Another (annoying for me) Election Day House Retirement. Texas Rep. Ted Poe (R) has decided not to seek a ninth term in what is becoming a banner year for turnover in the TX delegation. Poe’s retirement opens up TX-2, an R+11 seat wrapping a thin arc around the second-ring northern suburbs of Houston (with a tail into the west-central part of the city to soak up a few white liberals). This seat trended strongly against Trump like many suburban Texas districts, but he still carried it by 9 points and it is more strongly Republican downballot. So this is unlikely to be a realistic Dem pickup target barring a mammoth wave, though one or more of the little-known D candidates taking on Rep. John Culberson (R) in the bluer TX-7 next door may decide to move here.
For Republicans, not a single State Senator lives in or even particularly near the seat; State Sen. Paul Bettencourt (R) represents the bulk of the district but as best I can tell lives well within TX-7; he could carpetbag. State Reps. Kevin Roberts (R), Dan Huberty (R), Valoree Swanson (R), Gary Elkins (R), and Dwayne Bohac (R) live in or near the district. From local office, the big name to watch is probably Harris County commissioner Jack Cagle (R), who represents essentially the entire seat. From countywide office, I believe Harris CE Ed Emmett (R) lives here, though he is a bit old to run at 69. Harris County Treasurer Orlando Sanchez (R) could also be a name to watch, though he lives outside the district near the county’s west edge.