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Political Roundup for December 4th, 2017

Big Picture

Professions: Here’s a cool breakdown of professions by party. It’s from FEC data, so the numbers will be fairly skewed in several ways. Still, it’s interesting to see the differences, especially between similar professions and among ones in the same industry.

Congress

AL-Sen: CBS commissioned a poll of the upcoming special Senate election in Alabama from YouGov and found Creepy Roy (R, unfortunately) ahead of former US Attorney Doug Jones (D) 49-43. Most polls recently have found Moore ahead by single digits, but turnout patterns will be crucial, as they are in any special election (and really, every election).

AR-Sen: It’s not official, but Secretary of State Rex Tillerson may be on the way out. If that happens, CIA Director Mike Pompeo would be his likely successor. Pompeo’s likely successor is rumored to be Sen. Tom Cotton (R). Finally, we get to the point of all this, which is that if those dominoes fall that way, Arkansas Lt. Gov. Tim Griffin (R) may want to return to DC, this time in the upper chamber.

FL-Sen: In a contrast to much of his tenure in office, Gov. Rick Scott (R) seems to be pretty popular at the moment, or so says this poll by Saint Leo Uiversity. Scott’s favorables are over 60%, and the poll also finds him leading incumbent Sen. Bill Nelson (D) by 10 (!) points. The undecided number in the poll is high, and we still have eleven months until the 2018 general election, but this has to be putting a smile on Scott’s face.

UT-Sen: I’m not quite sure why, but the country’s clumsiest political puppetmaster is contemplating backing Sen. Orrin Hatch (R) for another term against a nascent bid by former Presidential nominee and business wizard Mitt Romney (R). This might make sense, since Hatch has been instrumental in shepherding the tax reform package, except that he was looking to retire. I have to assume that Bannon is just trying to block Romney, but that seems somewhat risky in Romney-loving, Trump-disliking Utah. It seems risky for Hatch’s legacy as well. We’ll have to see how this one plays out over the next few months to get a clearer picture.

Trump Districts: Politico runs down the Democrats in Trump districts who are therefore vulnerable next year, and it’s a decent summation. I’ll just add that if there’s a Democratic wave, most of them should survive to be absolutely slaughtered a few cycles from now. The only district that I’m fairly sure will fall is the open MN-01.

MI-09: With the retirement of long-serving Rep. Sander Levin (D) over the weekend, speculation now turns to who will run to succeed him. Sander’s son Andy (D) is thought to be mulling a run, as is State Sen. Steve Bieda (D). On the Republican side of things, no major candidates are getting serious mentions yet. The district, based in the inner northern suburbs of Detroit, moved into theoretically competitive territory in 2016. However, Demorats are likely to hold onto it in 2018 and it may get eliminated in a few cycles due to reapportionment.

NV-04: One of Rep. Ruben Kihuen’s (D) former campaign workers has accused him of sexual harassment. The way things are going with allegations lately, this could see his northern Clark County-based district open up in 2018. Kihuen beat former Rep. Cresent Hardy (R) last year by four points. Hardy was once thought to be a probable one-term wonder wave baby, but the district actually moved two points rightward in 2018. A return to Congress for the Man from Mesquite no longer looks impossible, though the Democratic nominee should be favored.

TX-27: Rep. Blake Farenthold (R), he of the infamous footy pajamas photo, has been unmasked as the subject of a sexual harassment claim by a staffer that ended in an $84k settlement. This may boost the campaign of his primary challenger Michael Cloud (R), or it may attract more challengers.

Governor

AR-Gov: Well, Arkansas Democrats, once dominant in the Natural State, just can’t seem to catch a break. Not only have they lost both Senate seats, all four House seats, all statewide offices, and both chambers of the legislature, but now they’re even struggling to field a candidate for Governor. It had looked for a few days like they’d found one, but former State Rep. Jay Martin (D) has now taken his name out of consideration. I’m sure that someone will eventually file for the race, but it has to be embarrassing to put a name out publicly and then have that person publicly decline. Gov. Asa Hutchinson (R) will likely cruise to reelection with little opposition.

FL-Gov: The battle lines in the Sunshine State’s Democratic gubernatorial primary are finally starting to take shape. Miami Beach Mayor Phil Levine (D) seems to have decided to take the corporate Democratic approach to raising the minimum wage, calling for regional differences in how much the wage is increased. Stay tuned for more differences appearing among the candidates as they jockey for different factions of the primary electorate.

State/Local

Aurora City Council: After a recount for a hotly-contested at-large seat on the Aurora, CO (pop. 325,000) city council, it appears that the more conservative candidate has won by 45 votes. However, it’s worth noting that progressives captured several seats on the once-red-but-now-blue city’s nonpartisan city council.

Political Roundup for October 27, 2017

Senate:

AZ-Sen: Ex-Gov. Jan Brewer (R) is taking her name out of the running to replace Sen. Jeff Flake (R). However she is promoting another candidate to run that is not well-known outside the state. She is encouraging lawyer and Arizona Board of Regents member Jay Heiler (R) to run. Heiler had said earlier this month before Flake dropped out that he was thinking about challenging Flake in the primary. Reports are that Rep. Trent Franks (R) has taken himself out of the running, and Rep. David Schweikert (R) said he wasn’t sure he had the “burning passion” to run, although he didn’t fully rule it out.

FL-Sen: Another poll indicates that Sen. Bill Nelson (D) may have a real fight on his hands if Gov. Rick Scott (R) runs as expected. The Mason-Dixon poll has the two tied at 44. The poll represents an improvement for Scott from their last poll in February, where Nelson led 44-40. This is the 2nd poll this week to show an essentially tied race.

House:

ID-1: State Rep. Christy Perry (R) is considering joining the race for this open seat. Perry would join a GOP primary that currently includes former state Sen. Russ Fulcher (R), former 80s era LG David Leroy (R) and state Rep. Luke Malek (R). Perry is from Nampa in the southern, Boise-area part of the district along with Fulcher and Leroy while Malek comes from Coeur d’Alene in the north.

MT-AL: State Rep. Kathleen Williams (D) joined the race for Congress yesterday. Williams joins 4 other Democrats running to face Rep. Greg Gianforte (R). They are former state Sen. Lynda Bourque Moss (D), former Five Valleys Land Trust director Grant Kier, attorney John Heenan, and state Rep. Tom Woods (D).

Governor:

FL-Gov: Miami Beach Mayor Phil Levine (D) has scheduled an event next Wednesday where he is expected to announce he is joining the Democratic primary race for governor. Levine has led all Democrats, including announced candidates in fundraising to this point. He will join Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum (D), former Rep. Gwen Graham (D) and businessman Chris King in the primary. Others, including wealthy trial lawyer John Morgan and billionaire real estate investor Jeff Greene are considering getting in the race as well.

ID-Gov: Real estate developer Tommy Ahlquist has received the endorsement of Mitt Romney in his campaign for governor. Romney appeared in the state yesterday to lend his support to Ahlquist. Ahlquist is facing LG Brad Little (R) and Rep. Raul Labrador (R) in the Republican primary. He has received some criticism in the party for donating to some Democrats in the past, including 2014 Democratic gubernatorial nominee A.J. Balukoff. Ahlquist says that he donated to Balukoff because he thinks his family are “wonderful people”, but he donated the same amount to Gov. Butch Otter (R) and voted for Otter.

NE-Gov: Democrats finally appear to have at least one and maybe two candidates interested in the very tough task of taking on Gov. Pete Ricketts (R). One who is willing to lend their name publicly is University of Nebraska-Omaha instructor Tyler Davis. Davis was a Republican who has switched parties to challenge Ricketts. State Democratic Party chair Jane Kleeb also says a state senator, unnamed at this point, is considering running.

OK-Gov: In a surprise move, House Minority Leader Scott Inman (D) announced he was dropping out of the governor’s race on Wednesday. Although Inman was already being term-limited out of his seat at the end of his term, he furthermore announced his resignation from the Legislature effective in January. Inman was considered one of the top Democratic contenders for governor, and his exit probably helps ex-AG Drew Edmondson (D), the other major contender. Liberal ex-state Sen. Connie Johnson (D) is the other candidate still in the race.

OR-Gov: It was appearing like state Rep. Knute Buehler (R) might get the field to himself for the Republican nomination for governor, but now he has a challenger. Businessman Sam Carpenter says he will challenge Buehler for the Republican nomination.  Carpenter, who like Buehler is from the central Oregon city of Bend, is running to the right of the moderate Buehler. This is Carpenter’s 2nd bid for public office-he finished 2nd in the Republican primary for US Senate last year.

VA-Gov: If a new poll by Hampton University is accurate, LG Ralph Northam (D) could be in deep trouble. The poll puts Ed Gillespie (R) ahead by 8 points, 41-33. There are reasons to doubt the poll-there are 27% undecided, which seems pretty high for this late in the campaign and while one recent poll put Gillespie ahead by 1 point, others have Northam ahead, and one by Quinnipiac just last week had him comfortably ahead by 14 points. However it could also indicate late movement towards Gillespie and we do know that national Democrats have become nervous about the race. Either this trend will be reflected in other forthcoming polls, or somebody is going to have egg on their face in a couple of weeks.

State offices:

HI-LG: Kauai Mayor Bernard Carvalho (D) has announced he is running for Lieutenant Governor. He joins State Sens. Jill Tokuda (D) and Josh Green (D) in the Democratic primary. Current LG Shan Tsutsui (D) is not running for re-election.

IA-AG: One of the country’s longest serving row officers is running for another term. Attorney General Tom Miller (D) is running for a 10th term. Miller was first elected in 1978 and re-elected twice before making an unsuccessful run for governor in the Democratic primary in 1990. He ran for the office again in 1994 and has been re-elected every 4 years since. Miller and State Treasurer Michael Fitzgerald (D), who was first elected in 1982 are the only Democrats currently in statewide office.

International:

Australia: A temporary crisis is brewing for PM Malcolm Turnbull and his Coalition government as National Party leader and Deputy PM Barnaby Joyce has been declared ineligible by the Australian High Court to sit in Parliament because of dual citizenship he has with New Zealand. Joyce has since renounced his New Zealand citizenship and will be running in the Dec. 2 by-election to fill his seat. This poses a problem for Turnbull as it at least temporarily deprives him of the already razor-thin 1 seat majority his government had. However the government would appear to be safe from losing a no confidence vote as independent Cathy McGowan says she will continue to support the government on confidence and supply. Other key votes however could be up in the air. Joyce appears to be the favorite to be returned to his seat and received a break when former independent MP Tony Windsor, whom Joyce defeated in last year’s election said he would not contest the seat in the by-election. 4 Senators were also declared ineligible to hold their seats in the same ruling-two of which had already resigned. Those seats will be filled by a special recount of ballots cast in last year’s election

Political Roundup for October 25th, 2017

Last night, Tim McGinnis (R) won SC-LD-56 outright, no runoff necessary.

Anyway, as the GOP continues to Flake on reason, I bring you yet more disheartening news.

National/POTUS

Where did the GOP go?: The Economist warns of the rapid deterioration of the GOP’s already tenuous commitment to the tenets of fiscal conservatism. To wit, over the last half-century, Republican administrations have added more to the national debt than have those of Democrats. The problem? Republicans have, over the past four decades, become reliant on the votes of those disinterested in entitlement reform. Why? You guessed it! The GOP continually chases voters who feed on the trough of said entitlements. But, but… *dog whistle about welfare and The Inner Cities*!

Evangelicals: A striking generational divide has emerged among self-described evangelicals. Unsurprisingly, younger evangelicals did not overwhelmingly accept Cheeto Jesus as their lord and savior in 2016. Why? According to The Economist, unlike their Trumpier older counterparts, they have no loss of majority status to lament in an increasingly diverse and secular America. More interestingly, young evangelicals don’t seem as committed to the GOP as their older counterparts. But, of course, there’s nothing to see here…

Democrats: The liberal losers at the failing New York Times are pushing Medicare for all. Oh, wait, no, it actually noted that Bernie(care?) is both bad policy and electoral poison. Yet, as the Times explains, many Democrats are so afraid of the bold progressives that they’re afraid to admit their opposition. Both parties are burning.

Congress

AZ-Sen: One of the good ones, AZ US Sen. Jeff Flake (R-Mesa), has chosen to retire. Instead of becoming “complicit and silent,” Flake says, he will continue to serve as a watchdog to POTUS.

FL-Sen: A University of North Florida poll finds US Sen. Bill Nelson (D-Melbourne) leading Gov. Rick Scott (R-Naples) by a hair, 37-36%.

The States

MO-Sen: Air Claire must be racking up her frequent flyer miles. Senator Claire McCaskill (D-Kirkwood) is raising money from states other than Missouri—58% of her funds so far. It should be noted, however, that it is not unusual for a Senator seeking re-election. Yet, the GOP will take a good sign these days.

CA-Sen: Speaking of US Sen. Bernie Sanders (“I”-Burlington)’ Medicare-for-All plan, the least surprising news ever has broken; State Sen. Kevin de Leon (D-Los Angeles), currently seeking to remove ‘State’ from his title, has come out in favor of the ponzi-scheme proposal.

WATN: In slightly schocking news, a federal judge threw out two of the twenty-two corruption charges against disgraced ex-boy wonder and US Rep. Aaron Schock (R-Peoria).

The Donald’s Taxes (no, not like that): In news that must be fake, crooked Reuters reports that fewer than one-third of Americans support the President’s rumored tax plan. The poll further found that 63% believe that deficit reduction is more important than tax reform.

IL-Gov: Have you heard the bad news? IL State Rep. Jeanne Ives (R-Wheaton) believes that she should primary Gov. Bruce Rauner (R-Winnetka). Ives claims that the Harley-riding governor can’t win.

Illinois’ Broke, Dysfunctional State Government: WMAQ has an excellent primer on the looming series of showdowns between IL Gov. Bruce Rauner (R-Winnetka) and the state’s legislative Madiganicrats. Rauner has, for the first time as governor, declared the state’s budget to be out of balance. The governor’s move sets up a fight over which expenditures should be cut.

GA-LG: The Atlanta Journal-Constitution profiles ex-State Rep. Geoff Duncan (R-Cumming), who is running for Lieutenant Governor on a platform of draining the Atlanta swamp.

WA SD-45: Seattle’s KING-TV reports that the special election to fill the vacancy caused by the death of the late, truly great State Sen. Andy Hill (R-Heaven) has become the most expensive race in Washington State history. The election in the medium-blue Eastside district will determine partisan control of the chamber.

TX HD-46: Travis County prosecutors have dropped all thirteen criminal corruptions charges against State Rep. Dawnna Dukes (D-Austin).

Political Roundup for September 28, 2017

As President Trump decides who next to pick a fight with in our never ending kulturkampf, it is time for today’s roundup:

President/National

Trump-Alabama:  President Trump (Himself) is infuriated by being directed by his political yes men and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R) to back Senator Luther Strange (R-Dead to Trump) in the Republican primary to replace Senator Jeff Sessions (R).

HHS:  Secretary of Health and Human Services Tom Price (R) is in hot water over his use of private jets.  President Trump appears ready to throw him under the bus.

North Korea:  Nearly half of Americans support going to war against North Korea, which is about the same that think that President Trump and Kim Jong Un (Juche) really mean what they are saying.

Congress

Senate candidates:  The Hill looks at five Senate candidates who could change races if they enter the races.

FL-Sen:  Governor Rick Scott (R) has taken a slight lead in the US Senate race against Senator Bill Nelson (D).  Scott leads Nelson 47-45.

AL-Sen:  Here is 5 takeaways from the Republican primary and runoff for US Senate.

More AL-Sen:  Republican US Senate nominee Roy Moore (R-KJV) is causing worries in the US Senate even before he is elected.  Moore, the presumptive frontrunner, to replace interim US Senator Luther Strange is known for his various incidents involving the Ten Commandments.

Congress: Democrats are having a good run recruiting candidates for 2018, but there are several seats where the Democrats are having recruitment problems.

States

MI-AG:  Former US Attorney Pat Miles (D) is seeking the Democratic nomination for US Senate.  Miles served as US Attorney for the Western District of Michigan from 2011 to 2017.

Political Roundup for September 18, 2017

Senate:

AL-Sen: Plenty of movement over the weekend in this race, a week ahead of the primary runoff. Trump has announced he will go to Alabama to do a rally for appointed incumbent Luther Strange (R), a big get for Strange in a race where both candidates have been fighting to be tied as closely as possible to the President. Strange also picked up the endorsement of his senior colleague, Sen. Richard Shelby (R). However, Strange’s rival, ex-State Supreme Court Justice Roy Moore (R), nabbed a big get of his own in Rep. Mo Brooks (R). Brooks, who came in third in the primary, was largely expected to endorse Moore after his own bid was derailed by Strange’s sustained negative ad barrage. This now means that both major eliminated candidates from the first round, Brooks and State Sen. Trip Pittman (R), have picked Moore for the runoff; the three combined to take some 2/3 of the vote in the first round. Moore has led in all polls of this race, though by dramatically varying margins; the primary winner will face ex-US Attorney Doug Jones (D) in a December general.

CA-Sen: Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D) is non-committal on running for a fifth full term in 2018. Feinstein has previously indicated she will run again, so the new statement could be opening the door to a retirement. AG Xavier Becerra (D) and LA Mayor Eric Garcetti (D) have been mentioned as potential candidates for an open seat.

FL-Sen: Gov. Rick Scott (R) has received praise for his handling of Hurricane Irma, which could be a positive in his likely run against Sen. Bill Nelson (D). The article has a good recap of Scott’s efforts at Hurricane relief and their potential political impact.

OH-Sen: Author JD Vance (R) will not run for Senate. Vance wrote a well-received tome about his childhood in a lower-middle-class Cincinnati exurb as a reflection on Appalachian culture; he has been working the rubber-chicken circuit for several months and could have been a formidable contender if he entered. Front-running State Treasurer Josh Mandel (R) and Kasich-backed investor Mike Gibbons (R) look likely to be the only major candidates in the primary to take on Sen. Sherrod Brown (D).

Governor:

GA-Gov: Consulting company executive and former SEAL Clay Tippins (R) has filed to enter the race. It’s too early to tell how serious Tippins will be, but he could have the profile to be a credible contender in the crowded primary field. LG Casey Cagle (R), SoS Brian Kemp (R), and State Sens. Hunter Hill (R) and Michael Williams (R) are already in the race. State Reps. Stacey Abrams (D) and Stacey Evans (D) are in the race on the D side.

MA-Gov: Barnstable County Commissioner (side note: this is an office with far less power in MA than in other states, as some MA counties have no government at all and the rest have very limited functions) Ronald Beaty Jr. (R) is considering a primary challenge against Gov. Charlie Baker (R). Beaty served time in the early 90s for making death threats to prominent elected officials and has been notable in office for a plan to kill sharks – needless to say, he doesn’t seem like a very serious candidate.

MI-Gov: Trump dropped a somewhat unexpected endorsement in this race over the weekend, quickly endorsing AG Bill Schuette’s (R) bid (and spelling his name wrong in the process). The endorsement could be a major boost to Schuette as he faces a crowded primary; State Sen. Patrick Colbeck (R) and physician Jim Hines (R) are already in the race, and LG Brian Calley (who rescinded his Trump endorsement in the fall of 2016) is expected to enter as well.

NJ-Gov: Another Q poll shows this race as a total snoozer, with former Goldman Sachs exec and ambassador Phil Murphy (D) leading LG Kim Guadagno (R) by a whopping 58-33 margin.

House:

CA-24: Michael Woody (R), who served one term as a Fresno councilman in the 90s before an unsuccessful mayoral run, is running for this medium-blue Central Coast seat against Rep. Salud Carbajal (D). 2016 nominee Justin Fareed (R) is considering another run and would likely be the front-runner on the GOP side if he ran.

CO-4, CO-AG: Rep. Ken Buck (R) has said he will likely not give up his seat to run for AG if incumbent Cynthia Coffman (R) vacates the office. Coffman has still not decided whether to run for a second term or give up her seat to try for the gubernatorial office; Buck would have likely been the strong front-runner for the GOP nomination if he ran for an open seat.

IL-11: STEL-LA! Nick Stella (R), a cardiologist who narrowly lost the 2016 primary, is mounting a second bid for the seat of Rep. Bill Foster (D). This Joliet and Aurora based seat is deep-blue, but its Democrats here have been low turnout in midterms. Stella looks likely to be the primary front-runner this time.

NV-3: Nonprofit exec and 2016 NV-4 candidate Susie Lee (D) is running for this open seat. Lee, a charity executive with self-funding ability, was heavily recruited to run for this seat in 2016. Instead, she made the bad decision to try for the bluer 4th on the other side of the Las Vegas metro area instead. Lee then lost the NV-4 primary to Ruben Kihuen (D), while Democrats’ backup choice for the 3rd, now-Rep. Jacky Rosen (D), prevailed there. Lee looks likely to get a second chance though, as no prominent Democrats have entered the open seat race; thus, Lee could still secure machine backing for this race. State Sen. Scott Hammond (R), ex-State Rep. Victoria Seaman (R), and ex-Clark County GOP chair David McKeon (R) are in the race for this purple southern Las Vegas area seat on the GOP side.

NY-11: Ex-Rep. Michael Grimm (R) really is set to pull the trigger on a run to get his old Staten Island House seat back. Grimm, who was forced out by a conviction on some minor business violations, is set to primary his replacement, Rep. Dan Donovan (R), from the right. Due to his criminal record and Donovan’s strong support in the local establishment, Grimm’s campaign seems unlikely to gain much traction in the primary. However, he could still cause problems for Donovan in the general; Grimm is closely-tied to the leaders of the local Conservative party, meaning he could continue on to the general election and split the Republican vote in this medium-red seat. Democrats thus far do not have any credible candidates exploring this race, as Donovan was considered a good fit for this seat. But Grimm’s challenge may open the door for a more serious Dem to emerge.

PA-15: Northampton DA John Morganelli (D) is considering a run for this light-red open seat. Morganelli, who has lost several runs for AG but is well-known and has strong appeal in the Lehigh Valley, could easily be Democrats’ establishment choice for the race. Two other lesser-known Dems, ex-Lehigh County commissioner Bill Leiner (D) and pastor Greg Edwards (D), are in the race already. State Reps. Justin Simmons (R) and Ryan Mackenzie (R) are running on the GOP side.

TX-27: Ex-Victoria County GOP chair Mike Cloud (R) is exploring a run against Rep. Blake Farenthold (R) in the primary. Farenthold has had some minor issues but has not been seriously challenged for his Corpus Christi area seat since winning it in 2010. Cloud’s bid against Farenthold may be complicated (or, alternatively, may benefit) by a change in the district; this seat may be re-redistricted if SCOTUS affirms a decision striking it down.

UT-3: A Dan Jones poll of this November’s special election shows Provo Mayor John Curtis (R) cruising as expected in this deep-red seat, leading physician Kathie Allen (D) 50-20. Jim Bennett (I), son of ex-US Sen. Bob (R), is polling at 6%, just barely missing the cutoff for a televised debate.

State & Local:

IL-AG: In a major surprise, AG Lisa Madigan (D) will not seek a fifth term; Madigan has also intimated that she is not planning to run for any other office, including Governor or Mayor of Chicago. Madigan long transparently harbored Gubernatorial aspirations, but she declared in 2014 that she would not run so long as her father, State Dictator House Speaker Mike (D), remained as the most powerful man in state Government. It looks like Lisa has gotten tired of waiting and decided to cash out.

MN-AG: One Democrat is in and one is out of this race. State Rep. John Lesch (D) has dropped out of the race, saying that AG Lori Swanson’s (D) continued deliberations on whether or not to run for Governor make the run too much of an uncertain prospect; however, Lesch was also recently fined $20K for campaign finance violations. However, attorney and Dem operative Matt Pelikan (D) has entered the race in his stead. Pelikan, who has worked on several prominent campaigns, joins State Rep. Debra Hillstrom (D) and ex-State Rep. Ryan Winkler (D) in the race – though all have left the door open to dropping out should Swanson run again. Republicans have two candidates in ex-State Rep. Doug Wardlow (R) and attorney Harry Niska (R).

NV-SoS: Reno Councilman Oscar Delgado (D) will not run for SoS against incumbent Barbara Cegavske (R), sending Democrats back to the drawing board in this race.

Buffalo-Mayor: After losing the Democratic primary last week, city comptroller Mark Schroeder (D) is undecided about continuing on to a general election against incumbent Byron Brown (D) on the Reform Party line. Schroeder, a moderate Democrat, could be a credible threat to Brown in the general as he would be a logical home for the votes of the city’s GOP minority – which could form a winning coalition when paired with Schroeder’s roughly third of the Dem primary vote.

FL-SD-40: Gov. Rick Scott (R) has denied Democrats’ request to move the election date for this suburban Miami Senate seat due to widespread power outages in the district following Hurricane Irma. The hotly contested race for the R-held, Dem-leaning, but Cuban-machine-friendly seat, between State Rep. Jose Felix Diaz (R) and perennial candidate Annette Taddeo-Goldstein (D), is proceeding as scheduled one week from tomorrow.

Political Roundup for September 14, 2017

As President Trump (R->D->R->D) appears to have found his deal making groove, it is time for today’s roundup:

President / National

Social Media:  The recent liking of pornographic materials by a staffer of Senator Ted Cruz (R) using an official account highlights one of the pitfalls of the use of social media by staffers while they are managing their boss’s account.

Clinton-Trump:  President Trump cannot stop pointing out the obvious about Crooked Hillary Clinton (D) and her  inability to take any blame for losing to him last year.

Congress

BernieCare:  The great savior of the proletariat, Senator Bernie Sanders (Socialist), has proposed a single-payer health insurance bill that is getting a mixed reception on Capitol Hill with many Congressional Democrats noting the obvious, this bill does not even fit within their distorted view of fiscal reality.  That said approximately 1/2 of the House Democratic caucus and 1/3 of the Senate Democratic caucus support Bernie’s boondoggle.  The Democratic leadership seems less than impressed though.  How long until the Berniebots start a holy war over this?

FL-Sen:  Governor Rick Scott (R-More Popular the Longer in Office) is building more good will with his strong leadership during Hurricane Irma, which is receiving near universal praise.  Scott is expected to run for US Senate against Senator Bill Nelson (D).

MI-Sen/MI-11:  With Representative Dave Trott (R) realizing there are more productive things to do in life than be a member of the House of Representatives, Senate candidate Lena Epstein (R) might drop down to MI-11.

MI-11:  Michigan’s Gongwer News Service looks at the Democrats uphill odds in MI-11.

CA-45:  Representative Mimi Waters has a 7th Democratic challenger in Greg Ramsay whose joining a very crowded field in to face Waters head to head.  You got to wonder if Waters would be smart to field a token Republican and hope she makes it to the top 2 against the token Republican plant.

AZ-Sen:  Senator John McCain (R-Tough) will continue with his duties as he receives treatment for brain cancer.  Best of luck to the warrior McCain

NM-Sen:  Former Senator Pete Domenici (R) died Wednesday morning at the age of 85.  He served in the US Senate for 6 terms.  Our thoughts are with his family.

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