PA-18: Rep. Tim Murphy (R) Resigns

Congressman (and supporter of abortions for mistresses) Tim Murphy (R) has resigned, effective in two weeks. The decision was likely forced by the area’s party bosses who want the ability to hand-pick the next Rep. –  nominations for PA specials are handled through a cabal of insiders rather than going through an open primary. That candidate is almost certain to be State Sen. Guy Reschenthaler (R), who entered the race today and now looks like the very strong favorite to be the next Rep. However, the decision is fraught with some potential issues, as Democrats likely have a better (though still tiny) shot at this seat in an ultra-low-turnout special than in the general election, thanks to the currently highly-motivated liberal base. There is also the possibility an antiestablishment conservative like State Rep. Rick Saccone (R) could play spoiler by running as a conservative Indie. However, to compete here, Democrats will need to find someone capable of getting their campaign up to speed on a condensed time frame. Gov. Tom Wolf (D) has wide latitude to set the special election; as it is likely too late to be consolidated with the regular municipal and judicial elections next month, we might bet on a special election sometime in the winter or early spring – though theoretically Wolf could delay the race to as late as the May 15th primary, which would throw the nomination for a full term back to open-seat status.

Update: A wrench has been thrown into the works as State Sen. Kim Ward (R) is also running and likely to have significant establishment support. This could have the makings of a nasty pie fight.

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10 Comments

  • rdelbov October 5, 2017 at 5:08 pm

    Took one for the team but his errors were so unforced and bad.

  • Son_of_the_South October 5, 2017 at 5:14 pm

    Good riddance


    24, R, TN-09
    Classical liberals are a minority. Fusionism is the answer.

  • w920us October 5, 2017 at 5:21 pm

    Significant amount of turnover in the PA delegation this cycle.

    Fingers crossed that we keep the “very representative” 13-5 partisan balance!


    R, South Philly, 47, Gay, WFU Alum
    #TrumpVoter #NeverHillary

  • cer October 5, 2017 at 6:09 pm

    good riddance


    Conservative first, Republican second!

  • TheWizardOf144 October 5, 2017 at 6:57 pm

    Kim Ward is running.

  • Conservative First October 5, 2017 at 7:59 pm

    Does anyone have an opinion on the ACU ratings of the Pennsylvania legislature? Here are the ratings for candidates for two house seats. Do they reflect reality?
    http://acuratings.conservative.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/5/2016/08/Pennsylvania_2016_web.pdf

    PA-18:
    Ward 92%
    Reschenthaler 82%
    Saccone 86%

    PA-11:
    Mackenzie 85%
    Simmons 80%

  • HS October 5, 2017 at 8:01 pm

    The Mackenzie and Simmons ratings make sense. Mackenzie has a safer district than Simmons, so I would expect him to be more conservative.

  • TheWizardOf144 October 5, 2017 at 8:09 pm

    I’m surprised, but not overly so, that Ward is to the right of Saccone. She’s very good. So is he. I have no problem with any of the 3.

    I said awhile back Mackenzie is a bit more Conservative than Simmons as far as voting records go.

    • edtorres04 October 6, 2017 at 7:51 am

      What is your friend Joe Peters doing? Which district is he running? Did he take your advice on which district to run in?

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