Check back this afternoon for our preview of tomorrow’s Alabama Senate runoff.
Hillary: Veteran pollster Stanley Greenberg fires back at the Clinton campaign horror-story book Shattered in this fairly lengthy blog post. It’s a great read if you’re a hardcore elections junkie.
AL-Sen: In a race that seems to have divided many party factions in strange ways, Housing and Urban Development Secretary Ben Carson (yes, I did a mental double-take when I wrote that, because I’d honestly forgotten) has all but endorsed former state Supreme Court Justice Roy Moore (R) in tomorrow’s Republican primary runoff for Jeff Sessions’ vacated Senate seat. Moore leads appointed Sen. Luther Strange (R) in polling, though the race has tightened somewhat of late.
AL-Sen Continued: Speaking of tomorrow’s runoff, we have two last-minute polls of that race. A Gravis poll for the website Big League Politics has Moore leading Strange 48-40, while Optimus has Moore ahead 55-45.
WI-Sen: This is one of Politico Magazine’s awesome longform pieces. It details the rise of Kevin Nicholson (R), a candidate for Senate in Wisconsin who has come out of nowhere with big-money backing and charm to spare. I’m getting vibes of (a much more impressive) Trey Hollingsworth from this guy. It’s possible he could simply buy and charm his way to enough name rec to beat his main rival in the race to take on Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D), state Sen. Leah Vukmir (R).
PA-17: Tracking is something I’m sure a lot of politicians wish would go away. The newest inductee into that club is Rep. Matt Cartwright (D), who was recently filmed by a tracker while saying that he thinks John McCain will vote against Graham-Cassidy because ‘he’s staring death in the face.’ Why would a Republican organization bother tracking a Democratic member who sits in a historically-Democratic 55% Obama seat this early in the cycle, you might ask? Well, it’s because the district also gave President Trump 54%, and Cartwright only won by eight points in 2016 despite having a weak opponent.
Blue Dogs: Hey, it turns out that the Blue Dogs are somehow inexplicably still around, and they’re even recruiting candidates. How cute. The candidates they’re endorsing in several districts are actually pretty good, but only Paul Davis in KS-03 and Jay Hulings in TX-23 have much of a chance of winning. I’m sure they’ll endorse a few more as the campaign develops, but these are probably most of their best prospects. This is a sign of life from the moderate wing of the Democratic party, but even if some of these guys win, I think it’ll probably be just a dead cat bounce for the Blue Dogs. The modern Democratic Party has little room for true moderates.
CO-Gov: After years of hemming and hawing about running for higher office, Colorado Treasurer Walker Stapleton (R) has announced his run for Governor. Stapleton joins a crowded field on both sides of the aisle, but should be a formidable candidate in both the primary and general elections.
CO-Gov Continued/CO-06: Speaking of the Centennial State’s Republican gubernatorial primary, former Rep. and erstwhile Constitution Party gubernatorial nominee Tom Tancredo (R) is likely running for the office as well, and he doesn’t like people questioning his motives for doing so. Rep. Mike Coffman (R) said in an interview that he thought Tancredo was running because he was ‘bored.’ Tancredo, as you might expect, didn’t like this very much, and made it known publicly. I actually wouldn’t be surprised if Coffman picked the fight on purpose to earn him more moderate cred ahead of 2018, when he faces a tough fight for reelection.
MI-Gov: In what may be the first instance ever of the endorsement of a glorified plumber mattering in a statewide race, Macomb County Public Works Commissioner and former Rep. Candice Miller (R) has announced her support of state AG Bill Schuette’s (R) campaign for Governor. Miller had previously been courted to run herself, but has now officially declined. The primary is crowded, but Schuette seems to be the early favorite.
MN-Gov: For a lot of candidates weighing a gubernatorial run in America’s little slice of Scandinavia, it’s put-up-or-shut-up time. Or rather, it’s that time if they want to abide by their party’s convention selections. State House Speaker Kurt Daudt (R) and AG Lori Swanson (D) are both thinking about ignoring their parties’ conventions. Another of several interesting tidbits is that former Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R) has so far refused to say whether or not he’ll run for his old job.
ME-HD-12: In a story as idiosyncratic as the state from which it is spawned, State Rep. Martin Grohman of Biddeford has left the Democratic Party to become an Independent… in a 70% Obama district. Grohman stated that he thinks that centrist Independents get more accomplished. To be fair, he and a small group of other Independents now hold sway over the chamber, but I’m sure the fact that he previously came decently close to losing a three-way race to an Independent has absolutely nothing to do with this switch…
NYC-Mayor: In a kind of that’s-great-but-it’s-still-ultimately-hopeless story, New York City mayoral candidate and Assemblywoman Nicole Malliotakis (R) has qualified for $1.6 million in matching funds. This will allow her to somewhat compete on the airwaves. Also of note is that since Mayor Bill DeBlasio (D-Bold Progressive) is also accepting city matching funds (he gets about $400,000), he must now debate Malliotakis.
France: Well, it looks like prince really was just a frog. In the elections to the (somewhat irrelevant) French Senate this weekend, Les Republicans held their majority. Public dissatisfaction with centrist darling of the Economist-reading crowd President Emmanuel Macron is growing, and so far, the right is benefitting.