Sophomore Rep. Dave Trott (R) will not seek a third term in Congress. Trott got elected to Congress in 2014 by beating accidental Congressman/Santa Claus impersonator Kerry Bentivolio in the GOP primary with the full support of the local Republican establishment. This R+4 district located northwest of Detroit voted for Donald Trump by a 50% to 45% margin in 2016 while Trott won 53% to 40% with Kerry Bentivolio running as an Independent getting 4% and a Libertarian taking 3%. In 2012 MI-11 vote for Romney 52% to 47% while Bentivolio won 50.8% to 44.44%. But the right Democrat can win here. In 2014 Gary Peters won MI-11 49% to 47%.
Potential GOP candidates include former Rep. Kerry Bentivolio who at this point has returned to being a gadfly protest candidate. Plymouth Township Supervisor and former state Rep. Kurt Heise might run. State Rep. Mike McCready and Rocky Raczkowski (who is term limited in 2018) could be potential candidates. Conservative state senator Patrick Colbeck, who is currently running for Governor, could drop down and run for MI-11. Moderate State senator Mike Kowall, who is currently running for Secretary of State, could drop down as well. Thad McCotter’s botched exit blocked State senator Marty Knollenberg from running in 2012. He could try again in 2018. State Rep. Jim Runestad is currently running for state Senate but he could potentially switch races. Former AG Mike Cox is from this district and could run and his wife state Rep. Laura Cox, who is exploring a state senate run, could run as well. Other state reps in the district include Jeff Noble, Kathy Crawford, Klint Kesto and Martin Howrylak. Republican National Committee Chairwoman Ronna Romney McDaniel lives in this district and could also be a potential candidate.
On the Democrat side their bench is fairly thin. Haley Stevens has been running since April and has raised about $320,000 while Fayrouz Saad has been running since July. State reps Tim Griemel and Dian Slavens live in the district. Former Rep. David Curson (who beat Kerry Bentivolio in the 2012 special election to serve out the final 2 months of Thad McCotter’s term under the old district lines) could run. 2016 candidate Anil Kumar could also make another run for Congress as well.