Political Roundup for December 5th, 2017

Check back at noon today for our preview and open thread for today’s mayoral election in Atlanta. We will start our liveblog at 7pm eastern.

Governor:

ME-Gov: Rep. Chellie Pingree (D) is considering a run for governor in 2018. Pingree has said she will decide by the end of the month whether to enter the race to succeed term limited Gov. Paul LePage (R).

MD-Gov, MD-LG: Gubernatorial candidate Ben Jealous (D) has picked former Maryland Democrat chair Susan Turnbull as his running mate. Jealous is facing Baltimore CE Kevin Kamenetz (D), Prince George’s CE Rushern Baker (D), State Sen. Rich Maladeno (D), and others in the primary to take on popular Gov. Larry Hogan (R).

OH-Gov: Richard Cordray (D) will announce his candidacy for Governor today in his hometown of Grove City, OH. This comes as a complete shock to us because based on his blatant politicization of the CFPB we had assumed Cordray had been running for governor for some time. Luckily for Cordray the Governor of Ohio doesn’t get to handpick his successor on his last day in office. That is a power Cordray believes should only be saved for unelected directors of powerful and unaccountable bureaucratic federal agencies.

SC-Gov, SC-LG: Businessman John Warren (R) is considering a run for governor. If he runs Warren would be the fifth Republican in the race joining incumbent Gov. Henry McMaster, former Lt. Gov. Yancey McGill , Catherine Templeton and Lt. Gov. Kevin Bryant. Meanwhile, McMaster has chosen upstate Some Dudette businesswoman Pamela Evette (R) as his running mate; the state is switching from separate election to Team Primaries for LG this cycle.

TX-Gov: Dallas County Sheriff Lupe Valdez (D) says she’s still considering a run for governor, but that reports that she has resigned to run for governor are false. With incumbent Gov. Greg Abbott (R) sitting on over $41 million in cash and sporting sky high approval ratings Valdez may want to keep her day job and let Mr. Leather International be the sacrificial lamb instead.

Senate:

AL-Sen: With the Flight 93 election taken to its logical conclusion Roy Moore (R) leads Doug Jones by a 49% to 46% margin with write-in candidate Lee Busby at 5% in the latest Emerson College poll. President Donald J. Trump has gone all in in his support of alleged child molester Roy Moore because in 2017 we are long past the point in which anything matters anymore.

AL-Sen: Debbie Wesson Gibson has shared more evidence of the relationship she had with Roy Moore (R) when she was a 17 year old high school student and he was a 34 year old man. Gibson released a handwritten graduation card from Moore to her and recounted her experiences dating Moore in the early 1980s. After telling Sean Hannity that he remembered Gibson as a “good girl” Moore has backtracked and begun publicly claiming he did “not know any of these women”. It was this lie that prompted Gibson to come forward with more evidence of their relationship. In response to the latest evidence that Roy Moore dated underage girls the Republican National Committee has resumed their support of Moore because nothing matters anymore.

ND-Sen: State Treasurer Kelly Schmidt (R) has decided not to run for Senate. Schmidt was heavily recruited to run by the Club for Growth. They even released poll in September that showed Schmidt leading incumbent Sen. Heidi Heitkamp (D) by a 4 point 48% to 44% margin. Last week Border States Electric CEO Tammy Miller (R) also declined to run for Senate. So far state Sen. Tom Campbell is the only Republican in the race but Rep. Kevin Cramer could also switch the the senate race. Former Rep. Rick Berg, who narrowly lost to Heitkamp in 2012, is also considering a run.

NJ-Sen: Former Hillary Clinton campaign staffer Michael Starr Hopkins is exploring a primary challenge to defendant sitting Democratic Sen. Bob Menendez. Menendez recently escaped justice with a hung jury in his first federal corruption trial. Federal prosecutors plan to re-try him in 2018.

UT-Sen: Donald Trump is reportedly going all out to convince Sen. Orrin Hatch (R) to seek re-election in 2018. Apparently Trumpworld thinks an 83 year old Orrin Hatch would be easier to control than a principled Sen. Mitt Romney (R) unafraid to speak his mind as he does here.

House:

CO-3: Attorney and Glenwood Springs City official Karl Hanlon (D) is in and will take on State Rep. Diane Mitch-Busch (D) in the primary for the right to face Rep. Scott Tipton (R) in this R+6 seat.

HI-1: Honolulu City Councilman Ernie Martin (D) has entered the race for the open D+17 seat Rep. Colleen Hanabusa (D) is vacating to run for governor. Martin will join state Sen. Donna Mercado Kim and state Rep. Kaniela Ing in seeking the Democrat nomination.

MA-3: Banker and former Cambodian refugee Bopha Malone (D) is in and now we have 12 Democrats running to replace Rep. Niki Tsongas (D) in this D+9 seat! Luckily for the Democrats Massachusetts doesn’t have California top two style jungle primary so the clown car is unlikely to hurt them all that much.

NC-2: Distillery owner Sam Searcy is dropping out of the Democratic primary for this R+7 seat held by Rep. George Holding (R) and will run for the state Senate instead. The wealthy Searcy has been self funding his campaign. Tech executive Ken Romley and former state Rep. Linda Coleman are both still seeking the Democrat nomination.

TX-6: Tarrant County Assessor Ron Wright (R) has filed to run for the R+9 seat photogenic Rep. Joe Barton (R) is retiring from. Wright once served as Barton’s chief of staff.

TX-21: Bexar GOP chair Robert Stovall has announced he is running to replace retiring Rep. Lamar Smith (R) in this R+10 seat. State Rep. Jason Isaac (R) is so far the only other prominent candidate for the seat.

TX-29: Riceland Health Care CEO Tahir Javed (D) filed papers to run for the D+19 seat of retiring Rep. Gene Green (D). Javed joins state Sen. Sylvia Garcia, Dominique Michelle Garcia, teacher Hector Morales, and attorney Roel Garcia in seeking the Democrat nomination.

PPP-Polling: A new poll from PPP shows Gene Ric (D) leading Republican incumbents in CA-25, IA-1, CO-6, VA-10, ME-2 and NY-24. Now all Democrats need to do is find one person named “Gene Ric” who lives in each of these six districts and convince them to run for Congress.

WATN: Former Rep. Corrine Brown (D-FL) has been sentenced to five years in prison for funneling money into a sham charity she looted.

RIP: Former Rep. John Anderson has passed away at age 95. Anderson was a Rockefeller Republican from Illinois who served 20 years in the House and ran an Independent campaign for President in 1980 and won just under 7% of the vote.

State, Local & Other:

CT-AG: State Rep. William Tong (D) is exploring a bid for the open Attorney General spot and ex-State Rep. John Shaban (R) is in. Meanwhile, there’s some chatter about changing the 10-year practicing law requirement, which makes it one of the strictest offices in the nation to qualify for.

MN-AG: St. Paul City attorney Samuel Clark (D), a former Klobuchar aide, is considering a run for Attorney General. He would join Dayton admin official Mike Rothman (D), State Rep. Debra Hillstrom (D) and ex-State Rep. Ryan Winkler (D).

NM-Auditor: Gov. Susana Martinez (R) has picked Bernalillo County commissioner and unsuccessful 2017 Albuquerque Mayoral candidate Wayne Johnson (R) to fill the Auditor’s seat for the rest of the term. Tim Keller (D) resigned as Auditor last Thursday after he was elected to become the new Mayor of Albuquerque; State Rep. Bill McCamley (D) is in the race for Dems.

NM-LG: Former independent Albuquerque mayoral candidate Michelle Garcia Holmes has changed her voter registration to Republican and will seek the GOP nomination for lieutenant governor next year. Holmes’ announcement comes after former state Indian Affairs Secretary Kelly Zunie withdrew from the race, leaving the Republican Party without a potential candidate. Zunie had tax and residency problems. Rep. Steve Pearce is the only Republican currently running for governor in the shotgun-wedding primary.

ND-SoS: GOP official Will Gardner (R) is primarying longtime incumbent Alvin Jaeger (R), who has announced he will seek an eighth term.

NV-Treas: Ex-State Rep. Andrew Martin (D), who lost a race for Comptroller in the 2014 wave, is running for the open Treasurer seat; incumbent Dan Schwartz (R) is running for Governor.

OH-Treas: 2006 nominee and ex-Ashtabula County Auditor Sandy O’Brien (R) is running again for Treasure. O’Brien probably doesn’t have much chance against State Rep. Robert Sprague (R) in the primary, as she has lost multiple primaries and only won in ’06 against an incumbent closely tied to the toxic Gov. Taft. Former Cincinnati Mayoral candidate Rob Richardson (D) is the likely D nominee.

MA-State Senate President: Massachusetts Senate President Stan Rosenberg (D) is temporarily stepping down from his position after bombshell sexual misconduct allegations against his husband Bryon Hefner have come to light.

CA-AD 45: Yuck! Assemblyman Matt Dababneh (D) is allegedly one sick SOB!

Atlanta-Mayor: Ahead of today’s mayoral runoff election a new Channel 2 Action News/Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll shows City Councilwoman has Mary Norwood (I) at 51.3 percent and Councilwoman Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) at 45.1 percent.

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130 Comments

  • shamlet December 5, 2017 at 7:51 am

    Today’s Pervert of the Day is Gregory Meeks, who fired a staffer for filing a sexual harassment suit and then settled with taxpayer cash. http://dailycaller.com/2017/12/04/house-settled-lawsuit-after-meeks-fired-staffer-who-reported-sexual-assault-related-to-donor/


    R, MD-7. Put not your trust in princes. Process is more important than outcome.

    • Izengabe December 5, 2017 at 8:56 am

      RE: KY-6 That is the best recruit the Democrats could hope for there.


      Follow me on Twitter: @Izengabe_

      • rdelbov December 5, 2017 at 11:25 am

        Of course the female Vet that the DCCC has touted will likely just fade away or what? Either way Gray will get the nod and if it this was just a Fayette county seat he might win. I see the margin declining but still a nice win for Barr.

        • Tekzilla December 5, 2017 at 12:41 pm

          She’s raised a lot of money and IMO was a pretty good get. Hopefully she can run down ballot for something else in 19 maybe? Or heck maybe she beats Gray, who knows.


          36/M/NY-01 (D)

      • Indy1975a December 5, 2017 at 6:28 pm

        A female vet will play far better than a gay man outside Fayette County.


        Independent, R until November 2016. Proud "Globalist Cuck"!

  • krazen1211 December 5, 2017 at 8:40 am

    Polls.

    https://www.prri.org/research/american-values-survey-2017/

    • Manhatlibertarian December 5, 2017 at 10:50 am

      One item of note, a majority in the poll think the GOP tax cut plan will do little or nothing for them. The tax cut bill has been categorized by the Dems and MSM as a tax cut for the rich and big corporations that middle income America will pay for. I don’t think that is accurate but it is clear the GOP congressional leaders have to do s better job explaining how the average taxpayer should see his/her taxes go down under the plan.

      • Indy1975a December 5, 2017 at 6:31 pm

        Hate to say it, but bills like this are going to be short-term political losers. The dislike of Washington is so strong that many people assume that federal legislation passed will hurt them even if the evidence shows otherwise. Voters will only believe otherwise when they see the positive results (such as wage increases), and that may take a few years before the corporate tax cuts help average Americans directly.


        Independent, R until November 2016. Proud "Globalist Cuck"!

        • VastBlightKingConspiracy December 5, 2017 at 6:33 pm

          I mean, wouldn’t they see the “evidence” once they file taxes in April?


          I am not a member of any organized political party. I am a Republican.

          • Red Oaks December 5, 2017 at 6:56 pm

            99.9% of the proposed tax changes only go into effect in the 2018 tax year (or later) so they would see the changes in April 2019, after the next general election.


            MI-03: Tired of Presidency; Focused more on downballot races; Chris Afendoulis for State Senate

            • Jon December 5, 2017 at 7:51 pm

              People paying attention to their paystubs will notice in January; (slightly later if it gets passed so late that IRS is unable to change the withholding tables before Jan 1.)
              If the 2018 tax year is the first including the doubling of standard deduction and elimination of some itemization items, it’s a good thing as it gives more time to make changes in behavior on the one hand and states that are tied to the standard deduction for their state taxes time to decide if they should decouple from it.


              45, M, MO-02

          • Indy1975a December 5, 2017 at 10:14 pm

            A large number of people pay zero or almost zero tax. Many more in the middle class aren’t going to compare to last year, they’ll just grumble that they are still paying too much taxes while the “rich are getting all the benefits”.

            The real benefits of this tax cut are the corporate tax cuts and the cuts at the higher incomes (AMT primarily). I wish the bill really cut income taxes for the highest brackets significantly. The middle class tax cuts are adding peanuts to the economy, while cutting taxes for the wealthy is the best way to stimulate it and keep it growing. Frankly the poor and the lower middle class pay too little tax. Yes this is politically unpopular, I get it. But almost *any* tax cut bill will be demagogued by the Ds as just helping the rich, so we might as well help the country with sound economic principles instead.


            Independent, R until November 2016. Proud "Globalist Cuck"!

  • cer December 5, 2017 at 9:52 am

    Looks like the Dems have moved further to the left, then Republicans have moved further to the right, according to Pew.

    http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2017/10/23/in-polarized-era-fewer-americans-hold-a-mix-of-conservative-and-liberal-views/


    Conservative first, Republican second!

    • cer December 5, 2017 at 10:36 am

      Here is an interesting take on this PEW survey. “Keep your eye on the Republican line here. Despite what you’ve been told, Republicans haven’t really moved right. Democrats have gone far left.”

      https://twitter.com/LoganDobson/status/938035326483881984


      Conservative first, Republican second!

      • andyroo312 December 5, 2017 at 10:55 am

        …says the NRSC. That said, I would argue the GOP has veered more toward certifiably insane than right-wing – after all, Trump’s hardly a true conservative.


        MA-7

        • HS December 5, 2017 at 11:09 am

          Of course you would.

          In reality, the Republicans are fighting a delaying action all the time. For example, when Obama care was passed, this moved us heavily to the left. Removing this monstrosity only gets us back to where we were. And the Dems are always pushing further left.

          If you look at Reagan, and then compare him to Trump and Bush II, you see how much more left wing the recent Republican Presidents are, on social issues especially, but also economic and foreign policy issues as well.

          • Ryan_in_SEPA December 5, 2017 at 11:31 am

            Obamacare did not move the dial dramatically in terms of government expenditures in health care. We are talking a few percentage points in terms of total healthcare spending. America had a government dominated healthcare system in 2017 just like it had one in 2007. In addition, both parties have more or less adopted the Reagan era consensus and have not deviated from it. Arguably the Democrats are further to the right on taxes than even the Republicans were 30 years ago. Most Democrats are not calling for across the board tax increases and more or less defend certain tax breaks for the rich.

            Cultural issues are where we are seeing a drift, but I attribute that to conservatives picking the wrong battles and losing. Gay marriage was a dumb battle. Birth control remains a dumb battle. Immigration is not a dumb battle, but most conservatives have avoided it.


            31, PA-6, fiscally conservative communitarian, Giant Meteor 2020 - Just End It Already!

            • HS December 5, 2017 at 11:42 am

              I don’t remember saying Obama care dramatically moved us to the left. Clearly, I think it is more significant than you do, but even you acknowledge it moves us to the left, which was my actual point. I also don’t see much evidence Democrats have adopted a Reagan consensus on anything. Let alone taxes, which they are still trying to increase. Now, the Dems may have learned to hide their arguments better, when it comes to taxes, but that is not moving to the right. And yes, on social issues everyone has moved to the left, which is what I said.

              • Ryan_in_SEPA December 5, 2017 at 12:01 pm

                Besides the BernieBots, the Democrats are not advocating a return of the 50% top marginal rate nor are they advocating raising marginal rates on anyone below a million dollars. That is why our debates have become more or less low level wars over social issues instead of anything else.


                31, PA-6, fiscally conservative communitarian, Giant Meteor 2020 - Just End It Already!

                • Indy1975a December 5, 2017 at 6:49 pm

                  If the hard left finds a competent leader and can find a way to win over some black voters, they will take over the Ds in short order. It’s ripe for the taking to move the Ds from Obama liberals to Sanders-lite economic leftists.


                  Independent, R until November 2016. Proud "Globalist Cuck"!

                  • VastBlightKingConspiracy December 5, 2017 at 6:57 pm

                    The Bernie people already did win over some black voters. They just tend to be in places like Detroit and Milwaukee. What they need to do is win over Southerners. Both Southern whites and Southern blacks. Bernie did terrible among both groups.

                    http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/why-did-michigan-blacks-vote-differently-from-southern-blacks/article/2585471


                    I am not a member of any organized political party. I am a Republican.

                    • Indy1975a December 5, 2017 at 10:30 pm

                      We’ve had this discussion before, but faith plays a big role in this. If you disregard people of faith or push hardcore secularism as many Ds want to, blacks won’t go for it. Bernie had no clue how to appeal to people of faith. But even those who did, like Tom Perriello in Virginia, failed to make a real dent in the black vote.

                      Also Bernie was just winging it, he didn’t really expect to win the nomination. The next hard left candidate will be far better prepared, but the D establishment opposition to them will be far more ruthless (they treated Bernie with kid gloves as they knew he wasn’t winning.)


                      Independent, R until November 2016. Proud "Globalist Cuck"!

                  • rdw72777 December 5, 2017 at 6:57 pm

                    People give everyone remotely connected to Sanders or his ideas way too much credit. They are the perfect embodiment of the old Mayor Quimby exchange:

                    Mayor Quimby: Are these morons (citizens/electorate) getting louder or dumber:
                    Campaign manager: Dumber sir, they want the Bear Patrol but don’t want to pay for it.

                    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dccWrg2VtYk

                    The mythology behind Sanders (and his ideas) is summed up by they are just far more outspoken than the actual Dem electorate. Thanks God. At the end of the day their ideas can’t garner more than 30% of AA, 35% of Hispanics or 35% of people over the age of 40. In order for the takeover to happen there’s have to be one hell an increase in these sub-groups and I just don’t see who that could possibly be.

                    • VastBlightKingConspiracy December 5, 2017 at 7:03 pm

                      Or you know, they could just wait twenty years if their problem is 80 year old black grandmothers in rural Mississippi.

                      The old adage that “omg, the youngsters will get more conservative once they get steady paychecks and children” was always sort of questionable, especially considering that the youngsters may never get steady paychecks and children.


                      I am not a member of any organized political party. I am a Republican.

                    • Indy1975a December 5, 2017 at 10:32 pm

                      Sanders won under-45s by 2 to 1. But the biggest evidence of Sanders’ ideas getting traction is that the D establishment has started to adopt them. Crap like $15 minimum wage, universal health care, free college tuition, cracking down on corporations including breaking up monopolies is gaining traction among establishment Ds throughout the country.


                      Independent, R until November 2016. Proud "Globalist Cuck"!

              • rdw72777 December 5, 2017 at 12:01 pm

                Dems would take Reagan era tax rates in a heart beat. You’d consider that moving left on taxes when actually it’s moving towards Reagan.

                Also, did you really say “I don’t remember saying Obama care dramatically moved us to the left” in a post after literally writing “For example, when Obama care was passed, this moved us heavily to the left”? LOL

                • HS December 5, 2017 at 12:15 pm

                  You got me. 😉 For the record, I do think Obama care moved us strongly to the left. My point in response was more in responce to Ryan who had conceded the point about moving to the left and was just quibbling about Obama cares impact. I didn’t want to get lost in a debate about that one program.

    • VastBlightKingConspiracy December 5, 2017 at 2:05 pm

      The craziest shift seems to be on race and immigration. Race in particular is remarkable. Democrats soared in seven years from 28% to 64% in believing that “racial discrimination is the main reason why blacks can’t get ahead.” I remember a YouGov poll where even a majority of BLACK voters didn’t believe that. And almost no Latino voters!

      White Democrats may arguably be to the left of non-white Democrats on racial issues now.


      I am not a member of any organized political party. I am a Republican.

      • Greyhound December 5, 2017 at 2:29 pm

        No need for the “May Arguably”. They’ve been to the left of non-white Democrats on racial issues for years now, but that’s mostly because they’ve been to the left of non-white Democrats on basically all issues since 2008 at least.


        R, 27, CA-18. Anti-Anti-Trump

        • Son_of_the_South December 5, 2017 at 2:54 pm

          You know, this may be what’s driving the rural/small city v.s big city polarization. The ‘white community’ has had a lot of variation within it, but generally was culturally coherent. Maybe we’re seeing the splitting of the ‘white identity’ in two, with the larger group opting to stay with the old culture, while a smaller segment, mostly in big cities, is creating a new one to gain more power.

          That would explain the racial stuff. Due to relative wealth and a higher propensity for primary voting, whites have a lot of power, even in cities where they’re the minority. Perhaps a lot of the racial rhetoric is just an attempt to solidify primary wins and make alliances for later runs for office. After all, white Dems could lose citywide primaries or nonpartisan GEs, despite their advantages, if minority Dems united behind a single candidate. So maybe the bashing of their own racial group (and, more importantly, attempts to show that you care about other racial groups) is just a tactic designed to hold onto power in a political situation where there is no cultural majority.


          24, R, TN-09
          Classical liberals are a minority. Fusionism is the answer.

          • VastBlightKingConspiracy December 5, 2017 at 3:03 pm

            Well, it’s not just a higher propensity for primary voting. In many cities, especially in the Southwest, it’s a higher ability to vote. A disproportionate amount of immigrants (Latino and Asian) are not registered to vote (many are not citizens – either illegals or just legal permanent residents).

            Of course, in a lot of gateway cities, the dominance of upscale white guilt whites might be permanent. I wonder if heavily Democratic, but politically center-left immigrants might end up polarizing as they assimilate into US culture. IE, some second-gen immigrants assimilate into a more conservative culture and move away to Texas or something. And other second-gen immigrants assimilate into the elite white liberal culture and stay in the cities.

            A country where Los Angeles looks more like Portland and less like well, Los Angeles, might be a much more polarized country.


            I am not a member of any organized political party. I am a Republican.

  • cer December 5, 2017 at 10:27 am

    According to Fox News, Rep. Conyers is retiring today. He continues to deny the allegations. He also went on to endorse his son to replace him.


    Conservative first, Republican second!

    • cer December 5, 2017 at 10:51 am

      Now I’m getting conflicting reports, is he retiring as of today or is he just not running for re-election!?


      Conservative first, Republican second!

      • GoBigRedState December 5, 2017 at 11:58 am

        It sounds like he is resigning immediately.


        45, NE-1, #NeverTrump in 2016, support Trump now as situation warrants

        • Ryan_in_SEPA December 5, 2017 at 12:01 pm

          The question is whether he knows he has resigned or retired.


          31, PA-6, fiscally conservative communitarian, Giant Meteor 2020 - Just End It Already!

          • TennesseeMike December 5, 2017 at 3:10 pm

            LOL. He needs his Chief Of Staff to tell him.


            TN-2 District. A Social and Fiscal Conservative Republican

      • Son_of_the_South December 5, 2017 at 1:43 pm

        Lol


        24, R, TN-09
        Classical liberals are a minority. Fusionism is the answer.

    • Tekzilla December 5, 2017 at 12:44 pm

      Hoping Hansen Clarke runs here and the son and nephew Conyers split the Conyers vote to allow someone else to win.


      36/M/NY-01 (D)

      • Son_of_the_South December 5, 2017 at 2:04 pm

        I’d be very torn on that one. Clarke is a truly good and decent man, head and shoulders above most of the politicians that Detroit elects. If Michigan were solidly red or blue, I’d be rooting for him until the cows came home. However, I’m not sure I want to improve the Dem bench in a swing state. Still, yeah, y’all should be hoping he gets back into office.


        24, R, TN-09
        Classical liberals are a minority. Fusionism is the answer.

        • Red Oaks December 5, 2017 at 6:19 pm

          I don’t see how electing Hansen Clarke to Congress again would improve the Democrats bench. He was never really viewed as a viable statewide candidate early this decade and the local Democratic establishment can’t stand him. He’ll be 61 in a few months, which is ancient for first time statewide nominees in MI. US House is his ceiling. If you don’t want Democrats to build a future statewide bench here, the people to root against are white suburbanites like State Senator David Knezek or Westland Mayor William Wild.


          MI-03: Tired of Presidency; Focused more on downballot races; Chris Afendoulis for State Senate

          • Izengabe December 5, 2017 at 11:17 pm

            Hansen Clarke worked as Conyers chief of staff. He had to have known about Conyers sexual harassment.


            Follow me on Twitter: @Izengabe_

    • prsteve11 December 5, 2017 at 10:48 am

      That’s actually not that bad, all considered. He’ll likely do much better against a named Democrat.


      SC-03, Conservative Republican

    • andyroo312 December 5, 2017 at 10:57 am

      All depends on who the Dems nominate. If it’s Ben Jealous, this’ll be a Likely R affair. With someone like Kevin Kamenetz, though, could be a legit toss-up. Hogan’s far more vulnerable than Charlie Baker.


      MA-7

      • rdw72777 December 5, 2017 at 12:07 pm

        What’s the breakdown between Jealous and Kamenentz.

      • shamlet December 5, 2017 at 12:48 pm

        I actually think the toughest opponent is probably Jim Shea. Wealthy outsider without much obvious baggage. Jealous is obviously the easiest to beat (but god help us if he actually wins) and Maladeno is similarly out of the mainstream. And Hogan has been transparently building nice files on both Baker and Kamenetz for mismanaging their respective counties’ school systems, which is a good way to go negative in a non-partisan manner. Thankfully with the exception of John Delaney, Maryland Democrats tend to have a very hard time nominating outsiders for anything.


        R, MD-7. Put not your trust in princes. Process is more important than outcome.

  • Jon Henrik Gilhuus December 5, 2017 at 11:14 am

    The filing deadline came and went in Illinois last night. Complete R & D listings, as per the Illinois SoS pages here: http://rrhelections.com/index.php/rrh-elections-resources-page/illinois-resources/


    The mystery of government is not how Washington works but how to make it stop.
    - P.J. O'Rourke

  • RogueBeaver December 5, 2017 at 11:16 am

    MI-SEN: Rubio endorses James. https://twitter.com/JohnJamesMI/status/938077182487924736


    QC/Blue Tory/M

  • Manhatlibertarian December 5, 2017 at 11:59 am

    There is now movement in Va toward recounts in 4 House of Delegates races where they have been requested. A recount hearing is scheduled for today in the 68th District where the Repub trails by 336 votes. On Wednesday, recount hearings will be scheduled in the 40th District, where the Repub leads by 106 votes and the 94th district, where the Repub leads by 10 votes. A recount hearing has not been scheduled yet in the 28th District, where the Repub leads by 82 votes. These preliminary hearings determine if a recount request is justified under Va law and the actual recount will take place later if it is justified, presided over by a 3 judge panel, that will make rulings on disputed ballots. Although Dems have requested a recount in the 28th District, they still have not ruled out court action pertaining to 147 ballots that they claim were improperly cast. The goal is, depending on the court schedule of the judges, to get this all wrapped up by Xmas. Since these recounts may determine who controls the Va House of Delegates, it certainly would be nice to know by then.

    https://wtop.com/virginia/2017/12/preliminary-hearings-set-for-3-virginia-house-recounts-4th-pending/

  • MosheM December 5, 2017 at 12:26 pm

    New Gravis poll in Alabama… Jones +4. Taken Dec 1-3. Prior poll was Jones +5.


    29, M, R, NY-10

    • prsteve11 December 5, 2017 at 1:36 pm

      Interesting. It all depends on turnout, though, as this poll shows President Trump’s approval rating quite a bit lower than other polls.


      SC-03, Conservative Republican

      • cer December 5, 2017 at 1:47 pm

        Gravis polls I believe tends to be one of the worse ones going.


        Conservative first, Republican second!

      • Manhatlibertarian December 5, 2017 at 5:24 pm

        Actually when the Gravis poll allocates undecided leaners, Jones lead is + 3.2 points, with only 4.2% left as truly undecided. Among voters who are very likely to turnout, Moore actually leads by 1.3 points, so putting a lot of effort into turning out supporters is a key factor for Jones. This poll uses IVR but also has an online panel of cell phone users. With the Gravis poll included, Moore’s RCP average lead is now 1.5 points. So this is a close race. It will be interesting to see how much $ the National GOP gives Moore now and if he can use it effectively to attack Jones with only a week left. Jones has a ton of $.

  • andyroo312 December 5, 2017 at 1:40 pm

    VT-Sen: Actor Randy Quaid may be mulling run vs. Sanders http://deadline.com/2017/12/randy-quaid-bernie-sanders-vermont-senator-race-reality-show-1202218630/


    MA-7

    • OGGoldy December 5, 2017 at 2:25 pm

      This is literally the only thing I can think of when talking about Randy Quaid.
      https://youtu.be/Bn2hJYpFnhA

      • Izengabe December 5, 2017 at 11:21 pm

        Holy sh**! He’s got my vote! That would be the best TV ad ever!


        Follow me on Twitter: @Izengabe_

  • shamlet December 5, 2017 at 2:30 pm

    So Conyers actually did resign. I have bumped last week’s FP thread. https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000160-2823-d0c8-a9eb-2ce719670002


    R, MD-7. Put not your trust in princes. Process is more important than outcome.

  • VastBlightKingConspiracy December 5, 2017 at 3:13 pm

    Mueller Deputy had praised DOJ attorney Sally Yates for resigning in opposition to Donald Trump. Just another unbiased, nonpartisan investigation.

    http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2017/12/05/mueller-deputy-praised-doj-official-after-defied-trump-travel-ban-order-am-so-proud.html


    I am not a member of any organized political party. I am a Republican.

    • cer December 5, 2017 at 3:45 pm

      This investigation in no way has been even a bit possibly compromised. 😉


      Conservative first, Republican second!

      • VastBlightKingConspiracy December 5, 2017 at 4:14 pm

        Surely GOP voters will abandon the party once the investigation concludes “well, we didn’t find any crime…but we were obstructed! we need an impeachment now!”


        I am not a member of any organized political party. I am a Republican.

        • freego December 5, 2017 at 4:27 pm

          This. I think a lot of liberals this past week have realized that the Collusion hunt will likely not produce any real evidence. So now, the Dems/media have turned to Obstruction of Justice as a means of getting rid of Trump.

          I’ll admit, that I think its much more likely that Mueller can create a decent obstruction case than a “Trump had quid-pro-quo with Russians” case. However I really doubt that an obstruction charge will significantly hurt Trump’s standing with GOPers and his supporters. In fact, if Mueller comes up empty on Collusion, I think that fact could outweigh any obstruction case because the entire narrative since January has been Trump-Russia, not “Trump acted like Bill Clinton in the 90s.” A clean bill of health in regard to the Trump campaign & Russia would be huge for Trump, regardless of what else happens.

          In addition, the fact that Clinton was able to be acquitted in his 1990s impeachment case (including no Dems voting to convict) likely helps Trump, no matter how much “whataboutism” the media screams. It shouldn’t be hard to find clips of prominent media figures supporting Clinton against impeachment and use them for Trump’s benefit.


          24, M, Rockefeller Republican, VA-08

    • Manhatlibertarian December 5, 2017 at 4:23 pm

      People of course have political opinions, but Weissmann lavishing praise on Yates for refusing to carry out Trump’s 1st travel ban EO, telling her how proud he was of her, does raise questions about how unbiased he can be in this investigation. If Mueller doesn’t remove him as deputy it will discredit his Trump-Russia investigation as biased, at least in the eyes of most Repubs. But I don’t know how much Mueller cares, he may just plod on with Weissmann as a deputy.

      • VastBlightKingConspiracy December 5, 2017 at 5:04 pm

        It’s actually fairly telling because it suggest he wouldn’t be one of those “doesn’t like Trump, but would fairly arbitrate the law according to our current legal norms” types (think Breyer/Kagan clearly disliking the travel ban but approving of it anyways).

        Because the Sally Yates thing was really outside of the pale for a career bureaucrat and now he’s on record cheering that. So this is pretty damning, really far worse than the other guy who just got fired.

        This is a good article by John McGinnis (center-right, but not anything like a fire-breathing Trump guy) about Yates.

        http://www.libertylawsite.org/2017/02/01/acting-attorney-general-yates-and-the-decline-of-civic-norms/

        Jack Goldsmith is a former WH attorney who despises Donald Trump and lambasts him all the time, but who still wrote an article damning Yates.

        https://www.lawfareblog.com/quick-thoughts-sally-yates-unpersuasive-statement


        I am not a member of any organized political party. I am a Republican.

      • HS December 5, 2017 at 6:01 pm

        Mueller has really destroyed himself with his investigation. If he really wanted to at least appear to be principled and unbiased, he could have easily hired some less biased individuals, rather than the Dem hacks he did (including, apparently, some Dem FBI hacks). Of course, if Mueller had been a principled man, he never would have accepted the position, since he is best buddies with Comey, an unbelievable conflict of interest that anyone outside DC easily understands.

  • andrew_1918 December 5, 2017 at 3:37 pm

    Tax reform bump?
    2018 Generic Congressional Vote (Ipsos/Reuters, 11/30-12/4): Dems- 41%, GOP- 37%
    http://polling.reuters.com/#!poll/TM1212Y17/type/smallest/filters/PD1:1/dates/20170901-20171205/collapsed/true/spotlight/1

    • rdw72777 December 5, 2017 at 5:02 pm

      Too soon, not everyone is Ned Flanders with tax filing:

      https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TdGtrvCaras

    • Greyhound December 5, 2017 at 5:24 pm

      I think its more of a “Trump hasn’t done anything dumb in the last week” bump. The less he’s in the headlines, for basically whatever reason, the better the GOP does.


      R, 27, CA-18. Anti-Anti-Trump

  • w920us December 5, 2017 at 5:09 pm

    Trump’s newest Homeland Security Secretary confirmed.

    Senate confirms Kirstjen Nielsen to head Department of Homeland Security, installing a close ally of John F. Kelly
    https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.washingtonpost.com/amphtml/news/politics/wp/2017/12/05/senate-confirms-kirstjen-nielsen-to-head-department-of-homeland-security-installing-a-close-ally-of-john-f-kelly/

    According to press gallery link…
    “4:37 p.m. The Senate confirmed Kirstjen Nielsen to be Secretary of Homeland Security by a vote of 62-37. 10 Democrats and 1 Independent voted yes (Senators Carper, Coons, Donnelly, Heitkamp, King (I), Manchin, McCaskill, Nelson, Reed, Tester, and Warner).”
    https://www.dailypress.senate.gov


    R, South Philly, 47, Gay, WFU Alum
    #TrumpVoter #NeverHillary

  • VastBlightKingConspiracy December 5, 2017 at 5:09 pm

    Jeff Flake donates to Doug Jones.

    https://twitter.com/jeffflake/status/938160754490052609


    I am not a member of any organized political party. I am a Republican.

    • prsteve11 December 5, 2017 at 5:16 pm

      Now I can understand why Jeff Flake may not like Roy Moore, but calling yourself a Republican and donating to a Democrat is, well, being a Democrat. He can trash Moore all he wants, but nobody’s making him donate to the Dem to prove the point. No wonder Jeff Flake is on his way out.


      SC-03, Conservative Republican

      • TexasR December 5, 2017 at 5:18 pm

        Yes, it must be that. It couldn’t be that he is disgusted with the idea of his colleagues swearing in a predator.


        Whatever we're talking about, it's all Frank Meyer's fault
        Be careful what you wish for

        • prsteve11 December 5, 2017 at 5:22 pm

          My point is that I could never call myself a conservative with a straight face and vote for a Democrat – under any circumstance. And I’ve been there where I can’t vote Republican. I refuse to vote for our Senator Graham for his un-conservative ways, but I just write someone in – I don’t even consider voting for the Dem. It’s Flake’s prerogative if he wants to oppose Moore and call him names or whatever, but he’s really undercutting himself to support the Dem who would vote against just about everything he claims to believe in.


          SC-03, Conservative Republican

          • Izengabe December 5, 2017 at 11:31 pm

            I could never call myself a conservative with a straight face and vote for a child molester. Jeff Flake apparently agrees with me. He sent Jones $100 as a dramatic gesture. If you believe Roy Moore molested children (and Jeff Flake clearly believes that Moore did) then doing everything possible to stop him from becoming a US Senator is the only acceptable course of action. Its the people who are supporting Moore that have lost their freaking minds not Jeff Flake. They are the ones who are changing what they believe not Jeff Flake. On the one hand I like his position on taxes but on the other he molested a 14 year old child is not a hard choice.


            Follow me on Twitter: @Izengabe_

            • prsteve11 December 6, 2017 at 12:40 am

              If you believe Roy Moore molested children (and Jeff Flake clearly believes that Moore did) then doing everything possible to stop him from becoming a US Senator is the only acceptable course of action.

              No, two wrongs don’t make a right. Oppose Moore all you want, but don’t enable a 5-star loser like Doug Jones. If you have to, encourage a write-in – there are some after all. Jeff Flake is just being dumb and this is the kind of thing that will only further alienate him from conservatives.


              SC-03, Conservative Republican

          • krazen1211 December 5, 2017 at 11:36 pm

            Jeff Flake wants white liberals to like him so they buy his book. $100 is pocket change in that interest.

        • MikeFL December 6, 2017 at 12:14 am

          Don’t forget about Moore’s other endearing qualities, such as flagrantly disobeying the rule of law, blatant prejudice, and holier-than-thou hypocrisy on religion!


          26 | FL-16/27 | FisCon

      • VastBlightKingConspiracy December 5, 2017 at 5:24 pm

        Actually, Jeff Flake just cares so much about the tenets of his religion, that he needs to actively contribute cash to someone who supports 39.5th week abortions.


        I am not a member of any organized political party. I am a Republican.

        • fzw December 5, 2017 at 5:27 pm

          That actually was an amusing comeback. Well done.


          Currently MO-5. From MO-3.

        • Manhatlibertarian December 5, 2017 at 5:35 pm

          Yeah but Flake at least didn’t stick a knife into the GOP tax cut bill, so I can’t be that angry at him these days, particularly since I am no friend of the Alabama lying holy hypocrite.

        • andyroo312 December 5, 2017 at 8:34 pm

          Child predator = more acceptable than pro-choice. Got it.


          MA-7

          • VastBlightKingConspiracy December 5, 2017 at 9:14 pm

            For a Christian-type, the moral calculus is killing vs. molestation. And one of those is in fact worse than the other.


            I am not a member of any organized political party. I am a Republican.

            • Indy1975a December 5, 2017 at 10:22 pm

              I’m a “Christian-type”, and both of them are pretty awful. Molesting a child/teen should land you in jail and certainly disqualifies you for public office. Supporting abortion until birth suggests something very bad about your character (it goes beyond just a political disagreement) and makes you unfit to be in public office.


              Independent, R until November 2016. Proud "Globalist Cuck"!

      • Indy1975a December 5, 2017 at 6:37 pm

        If Doug Jones were even somewhat pro-life, I would donate to Doug Jones too. (And a pro-life version of Doug Jones would have won.)

        Roy Moore should not be in the Senate. Unless McConnell promises to kick him out, I would not support him.


        Independent, R until November 2016. Proud "Globalist Cuck"!

        • Manhatlibertarian December 5, 2017 at 6:53 pm

          As I think we have discussed in previous posts for a variety of reasons a 2/3 vote expulsion of Moore (and Franken) in unlikely. Looks like the Moore and Franken allegations will be sent to the Ethics Committee for investigation. One thing that could be recommended though (and I recall this happening in the House with 2 Congressmen years ago) by the Ethics Committee is that they both be required to stand before the Senate while an official reprimand is read aloud with TV cameras rolling.

      • krazen1211 December 5, 2017 at 11:13 pm

        Yeah, there’s a special place in hell for the Judas Republicans that endorse Democrats like Hillary Clinton and Doug Jones. Thankfully the voters are purging these types from the party.

        • Izengabe December 5, 2017 at 11:37 pm

          There’s also a special place in hell for people who enable child molesters. My guess is that place is a hell of a lot worse than the place they send Republicans who vocally opposed electing a child molester to the US Senate.


          Follow me on Twitter: @Izengabe_

          • kewgardens December 5, 2017 at 11:57 pm

            I’m getting concerned that hell is a mighty large place — with many special places! 🙂

            • roguemapper December 6, 2017 at 12:13 am

              If memory serves the rapists go to the third ring of the seventh circle of hell, where they wander the infernal sands for eternity, consumed with blazing desire beneath an endless rain of fire. I’m not sure where Republicans that give money to Democrats go. The lake of ice maybe?


              Dem NC-11

              • MikeFL December 6, 2017 at 12:16 am

                Probably in the die-hard Trump supporters’ minds, as they would still support Trump if he stood in the middle of 5th avenue and shot someone, but show visceral hatred for anyone who dares to question/”betray” him.


                26 | FL-16/27 | FisCon

              • krazen1211 December 6, 2017 at 1:47 am

                Republicans that give money to Democrats go to MSNBC.

                • kewgardens December 6, 2017 at 7:29 pm

                  In other words, the eighth circle of hell! 🙂

          • MikeFL December 6, 2017 at 12:09 am

            But it’s okay because Moore has an R next to his name, since nothing matters anymore!


            26 | FL-16/27 | FisCon

            • krazen1211 December 6, 2017 at 1:44 am

              I think it’s just the opposite, actually. The theory goes such that a senate seat actually matters, and most folks in the GOP actually want to win. Especially since folks like Kelly Ayotte lose for no reason, really.

              Some want the Democrats to win….so in that case ‘nothing matters’ is basically correct. Obviously the Jeff Flake wing of the GOP was happy when folks like Romney got their ass kicked and Jeff Flake ended up in the minority to do….whatever great things he does.

  • prsteve11 December 5, 2017 at 5:14 pm

    New Raycom News Network/Strategy Research poll finds Moore up 50%-43% (up from 47%-45% in the last poll).

    http://www.wbrc.com/story/37000237/exclusive-roy-moores-lead-over-doug-jones-increases-in-new-poll


    SC-03, Conservative Republican

    • Tekzilla December 5, 2017 at 5:28 pm

      3200 people polled on one night is not a good thing for a poll. How many people did they call in AL to get 3200 responses in one night? 320,000 at least right? Jeebus.


      36/M/NY-01 (D)

      • rdw72777 December 5, 2017 at 6:00 pm

        It was actually between 6:30-8:30 pm…good lord.

        But at least there’s MoE reassurance: “The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus two percentage points”

      • prsteve11 December 5, 2017 at 8:21 pm

        I don’t think it should be entirely discounted as it shows a trend line.


        SC-03, Conservative Republican

    • Manhatlibertarian December 5, 2017 at 6:00 pm

      This poll indicates 3% plan to write in other candidates (there are 5 with write in campaigns). That makes more sense to me than the Emerson poll which gave the name of one write-in candidate, Busby and he got 5% of the poll respondents. I don’t think so.

  • VastBlightKingConspiracy December 5, 2017 at 5:26 pm

    Democrats force a vote on Trump impeachment. Some of the amazing and supposedly impeachable offenses they’ve charged Donald Trump with.

    “Further, on October 3, 2017, while in Puerto Rico, as was widely shown on American television, Donald John Trump incited bigotry engendering racial antipathy when he disparaged Puerto Ricans by stating, “I hate to tell you, Puerto Rico, but you’ve thrown our budget a little out of whack because we spent a lot of money on Puerto Rico, and that’s fine, we’ve saved a lot of lives.”

    “On July 26, 2017, Donald John Trump incited bigotry, engendering LGBTQ enmity, when he disparaged and disrespected transgender Americans by indicating that the costs of their medical care outweighs the sacrifice they are willing to make for our country as he made the widely published statement: “After consultation with my Generals and military experts, please be advised that the United States Government will not accept or allow Transgender individuals to serve in any capacity in the U.S. Military. Our military must be focused on decisive and overwhelming victory and cannot be burdened with the tremendous medical costs and disruption that transgender in the military would entail.””

    On September 23, 2017, Donald John Trump incited race-baiting and racism, engendering stealthy sexism and racial antipathy when he disrespected, disparaged, and demeaned mothers of professional football players by calling them dogs as he made the widely published statement: “Wouldn’t you love to see one of these NFL owners, when somebody disrespects our flag, to say, ‘Get that son of a bitch off the field right now, out, he’s fired? He’s fired!’”

    http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/house-democrat-will-force-vote-to-impeach-trump-on-wednesday/article/2642582

    https://algreen.house.gov/legislative-work/articles-impeachment-against-donald-john-trump-president-united-states-america

    My favorite part of the resolution is not really understanding that SOB is usually not a literal insult.


    I am not a member of any organized political party. I am a Republican.

  • VastBlightKingConspiracy December 5, 2017 at 5:50 pm

    Roy Moore…doesn’t have a very large campaign.

    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/amid-abuse-scandal-roy-moore-left-ghost-campaign-n826491

    A few amusing quotes though.

    “There might be a little dust here on this dog,” said Steve Rousseau, a Republican in Huntsville, referring to Moore. “But the other dog is for killing thousands of babies. So I’ll vote Republican.”

    John Mathieu, a Presbyterian pastor in Fort Payne, said he intends to vote for Moore despite his “frustration and consternation” over the candidate’s handling of the sexual misconduct accusations against him.

    “Personally, I would say in all probability, yes, to be candid,” Mathieu stated about voting for Moore. “Even with the allegations.”

    Moore also has a loyal base of support — those who insist they have no reason to question his integrity. A poll released by CBS News this weekend said that 71 percent of Alabama Republicans believed the allegations against Moore to be false.

    “I think [the accusers] are out for money and that they’ve been pushed by the other people to say things that aren’t true,” said Martha Shiver of Montgomery. When asked to identify those conspirators, Shiver was hesitant, but, referring to the incumbent senator who lost the GOP nomination to Moore, she noted, “I think, really, Luther Strange is probably behind a lot of this.”


    I am not a member of any organized political party. I am a Republican.

  • Manhatlibertarian December 5, 2017 at 6:27 pm

    Key Tax Cut Bill Conference Committee member Kevin Brady says he is looking at allowing the $10,000 deduction for property taxes to be allowed now for income,sales,or property taxes, to make the legislation a little more palatable for GOP members of Congress from high tax states like Cal, NY and NJ. Another possibility to appease members from these states is an increase in the child tax credit available to higher bracket earners.

    https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/gop-weighs-increasing-state-and-local-break-in-conference-version-of-tax-bill/article/2642654

    • Red Oaks December 5, 2017 at 6:59 pm

      The other thing to note is that Trump has said he is open to making the corporate rate 22% rather than 20% in order to get the bill passed:
      http://www.businessinsider.com/gop-tax-reform-bill-trump-corporate-rate-22-20-2017-12

      Going with a higher corporate rate would free up room to do things like what you mentioned above.


      MI-03: Tired of Presidency; Focused more on downballot races; Chris Afendoulis for State Senate

      • Manhatlibertarian December 5, 2017 at 9:52 pm

        Good point and a fair tradeoff that will help GOP congressman in high tax states like NJ,NY,Cal. Going from 35% tax rate to a 22% tax rate is still a good deal for corporations.

        I thought it was amusing to hear some Dem leaders on TV expressing concern that the GOP tax bill will add to the deficit! Liberal Dems have always been such deficit hawks! The truth of the matter is that both parties are into deficits despite lip service to the contrary. The real issue is to prevent the deficit from becoming so large it really has a negative effect on the economy.

        • w920us December 5, 2017 at 10:07 pm

          I used to be a strong advocate of balanced budget spending and reducing the deficit.

          But now I’d prefer we run negative balances and maintaining a deficit as a deterrent to more entitlement spending.


          R, South Philly, 47, Gay, WFU Alum
          #TrumpVoter #NeverHillary

    • rdw72777 December 5, 2017 at 6:59 pm

      Thus bringing about the all important decision, is (1) consumption or (2) home-ownership or (3) having children more important for the economy.

      Including income taxes would get me back to about 0 in the current (2016) versus future (2017 and beyond) tax calculation. Which I think is all we really care about 🙂

  • freego December 5, 2017 at 6:38 pm

    RI-Gov: Internal poll for Allan Fung has his leading the GOP primary comfortably and beating Governor Raimondo by 5 points (46%-41%).

    https://lintvwpri.files.wordpress.com/2017/11/memo-for-ri-governor-survey.pdf


    24, M, Rockefeller Republican, VA-08

    • Midnight901 December 5, 2017 at 6:58 pm

      Would be a great candidate for the GOP. I just hope he doesn’t look like a ladder climber. My recollection is that in his last reelection campaign for Mayor of Cranston, his opponent criticized him by saying he would jump at the chance to become Governor.

    • andyroo312 December 5, 2017 at 8:36 pm

      Strong candidate but skeptical he prevails in a Dem-friendly cycle.


      MA-7

  • RogueBeaver December 5, 2017 at 7:00 pm

    NV-4: Kihuen says he won’t resign and that Dem leaders knew about the allegations last year. Paging Harry Reid. http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/video/nevada-democrat-accused-sexual-misconduct-resign-51600771


    QC/Blue Tory/M

    • Manhatlibertarian December 5, 2017 at 10:14 pm

      So Pelosi wants Kilhuen to resign but he won’t leave. So what will she do now, kick him out of the Dem caucus? I doubt it.

  • andrew_1918 December 5, 2017 at 7:28 pm

    “This donation is a bad idea. It’s possible to be against BOTH partial birth abortion AND child molestation. Happily, most Americans are”
    https://twitter.com/BenSasse/status/938200132549578757

    • Republican Michigander December 5, 2017 at 7:42 pm

      I don’t always agree with Sasse, but I do there.

      I would have wrote in that Marine guy running. Lee Busby I think his name is.


      MI-08 - Michigan is a red state again. We need a 50 state strategy and an 83 county strategy.

  • w920us December 5, 2017 at 9:04 pm

    God Metcalfe is such a nut. Easily the one Republican in the PA State House I wish wasn’t there.

    Daryl Metcalfe: ‘I’m a heterosexual . . . keep your hands to yourself’
    http://www.post-gazette.com/news/politics-state/2017/12/05/Daryl-Metcalfe-Republican-conservative-heterosexual-Pennsylvania-House/stories/201712050160


    R, South Philly, 47, Gay, WFU Alum
    #TrumpVoter #NeverHillary

  • freego December 5, 2017 at 9:12 pm

    Apparently there was a special election for a Massachusetts state Senate seat tonight, and it looks like the GOP was able to flip it for its second recent state legislative flip after Mississippi. I hadn’t heard anything about it until now, but it’s a happy result.

    https://twitter.com/LaurenDezenski/status/938225148972470272


    24, M, Rockefeller Republican, VA-08

    • Greyhound December 5, 2017 at 9:18 pm

      And both in nominally (if marginally) D terrain. These weren’t pick ups in Trump +30 seats from legacy Democrats.


      R, 27, CA-18. Anti-Anti-Trump

      • freego December 5, 2017 at 9:23 pm

        Good news then!


        24, M, Rockefeller Republican, VA-08

    • shamlet December 5, 2017 at 9:57 pm

      Please take discussion to the dedicated thread.


      R, MD-7. Put not your trust in princes. Process is more important than outcome.

  • MosheM December 5, 2017 at 9:38 pm

    My fellow Quebecois at their best….

    https://mobile.nytimes.com/2017/12/05/world/canada/bonjour-hi-quebec.html?action=click&module=&pgtype=Homepage


    29, M, R, NY-10

    • Greyhound December 5, 2017 at 9:52 pm

      Every time I feel down about how America is handling our staggering diversity, I’m comforted by the fact that everyone else in the world is far, far worse.


      R, 27, CA-18. Anti-Anti-Trump

  • LtNOWIS December 5, 2017 at 11:22 pm

    WaPo has an article on VA-SEN. In addition to Corey Stewart and Nick Freitas, disastrously bad 2013 LG nominee E.W. Jackson is probably going to run, as are a couple some dudes.

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/virginia-politics/ew-jackson-conservative-firebrand-preparing-us-senate-bid-in-virginia/2017/12/05/ddccfdc6-d9e1-11e7-b859-fb0995360725_story.html


    28, VA-11

    • MikeFL December 6, 2017 at 12:05 am

      Borderline Safe-D


      26 | FL-16/27 | FisCon

    • Indy1975a December 6, 2017 at 12:18 am

      I think Comstock ought to get in at this point. Plausible that Stewart and Jackson split the Bannonite vote.


      Independent, R until November 2016. Proud "Globalist Cuck"!

      • Izengabe December 6, 2017 at 9:01 am

        Comstock would have to be crazy to get in. She can’t beat Kaine in 2018 (heck as suicidal as the GOP primary electorate has been she may not get past that nutjob Stewart). Comstock has a good shot at holding VA-10. She’s the only Republican who has a shot at keeping it. Her best option it to run for re-election. If she loses she can always try for VA-Sen in 2020 or Governor in 2021.


        Follow me on Twitter: @Izengabe_

        • Indy1975a December 6, 2017 at 10:41 am

          Honestly I don’t think she can hold VA-10, even in a moderately D-leaning environment. That district will flip just on left-wing energy alone.


          Independent, R until November 2016. Proud "Globalist Cuck"!

          • Izengabe December 6, 2017 at 12:42 pm

            Comstock won a very tough VA-HD that was held by a Democrat before her and won by a Democrat after her. She won 53% of the vote in 2016 while Trump was getting 42% in the district. She works really hard, is smart and is doing some really good work in Congress. She’s getting big headlines for her work on the Metro funding bill and for leading the fight to uncover the Congressional sexual harassment scandals and over half a dozen Democrats are battling it out for the Dem nomination. She’s got a good shot at re-election as long as it’s not a 2006 type tsunami.


            Follow me on Twitter: @Izengabe_

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