August 11, 2017 at 10:31 am

        Ducey is popular, so it’s a much harder race than running against Flake.


        24, CA-6. Part Obama, Part May, Part Christian Democrat.

        • HS August 11, 2017 at 10:52 am

          I can’t imagine Ducey is going to run. Has there been any indication he is considering It?

          I think Frank’s and DeWitt are the most likely candidates.

          • GoBigRedState August 11, 2017 at 11:17 am

            He means Ducey running for re-election as governor.


            45, NE-1, #NeverTrump in 2016, support Trump now as situation warrants

        • Tekzilla August 11, 2017 at 10:52 am

          Of course, but considering the cycle is somewhat decently likely to be a blue leaning one I’d figure someone would take a shot.


          36/M/NY-01 (D)

      • cer August 11, 2017 at 10:33 am

        Sorry, but either way that race will still lean GOP.

        However, I’m still hoping that a strong GOP challenger, not named Ward, emerges to take on Flake.


        Conservative first, Republican second!

        • andyroo312 August 11, 2017 at 11:03 am

          No way this is a Lean R affair with Ward as the nominee.


          MA-7

        • shamlet August 11, 2017 at 11:06 am

          A big part of the problem is that it’s still not clear if one seat will be up or two. And nobody with a realistic shot at the appointment would want to toss that away by primarying Flake.

          I really hope Flake just retires. It’s quite clear by now that he has become one of those rare incumbents that’s actually an impediment to holding the seat (McCaskill is the only other one up this cycle.)


          R, MD-7. Process is more important than outcome.

          • HS August 11, 2017 at 11:20 am

            Agree 100% – Flakes is a political doofus, so I wish he would just go.

            • Manhatlibertarian August 11, 2017 at 1:10 pm

              Sinema is non religious and openly bisexual but that hasn’t prevented her from being elected to Congress. Being non-religious didn’t stop Bennet from being elected senator from Colorado. Don’t forget we are talking about Arizona not Alabama. She has a more centrist voting record than most Dems and is to the right of Flake on illegal immigration, so I think she has the edge against Flake in the Senate race. Plus some Trump supporters may just skip the Senate race or even vote for Sinema, who after all is not running like some kind of SJW candidate.

              • shamlet August 11, 2017 at 1:40 pm

                I think there are around 5 Senators that have no known active religious affiliation. I can’t remember exactly who, but I know Bennet is one and I think Hirono and Baldwin are two others.


                R, MD-7. Process is more important than outcome.

                • roguemapper August 11, 2017 at 4:19 pm

                  Hirono is Buddhist. Duckworth is unaffiliated and Sanders is non-practicing Jewish.


                  Dem NC-11

                  • shamlet August 11, 2017 at 4:29 pm

                    Ahh, yes. Duckworth was the one I was forgetting. I thought I remembered Hirono describing herself as non-practicing Buddhist somewhere but I could be mistaken.


                    R, MD-7. Process is more important than outcome.

              • Indy1975a August 11, 2017 at 2:12 pm

                Her district is far more culturally liberal than the state as a whole. It is by far the most culturally liberal district in the state (yes more so than even Grijalva’s). Sinema isn’t running as a SJW candidate, but that’s because she’s politically smart. That doesn’t mean that she isn’t one. Back in 2006, she said that stay-at-home moms are leeches.

                >Attack ads dredged up a pretty loopy interview Sinema gave in 2006 to a now-defunct fashion magazine, 944. In the interview she dissed stay-at-home moms, saying “these women who act like staying at home, leeching off their husbands or boyfriends, and just cashing the checks is some sort of feminism because they’re choosing to live that life.” Sinema, who delights in her collection of stylishly funky glasses and has said she owns more than 100 pairs of shoes, also described herself as “a Prada socialist.”

                https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/style/kyrsten-sinema-a-success-story-like-nobody-elses/2013/01/02/d31fadaa-5382-11e2-a613-ec8d394535c6_story.html?utm_term=.289e76ee7abf

                Frankly, I think if Sinema was running for the Senate in California, she would be running as whom she is, a SJW candidate and literally could lose to a R in a runoff. If she was running there, I think she’d be touting her atheism and bisexuality and running as a bold progressive (which I think she is deep down), and that combination could well doom her in the most liberal state in the country.


                Independent, R until November 2016. Proud "Globalist Cuck"!

                • krazen1211 August 11, 2017 at 5:23 pm

                  Well, Grijalva’s district would be more SJW if all those Tucson white liberals were in that district. Colleen Mathis gerrymandered the districts to make AZ-02 more favorable to the Democrats.

                • Manhatlibertarian August 11, 2017 at 6:02 pm

                  Well no question Sinema once sounded more hipster liberal than she does now. Whether that is because her views have evolved to the center of the political spectrum or it is due to political expediency, who knows. But if she comes from the most liberal district in the state as you say, then what motivates her to move to the center politically? She could vote a straight liberal line and be OK in her district. Also I don’t think being non-religious is a big deal in a state like Arizona. Those who are most likely to be really bothered by it are probably people who would never vote for a Dem anyway.

                  • Indy1975a August 11, 2017 at 6:25 pm

                    Come on, she is motivated by political ambition higher office. When she represented the most liberal district in the state legislature, she was a far out left-wing firebrand (once running as a Green!).
                    In Congress, although she represents the most socially liberal district (although it is fiscally centrist); it isn’t the most D one (that would be the two Hispanic districts).


                    Independent, R until November 2016. Proud "Globalist Cuck"!

          • Midnight901 August 11, 2017 at 1:19 pm

            McCaskill is probably dead meat in 2018, but at least she’s trying to keep her seat. Flake is just annoying, he’s more interested in being a martyr and he clearly despises the people who elected him.

            • Indy1975a August 11, 2017 at 2:16 pm

              McCaskill has voted a 100% liberal line in 2017. I’m not sure that is “trying to keep her seat” anymore than Flake voicing an opinion that most people deep down already know, even if they are unwilling to admit it.


              Independent, R until November 2016. Proud "Globalist Cuck"!

      • shamlet August 11, 2017 at 10:55 am

        They probably just stick with Farley for Governor.


        R, MD-7. Process is more important than outcome.

        • Tekzilla August 11, 2017 at 11:04 am

          Completely forgot he got in. Fair enough.


          36/M/NY-01 (D)

  • rdelbov August 11, 2017 at 9:11 am

    A poll of economists might be a considered a step up over a poll of registered voters? Economy is likely to grow for 2 or 3 more years?

    https://www.cnbc.com/2017/08/11/us-economic-expansion-to-last-another-two-years-or-more-reuters-poll.html

    I guess one never knows for sure but these economists seem to be thinking the economy will be on a steady but unspectacular growth path for 2 or more years. I still see the economy as the #1 factor in 2018 election results.

    • Octosteel August 11, 2017 at 9:26 am

      You would think so except Trump has managed approval ratings in the 30s with a growing economy.

      • rdelbov August 11, 2017 at 9:41 am

        Of course Trump had lousy approval numbers in 2016 and how did that come out? Trump will not be directly on the ballot in 2018-Republican candidates will have to walk that fine line between embracing the more popular political views of Trump and their party while contrasting them with the very liberal less popular views of the democrats. We saw of course numerous republicans in 2016 who ran well ahead of Trump while winning office. That pattern IMO will be repeated in the rest of 2017 and in 2018.

        Look at the last two VA Gov polls. One had the race tied (using a bit more D model then 2013 elections) while the other had a six point D lead (using a turnout model more favorable for the Ds then in 2008) using a registered voter pool. Ed G. clearly running well ahead of the Trump approval rating in VA. I might add that we see this pattern in election after election and not just for Rs. In 1962 Ds won senate seats or in 1978 Ds only had modest house losses even as Carter’s policies were not all that popular.

        Trump’s unpopularity is offset IMO by the unpopularity of the national D message so the Rs in 2018 will need to run against that as unopposed to running side by side with Trump. Now if Donnelly was running in IL and not IN then it would be game over. Let’s be clear Donnelly will not be campaigning side by side with Pelosi or Warren or Sanders.

        So IMO unless the economy collapses in 2018 the Rs will only suffer minor losses in the house and Gov offices. The economic crystal ball for 2020 is just too far to predict but so far 2018 looks like a modest growth year and that will be a big help to the GOP.

        • Tekzilla August 11, 2017 at 10:00 am

          Trump did not have approvals in 2016 as he was not in office. He had favorability. Now he has job approval, its different. See 2006 for decent economy, poor Presidential approvals.


          36/M/NY-01 (D)

          • rdelbov August 11, 2017 at 10:45 am

            2006 was six year inch election+katrina+war=wrong analogy.

            Come on now about the favorabilty versus Job Approval. Are you seriously thinking that Trump’s personal favorability is not impacting his job approval numbers? We live in the real world here and how we view Trump is the absolute #1 factor in his job approval numbers. Republicans or Indies who feel that Obamacare is failing-that the economy is doing okay and that we need immigration reform of some sort and they like conservative judges don’t approve of Trump work as President because he is Donald J Trump. If our D posters don’t get that they need to get and talk to a wider range of voters. Look at the VA poll. The GOP message is not tainted versus the liberal D message. Indies and some republicans don’t like Donald Trump-for that matter he was never my 1st choice and I disapprove of how he acts nearly on a daily basis.

    • rdw72777 August 11, 2017 at 9:42 am

      There’s not too much illuminating here. There’s really nothing inherent that should stop growth over the next 5 years really, never mind 2-3 years that they polled (and predicting no slowdown in the next 12 months is not that bold either). The basic factors for solid but un-spectacular growth are pretty set and it would take something rather unexpected to deter that. Similarly 4-5% is nearly impossible for the exact same reasons…it’d just require something crazy to make it happen.

      Of course these same economists would have 100% not said the economy could expand so long also so what do they know lol 🙂

  • andrew_1918 August 11, 2017 at 9:45 am

    ” The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows that 45% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Fifty-three percent (53%) disapprove. A week ago, only 39% approved of the job Trump is doing”

    http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/prez_track_aug11

  • cer August 11, 2017 at 10:31 am

    No such thing of voter fraud according to many on the political left. Looks like someone didn’t get that memo.

    http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/virginia-college-student-gets-100-days-in-jail-for-registering-dead-voters-for-democrats/article/2631163


    Conservative first, Republican second!

    • jncca August 11, 2017 at 10:33 am

      I have never heard a person on the left say there is no such thing as voter fraud.

      I have heard many on the right say that it’s what the left says.


      24, CA-6. Part Obama, Part May, Part Christian Democrat.

      • cer August 11, 2017 at 10:37 am

        I have heard a lot of silence at the very least from many on the left when the subject of voter fraud has come up. Their silence is quite telling imho.


        Conservative first, Republican second!

        • Tekzilla August 11, 2017 at 10:51 am

          It’s quite telling that you hardly hear “many on the left” not talking about the few and rare cases of voter fraud?


          36/M/NY-01 (D)

          • cer August 11, 2017 at 11:16 am

            Few? lol

            It more than just a few.


            Conservative first, Republican second!

            • buckeyes95 August 11, 2017 at 11:42 am

              https://www.brennancenter.org/analysis/resources-voter-fraud-claims

              Here’s a list of all the studies done about voter fraud that all say it’s pretty uncommon. If you have evidence to the contrary I’d love to see it.


              R in OH-12

              • rdelbov August 11, 2017 at 11:59 am

                I guess we have to define what is meant by “voter fraud”. For instance if you register in DC you are required to cancel your voter registration in other states. That is the law in many states as well.

                http://www.bethesdamagazine.com/Bethesda-Beat/2017/Newly-Announced-Gubernatorial-Candidate-Voted-in-DC-Multiple-Times-While-Registered-in-Maryland/

                Leslie Rutledge who was running for Attorney General as a republican in AR was nearly kicked off the ballot because she was registered to vote in another. It is against the law to be registered to vote in two different states. You are not validly registered to vote if you do not cancel your registration and by law that means you are casting an invalid vote. Is it voter fraud when you cast a vote illegally or if you are validly registered? Some states refuse to maintain statewide databases of voter registrations. Some states are not complying with requests to submit voter lists. So we do not know how many people voted in one state while being registered in another state. I suspect millions of people-from both parties- are in this situation. One is trying to run for Gov of Maryland and yes various Trump relatives were in this situation.

            • Boehnerwasright August 11, 2017 at 11:53 am

              A few question to make this discussion more useful.

              1) How many confirmed cases of voterfraud do you think are in the USA(voterfraud defined as voting for someone else, voting twice not being on the voter rolls in two states)? How many cases are undetected?
              2) How much reduction in voter turnout would be think fair to prevent one case of voter fraud?
              3) How much time/effort/money do you think should a single person have to take to be able to vote including getting all necessary documention for a voter id for example?

              • HS August 11, 2017 at 12:35 pm

                Here we go again.

                As George Will has written, Dems sure do spend a lot of time and effort fighting ID requirements for voting. But they want ID requirements for many other things. That sure is suspicious…
                http://www.newsmax.com/t/newsmax/article/753906?section=Politics&keywords=george-will-donald-trump-right-elections&year=2016&month=10&date=17&id=753906&aliaspath=%2FManage%2FArticles%2FTemplate-Main

                • Boehnerwasright August 11, 2017 at 12:47 pm

                  1) Article is behind a paywall.2
                  2) Please answer the questions if you want a serious disscussion about the pro/cons of voter ID. I don’t see how this article and your post make for a productive disscussion.

                  • HS August 11, 2017 at 1:00 pm

                    Here we go again…

                    1. Why am I answering your questions? Are you a moderator? Are you normally a facilitator of serious discussions – I have seen little evidence of that?
                    2. There is no way to know the extent of the problem. That is largely because it is hard to detect and Dems usually act to block investigations of it. Then, they claim there is little to no evidence.

                    Here is some anecdotal evidence:
                    http://m.washingtontimes.com/news/2016/oct/17/no-voter-fraud-isnt-myth-10-cases-where-its-all-to/

                    I have also pointed out several stolen elections in the past – see Franken and Gregoire. My favorite response to the former was the crying about how I was demeaning the Minnesotans. Is that a serious discussion?

                    • shamlet August 11, 2017 at 1:14 pm

                      Too personal. Ending this here.


                      R, MD-7. Process is more important than outcome.

                • rdelbov August 11, 2017 at 12:53 pm

                  I note as well numerous D SOS are refusing to turn over voting and registration records from 2016.

                  1. We cannot determine whether people are invalidly casting ballots while being registered in another state.
                  2. We cannot tell if a voter in WA or CA cast a mail in ballot while being a registered voter or a resident in another state.

                  I would add as well that there is yet another point about voter ID. If register to vote in San Francisco CA you have to be voting out a specific location/residence. States like CA with voter ID laws do not and cannot verify that a voter is voting in a district that they live in. So you if move across town or into another city in the same county you have to update your voter registration. Honestly most states-on the leftward side-don’t seem to care about that fact. The right to vote is more important then actually voting from a valid residence.

      • zbigreddogz August 11, 2017 at 12:48 pm

        I have never heard a person on the left say there is no such thing as voter fraud.

        Then you haven’t listened hard. I literally hear it every time I bring it up.

        Post it on FB and see what happens.

        • jncca August 11, 2017 at 1:11 pm

          Ok, I’ll amend to a serious person on the left. Not the random Facebook trolls or the guy who shot Steve Scalise. Maybe those types think that.

          Most Democrats I know think places like Chicago are corrupt and have plenty of fraud.
          I think more extreme people on both the left and the right are more likely to believe fraud exists because they are less likely to trust institutions.


          24, CA-6. Part Obama, Part May, Part Christian Democrat.

  • jncca August 11, 2017 at 10:32 am

    As always, trust the averages.


    24, CA-6. Part Obama, Part May, Part Christian Democrat.

  • GerGOP August 11, 2017 at 11:19 am

    DCCC is reportedly back to not even talking with pro-life potential candidates: https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2017/08/democrats-abortion-litmus-test-controversy/536352/

    • Tekzilla August 11, 2017 at 11:54 am

      Ugh. Enough with this crap. Find the most progressive candidate that can win in each district. Psssst liberals that means sometimes nominating pro life Democrats.


      36/M/NY-01 (D)

      • GerGOP August 11, 2017 at 12:40 pm

        Words can not begin to describe my disgust I have for the Dems (dem Party) on this topic. On the other Hand, this stance might cost them a few seats. So yay, I guess.

        • cer August 11, 2017 at 12:42 pm

          GERGOP, I sure hope it cost them a few seats.

          So much for the Democrats ever calling themselves inclusive. 🙂


          Conservative first, Republican second!

          • TennesseeMike August 11, 2017 at 4:33 pm

            The Democrat party stopped being inclusive a long time ago. Remember what happened to former Pennsylvania Governor Robert P. Casey? He was refused a speaking spot at the Democrat National Convention because he was pro-life.


            TN-2 District. A Social and Fiscal Conservative Republican

  • cer August 11, 2017 at 11:25 am

    I don’t even know where to begin with this take on N. Korea by the AP.

    https://twitter.com/AP/status/895834358015283200

    Reminds me again why I would question any sort of political news coming from that organization these days.


    Conservative first, Republican second!

    • andyroo312 August 11, 2017 at 11:47 am

      Indeed, Trump TV’s Kayleigh McEnany is the only source we can trust these days.


      MA-7

      • Tekzilla August 11, 2017 at 11:53 am

        And soon hopefully Jeffrey Lord and Eric Bolling!


        36/M/NY-01 (D)

        • cer August 11, 2017 at 12:38 pm

          Point being, if the AP and others continue to post garbage like this it adds to the narrative that many in the MSM are totally out to lunch these days.


          Conservative first, Republican second!

          • cer August 11, 2017 at 12:46 pm

            Think about what the AP is saying here….. should the US defend itself if we are attacked!?

            That’s like saying, should you take cover, if your house is about to be hit by a Tornado!?

            For the record guys, knocking the MSM doesn’t mean I support something like Trump TV.


            Conservative first, Republican second!

            • LtNOWIS August 11, 2017 at 1:46 pm

              Did you read the article? It isn’t about a potential attack, it’s about a potential demonstration. North Korea is talking about firing the missiles into international waters near Guam to intimidate us, which is different than actually hitting Guam with missiles.


              28, VA-11

              • TennesseeMike August 11, 2017 at 4:48 pm

                Doesn’t make that much difference to me. If we let them get away with this what will they do next? “Test” fire missiles around Pearl Harbor? What they are really testing is how far they can push us. I promise it will not end here unless we take a stand.


                TN-2 District. A Social and Fiscal Conservative Republican

    • TennesseeMike August 11, 2017 at 4:41 pm

      I love the reply by Just A Navy Wife: “My mind is blown by the stupidity of this question!?! Should the US shoot them down? How about we leave the ones headed toward AP in tact?”
      I don’t care if it’s a test missile or not. I don’t care if it’s waters around Guam or Guam itself. SHOOT IT DOWN! Besides, can we trust North Korea to fire “just” a test missile or to “just” target waters around Guam? I think we would be crazy to do so.


      TN-2 District. A Social and Fiscal Conservative Republican

      • JJC August 11, 2017 at 5:56 pm

        If we don’t shoot down missiles headed towards Guam, then next the Norks will fire them towards Pearl Harbor.

        Then near Alaska.
        Then near California.

        Appeasement doesn’t work.

        • cer August 11, 2017 at 7:09 pm

          This all goes back to the Clinton administration. They really helped to speed up this mess.


          Conservative first, Republican second!

        • TennesseeMike August 11, 2017 at 7:30 pm

          So true. It didn’t work with Hitler. I don’t understand why anyone would think it will work with Kim Jong-Un. They are both of the same cloth. The ONLY thing they understand is force.
          And you are right CER. The worst thing Bill Clinton did is bargain with North Korea.


          TN-2 District. A Social and Fiscal Conservative Republican

          • roguemapper August 11, 2017 at 7:44 pm

            The comparison is nonsense. Hitler was expansionist. North Korea is not. Their objective is simply to keep the regime in power. That’s not to say that North Korea doesn’t need to be dealt with for other reasons, but the stakes are very different.


            Dem NC-11

            • TennesseeMike August 11, 2017 at 11:14 pm

              To both Hitler and Kim Jong-Un appeasement and bargains are signs of weakness. Dictators like them only understand force. In these ways they are similar, though not identical. North Korea isn’t expansionist because they can’t defeat their neighbors. If they could, they would. They tried to once after all. I see no nonsense in that.


              TN-2 District. A Social and Fiscal Conservative Republican

  • Tekzilla August 11, 2017 at 1:07 pm

    Perlmutter considering running for re-election.


    36/M/NY-01 (D)

    • GerGOP August 11, 2017 at 1:35 pm

      I told you this would sort itself out.

    • Son_of_the_South August 11, 2017 at 1:39 pm

      WTF? Who’s pushing him? Does the moderate faction think it will lose the primary to a Bold Progressive?


      24, R, TN-09
      Classical liberals are a minority. Fusionism is the answer.

  • Manhatlibertarian August 11, 2017 at 1:57 pm

    End of Week NY Tidbits:

    GOP nominee for Nassau CE, former State Senator Jack Martins, has released an internal poll conducted by Clout Research showing him leading Dem organization endorsed candidate, County Legislator Laura Curran, 45%-37%. Curran must first defeat Dem primary opponent George Maragos, the County Comptroller, in the September primary.

    Mayor deBlasio Dem primary opponent, former NYC Councilman Sal Albanese, has announced he has raised and spent enough $ to qualify for debates with the mayor under the rules of the NYC Campaign Finance Board. The mayor had said he would participate in the August 23rd debate even if Albanese didn’t raise enough $, but now he must take part in both that debate and a Sept. 6th debate, which to date he has not committed to.

    Manhattan Dem Assemblywoman Yuh-Line Niou has indicated she may be interested in the Brooklyn-Manhattan State Senate seat of resigning State Senator Dan Squadron, which Manhattan Dem Assemblyman Brian Kavanagh has already announced for. If she also declares her candidacy then it will be up to Brooklyn Dem Boss Frank Seddio and Manhattan Dem Boss Keith Wright to pick who the Dem nominee (and almost certain general election winner) will be.

    all at:

    http://www.nystateofpolitics.com/

  • JJC August 11, 2017 at 2:45 pm

    Moore still running ahead of the pack. Strange still uncomfortably close to missing the runoff.

    Alabama Senate Republican Primary
    Moore 35%
    Strange 23%
    Brooks 20%
    Trafalgar Group: https://twitter.com/RobertCahaly/status/896049704798011393/photo/1

    • HS August 11, 2017 at 3:25 pm

      Three way races are very tricky. I expect things will get even more brutal between Strange and Brooks, since whoever moves on probably has the edge over Moore in the runoff.

      • Son_of_the_South August 11, 2017 at 3:33 pm

        Maybe, but tearing each other up might cause either to lose to Strange.


        24, R, TN-09
        Classical liberals are a minority. Fusionism is the answer.

    • GerGOP August 11, 2017 at 4:29 pm

      In a race Brooks Moore, where would Trump come down?
      McConnell would propably go with Brooks. But Trump..

      • zbigreddogz August 11, 2017 at 4:31 pm

        I think Trump endorsed Strange because he doesn’t want Moore. Moore would steal his crazy crown.

        • GerGOP August 11, 2017 at 4:32 pm

          Well, yes, but what if Strange doesnt make the runoff. Obviously, Trump holds a grudge against Brooks.

          • TexasR August 11, 2017 at 4:36 pm

            The Donald would swallow his pride and endorse Brooks. The one thing we know he can’t stand is not being the center of attention.


            Whatever we're talking about, it's all Frank Meyer's fault
            Be careful what you wish for

        • FiveAngels August 11, 2017 at 4:35 pm

          Most likely, Trump wants Senators who keep their mouth shut and vote with the team. Brooks might align himself with Lee and Paul, and Moore is completely unpredictable. That being said, I still don’t care much for Strange, or the way he got this job. And the Alabama voters seem to agree with me. It’s going to be a big egg on Trump’s face if Strange finishes third.

          • GerGOP August 11, 2017 at 5:03 pm

            Moore and Strange will be the two runoff guys.
            McConnells pac did a number on Brooks.

            • cer August 11, 2017 at 5:30 pm

              If by some chance it becomes Moore vs Brooks, I bet that Trump would endorse Brooks.


              Conservative first, Republican second!

  • Greyhound August 11, 2017 at 3:02 pm

    The “Fight for $15” seems to have mostly abated:
    http://freebeacon.com/issues/fight-15-falters-4th-anniversary-approaches/
    Basically, its not getting traction with the people it purportedly helps, and as a result the outside money has stopped flowing into the efforts.


    R, 26, CA-18. Anti-Anti-Trump

    • GerGOP August 11, 2017 at 4:29 pm

      Who would have thunk…

  • andrew_1918 August 11, 2017 at 3:40 pm

    Hm…
    SurveyMonkey tracking poll: 41(+2)/57(-2) (RV- 43(+2)/56(-2)
    https://www.surveymonkey.com/blog/2017/08/11/trump-approval-august-4-10/

    • prsteve11 August 11, 2017 at 3:54 pm

      Most/all of the polls are showing a modest uptick for President Trump’s approval – or at least a downtick in disapproval. I think the healthcare debacle is what sparked the recent downward trend but it seems he may be recovering from that. That’s probably one of the reasons why he’s been kicking the lazy Senate in the a$$ for having such low expectations of themselves and then going on a big month-long vacation with very little to show for themselves legislation-wise.


      SC-03, Conservative Republican

      • StatenIslandTest August 11, 2017 at 5:16 pm

        The North Korean situation is probably giving him a boost too.


        31, Jersey City

  • Mayor Perk August 11, 2017 at 4:06 pm

    Judiciary: Gary Peters and Debbie Stabenow returned favorable blue slips for Joan Larsen on the 6th Circuit. Donnelly did the same for Amy Coney Barrett on the 7th Circuit. Michael Benet also apparently will not hold up Alison Eid’s nomination to replace Gorsuch on the 10th Circuit. Tammy Baldwin meanwhile is blocking Michael B. Brennan’s nomination to the 7th Circuit.

    http://www.nationalreview.com/bench-memos/450226/joan-larsen-amy-coney-barrett


    30. OH-12. Establishment Republican.

    • FiveAngels August 11, 2017 at 4:16 pm

      I kind of sympathize with Baldwin here after 7 years of successful Republican blockade of this seat. Reid dropped the ball for the Dems by not getting the job done and confirming Victoria Nourse during the 2010 lame duck session. I’ve also heard Casey is expected to return the blue slip for Bibas. Toomey didn’t play hardball with Obama nominees and they seem to have a good relationship. Pretty much the opposite of the Wisconsin situation. I’m somewhat surprised that Michigan senators rolled over that easily on Larsen, since she’s a blue chip SCOTUS prospect. I guess it was Levin who was fueling the bellicosity on judicial matters during Bush years, not Stabenow. So the blue chip showdowns will be with Baldwin and probably Franken.

      • krazen1211 August 11, 2017 at 5:19 pm

        Well, we can always move 2D blocked nominees to DC circuit.

        But yeah, nice backstory. Spencer Abraham was blocking various nominees from Michigan including Carl Levin’s cousin-in-law Helene White who was a mid 40s female at the time. In 2000 Abraham lost his seat but the Democrats lost the Presidency, and Bush withdrew the nomination.

        Levin got pissed about his relative and blocked all Michigan nominees for Bush’s 1st term. Then Bush won re-election and Levin and company let the nominees through in the 2005 nuclear option deal.

        In 2006, Helene White divorces Carl Levin’s cousin but Democrats also win the Senate. So now mid 50s Helene White, who is no longer related to Carl Levin, ends up getting a seat in a package deal.

        Funny how things end up. I am reminded by late 30s John Roberts getting blocked by Biden in 1992, getting to make $$$$ in the private sector, and still ending up as Chief Justice right on schedule.

        • FiveAngels August 11, 2017 at 5:27 pm

          John Roberts was really born with a horseshoe in his pocket. You forgot to mention he would never become the Chief Justice if Rehnquist had lived one more month.

          • Indy1975a August 11, 2017 at 6:32 pm

            Whom do you think would have become CJ if Rehnquist lives another couple months? Scalia? Or someone else on the DC Circuit?


            Independent, R until November 2016. Proud "Globalist Cuck"!

            • FiveAngels August 11, 2017 at 6:41 pm

              They would probably promote Scalia and search for the woman for his seat. I don’t think even Bush would try to sell Harriet Miers as Chief Justice. For what is worth, the official short list submitted to Bush by his SCOTUS search team was Roberts, Alito, Wilkinson and Luttig. But as we saw on Earth One, Bush was willing to go around that list on his affirmative action quest.

      • rdelbov August 11, 2017 at 5:47 pm

        oh no no !!! The Rs did not the 7th circuit-well okay kinda sorta but that is not the whole story. Wisconsin D senators setup a judicial commission (which Senator Johnson went along with) that had 3 R members and 3 D members. Of course Senator Johnson did not get to choose the GOP members of this commission until he was sworn in 2011. In 2010 the faux commission nominated a very liberal marginally qualified Victoria Nourse to the 7th circuit seat. She was barely an Wisconsinite as much of her time was a femnist law professor in other states. The senate GOP blocked her in 2010. In 2011 a new Judicial commission was setup between Kohl and Johnson but they did not want to revisit the 7th circuit nod of Nourse so Johnson blue slipped. In 2013 the commission tried again but for two years no nominee got the 5 votes to advance . So Senator Baldwin just nominated so she just sent the name of another liberal democrat (Schott) to the white house and they nominated him. Donald Schott went nowhere as Johnson blue slipped because he only got 3 votes on the commission?

        This shows how stupid the judicial commission idea is. Is there no able lawyers from Wisconsin to sit on the 7th circuit?? Brennan got 4 votes and Johnson will press for a vote. Clearly the system is broken.

        As noted Colorado, North Dakota, Michigan and Indiana senators have returned blue slips. Franken and K from MN have not. Now Baldwin says no. I think a deal gets done in Minnesota but I am no sure about WI. That might be the blue slip test.

        • FiveAngels August 11, 2017 at 6:21 pm

          Schott got a hearing in 2016 and passed through the Judiciary Committee 13-7, but McConnell never gave him the floor vote.

          While I agree with you that the Wisconsin judicial commission plan is stupid, and that Nourse was a pathetic nominee, we are still talking about seven years here. Imagine if Trump was blocked for seven years from filling a judicial vacancy in Arizona or Georgia and then Kamala Harris nominates someone in 2025 without cutting a deal with the GOP Senator. Would you say the Senator was legitimately pissed off?

          • rdelbov August 11, 2017 at 7:15 pm

            To an extent Baldwin stepped into this mess. Feingold and Kohl messed up with the Nourse nomination and then gave Johnson the Bronx cheer when he asked to have imput into the process. let me also make it clear that D senators from CA, WA, MN, NY, DE and other states with two D senators have similar faux nominating committees. They put their allies on a committee and then get liberal nominees to submit to the White house-Obama loved them -Trump not so much. I do note that OH, PA and FL seem to have fairly legit bi-partisan nominating committees but then again they have a mixed senate delegation and often they submit multiple names.

            On a circuit seat where a state like WI might only get one nominee every 10 or 12 years a bi-partisan commission is unlikely to get the job done. Both PA and WI selection processes fell apart over circuit court spots.

            • FiveAngels August 12, 2017 at 2:00 am

              The only person from Wisconsin confirmed in the last 22 years to the 7th Circuit is Diane Sykes. I don’t think any other state with multiple circuit court seats can match this feat. Illinois dominates the 7th somewhat unfairly — 6/10 seats with only 50% of population. Trump should take the 10th seat away from Illinois and give it to Indiana.

              • rdelbov August 12, 2017 at 8:08 am

                That is a good point and another matter. The assignment of seats to particular states is not done by law but once assigned states get really upset to lose circuit spots. 6/11 is a bit IMO out of bounds for IL but IMO that is unlikely to change.

              • Indy1975a August 12, 2017 at 5:36 pm

                Sykes was fast tracked for one reason. Putting her on the 7th Circuit removed her from the Wisconsin Supreme Court, allowed then Gov. Doyle to appoint a liberal to give the Ds a 4-3 edge on that court.


                Independent, R until November 2016. Proud "Globalist Cuck"!

      • Izengabe August 11, 2017 at 8:53 pm

        Stabenow could be worried that Kid Rock would write a song about her holding up judicial nominations so she was quick to roll.


        Follow me on Twitter: @Izengabe_

    • prsteve11 August 11, 2017 at 6:26 pm

      Baldwin is cold and unreasonable and I’m not surprised that she did this. I don’t think she’s done a single bipartisan thing since President Trump took office. That’s why the GOP needs to take seriously their opportunity to unseat her in 2018. She acts like she represents Massachusetts and not Wisconsin.


      SC-03, Conservative Republican

      • Indy1975a August 11, 2017 at 6:35 pm

        Well to be fair neither has Johnson in his tenure. Wisconsin is really swingy, and if 2018 has even a slight D lean, Baldwin probably is favored. The state has historically elected ideologues on both sides.


        Independent, R until November 2016. Proud "Globalist Cuck"!

  • GerGOP August 11, 2017 at 4:33 pm

    Filemon Vela saying that there is “no Chance in hell” that Dems will get the majority with Peolsi in 2018, calling her an “obstacle”: http://freebeacon.com/politics/house-democrat-pelosi-obvious-obstacle-winning-back-majority/

    • Greyhound August 11, 2017 at 5:59 pm

      I mean, he’s not wrong (with the latter anyway). Democrats seem unable or unwilling to dump Female Progressives who are well past their point of political viability.


      R, 26, CA-18. Anti-Anti-Trump

      • VastBlightKingConspiracy August 11, 2017 at 6:02 pm

        The chances that Pelosi is the difference between a Democratic majority and a minority is very low. She’s not particularly likeable and she’s viewed as ideologically extreme, but she’s not an embarrassment in the same way that someone like Maxine Waters is. And the image of the limousine liberal elite is so entrenched, “Pelosi-ism” is probably already baked into Dem numbers.


        I am not a member of any organized political party. I am a Republican.

    • prsteve11 August 11, 2017 at 6:28 pm

      She’s a huge drag on the Dems in 2018. She’s totally out of touch and is very unpopular and will help sink Dems in competitive districts.


      SC-03, Conservative Republican

      • rdelbov August 11, 2017 at 7:24 pm

        Here’s the difference folks. Paul Ryan would be an honored invitee in 420 of the 435 house districts in the USA. In highly D seats the GOP candidate would love to have him-hey at least he can raise money. There might be 10 or 15 seats that so marginal and the GOP national brand is weak that Ryan might not be welcome. IMO even in strong D seats he is not a drag on the GOP.

        Nancy Pelosi hardly showed up in any marginal seats in 2016. Sure she raises money from DC or LA or Silicon valley or NYC but she did not campaign in MI1? Would she be welcome in MN1 or MN7? Pelosi came to Twin Cities in Oct 2016 and raised (supposedly) a ton of money for D candidates and neither candidate for the house from MN2 or MN3 showed up to have a photo Op with her. I think that just about says it all. Hey we will take your money but don’t show up in our district!!!

  • andrew_1918 August 11, 2017 at 7:56 pm

    FL-Gov:
    “Jack Latvala launches campaign for governor”
    http://www.tallahassee.com/story/news/2017/08/11/jack-latvala-launches-campaign-governor/560552001/

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