Update 12/5: Conyers has resigned and endorsed his ne’er-do-well 27-year old son John Conyers III (D) to succeed him.
Original post 11/29:
We don’t have independent confirmation yet, but a Detroit TV station says perverted Rep. John Conyers (D) will announce in January he will retire from MI-13 after twenty-seven terms. Conyers is still planning to serve out his current term and won’t resign. However, those things could have a way of changing if the pervnado vortex intensifies any further. Conyers’s decision opens up the safely Democratic MI-13, which covers the central part of Detroit as well as some largely white blue-collar suburbs to the west in central Wayne County. The seat is 55% black and has a PVI of D+32.
As the first truly Detroit-based Open Seat in 26 years, this seat is liable to draw a very, very crowded primary. The place to start the Great Mentioner is probably with ex-Rep. Hansen Clarke (D), a former Conyers staffer who made the poor decision to not take on his old boss in a 2012 primary and instead lost primary races for the Oakland County heavy MI-14 in both 2012 and 2014. It’s unclear how much Clarke’s star has dimmed since his loss, but he has represented a big part of the seat and could be a credible contender. Other prior congressional candidates who could make a run here are ex-State Reps. Shanelle Jackson (D) and Alberta Tinsley-Talaibi (D), and Detroit city official Melvin Hollowell (D), who challenged Conyers back in the 90s and just left his city job. Detroit city clerk Janice Winfrey (D) ran respectably against Conyers in 2016, but her botched handling of the 2016 general election led to her almost losing her re-election bid last year, so she might not be a strong candidate. Another Detroit city official worth watching is Abul El-Sayed (D), who is looking like an also-ran in his current gubernatorial bid. Wayne County Commissioner and ex-State Sen. Martha Scott (D) has run for the House multiple times before, but as an octogenarian is probably unlikely to run or be a serious candidate if she does.
From the legislature, the obvious name to watch is Conyers’s nephew, State Sen. Ian Conyers (D), though his family name probably isn’t the asset it was a year ago. Another Heir Force candidate is State Sen. Coleman Young Jr. (D), who was just flattened in a Mayoral bid. State Sen. Morris Hood (D), ex-State Sen. Tupac Hunter (D), and around a dozen current or recent former State Reps. are worth watching as well. From local office, there is the entire Detroit city council, as well as Wayne County Exec Warren Evans (D), Sheriff Benny Napoleon (D), and DA Kym Worthy (D). Most of the county commission is also worth a mention.
We can’t discount the prospect of a non-black candidate from the suburbs winning a fractured primary. State Sen. David Knezek (D) followed exactly that route to win his black-majority Senate seat; county commissioner, ex-State Sen., and 2012 candidate Glenn Anderson (D) could also take that route, as could State Sen. Hoonyung Hopgood (D) and multiple State Reps.