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Political Roundup for November 22, 2017

Happy Thanksgiving and safe travels. Roundups will resume next Monday; we will have open threads throughout the weekend and a policy thread tomorrow.

President:

Trump: In his latest effort to flush money down the toilet Billionaire Tom Steyer’s $20 million dollars anti Donald Trump campaign will put up large “Impeach President Donald Trump” billboards in Times Square in the key swing state of New York. Steyer would probably have a higher probability of success if he spent that $20 million on building a time machine so he could travel back in time and pay Hillary Clinton to actually campaign in Wisconsin, Michigan and rural Pennsylvania.

Governor:

ME-Gov: One day after we reported Maine businessman Shawn Moody (R) was contemplating a run for governor, Moody has made it official and thrown his hat in the ring. Moody ran for governor as an independent in 2010 and took about 5% of the vote.

MI-Gov: Heir Force cadet Andy Levin (D) had been toying with the idea of running for governor but has decided not to run. Our theory was Andy was just floating his name for Governor to raise his profile enough to make it seem less nepotistic when he eventually tries to take over his father’s House seat which he pointedly did not rule out a run for if his Dad, Rep. Sandy Levin (D), retires.

Senate:

AL-Sen: Doug Jones (D) is on the air with a new ad that quotes Ivanka Trump, Attorney General Jeff Sessions and Sen. Richard Shelby (R) condemning Roy Moore (R-Gadsden mall). Jones should have plenty of money to put ads like this on the air as he reportedly has been raising about $250,000 a day since the allegations about Moore came out.

AL-Sen: It looks like the GOP is throwing in the towel on finding a write-in candidate to run in Alabama. Although we here at RRH are still holding out hope Nick Saban decides to make a go of it! The acceptable of Roy Moore as our candidate means the GOP is throwing in the towel on the AL-Sen election and resigned to supporting an alleged child molester and as a result having a Democrat represent Alabama in the US Senate until Jan 2021. With this in mind President Donald Trump threw some support Roy Moore’s way by saying “we don’t need a liberal Democrat in that seat,” and that Moore “totally denies” the allegations of molesting teenage girls when he was in his 30s. Although it might have been more presidential if Trump simply quoted JFK and said “Sometimes party loyalty asks too much”.

House:

NJ-11: Bloomfield Mayor Mike Venezia (D) is taking a “hard look” at challenging Rep. Rodney Frelinghuysen (R) in this R+3 district. Currently Navy helicopter pilot Mikie Sherrill, Passaic County Freeholder John Bartlett and counselor Tamara Harris are angling for the Democrat nomination. Venzia, a machine Democrat, could be a step up in terms of quality for the Democrats.

OH-16: State Rep. Christina Hagan (R) has landed the endorsement of former Trump aide Sebastian Gorka in her race for the open R+8 seat Rep. Jim Renacci (R) is vacating to run for Governor. The 28 year old Hagan has been a member of the Ohio House of Representatives since she was appointed to the seat her father once held when she was 22 years old and in college. Most of the local GOP establishment is backing former NFL wide receiver Anthony Gonzalez in the GOP primary.

PA-1: Because not every scandal can be about sex, Rep. Robert Brady (D) is now confirmed to be under FBI investigation for false statements, conspiracy and campaign fraud for allegedly bribing a potential Democrat primary challenger $90,000 to drop out.

TX-23: Emily’s List is backing Gina Ortiz Jones in the Democrat primary over Castro brother BFF Jay Hulings for the right to face two term Rep. Will Hurd (R) in this R+1 seat. Hopefully this Democrat primary will be get very expensive and very nasty.

VA-6: Rockingham County Clerk of Court Chaz Haywood (R) announced he is running for this open R+13 seat of retiring Rep. Bob Goodlatte (R). Haywood joins state Rep. Ben Cline and Cynthia Dunbar in seeking the GOP nomination.

State, Local & Other:

PA-Lt Gov: Because a person would have to be crazy to give up a free mansion full of state employees to verbally abuse, Lt. Gov. Mike Stack III (D) has announced his intention to run for re-election. Stack, the scandal plagued scion of a Northeast Philadelphia political family, will face small town trust fund Mayor John Fetterman (D) in the Democrat primary.

CT-Lt-Gov: New Fairfield (pop. 14k) Mayor Susan Chapman (R) is considering a run for Lt. Governor in the shotgun-wedding primary. State Sen Joe Markey (R) is already running for the GOP nomination.

Atlanta, GA- Mayor: Council Pres. Caesar Mitchell (D) is endorsing Mary Norwood (I) over Keisha Lance-Bottoms (D). This is the first major endorsement for Norwood, who is looking like the underdog as the Democrat establishment consolidates their support around Keisha Lance-Bottoms.

NYC-Mayor: Because it is never too soon to start the Wall Street Journal looks at the early jockeying for the 2021 New York City mayoral race.

Political Roundup for November 14, 2017

Governor:

CO-Gov: Arapahoe District Attorney George Brauchler (R) is dropping out of the race for governor and will instead run for the open Attorney General spot. Brauchler was once considered one of the favorites for the Republican nomination but the GOP primary has gotten especially crowed with the entry of former Rep. Tom Tancredo, Attorney General Cynthia Coffman, Walker Stapleton and Victor Mitchell. Brauchler should have a clear shot at the Attorney General position.

RI-Gov: We want the Fung, gotta have that Fung! A TargetPoint Consulting internal poll for Allan Fung (R) shows him leading the GOP primary by more than 20 points; Fung 45%, Patricia Morgan 24%, Joseph Trillo 10% and unsure at 20% and Fung beating incumbent Gov. Gina Raimondo (D) 46% to 41%.

WI-Gov: The field of Democrats seeking their party’s gubernatorial nomination has grown even larger. Firefighter union chief Mahlon Mitchell announced he will run for Governor. Mitchel, who is African American, was the Democrat nominee for Lt Governor in the 2012 recall elections. Other Democrats that are running or actively exploring a run include Madison Mayor Paul Soglin, former state Rep. Kelda Roys, state superintendent of public instruction Tony Evers, former Democratic Party chairman Matt Flynn, Milwaukee businessman Andy Gronik, former Wisconsin Democracy Campaign executive director Mike McCabe, Sen. Kathleen Vinehout, Rep. Dana Wachs, Michelle Doolan, Bob Harlow, Dave Heaster, Brett Hulsey, Kurt Kober, Jared Landry, Andrew Lust, Jeffrey Rumbaugh and Ramona Whiteaker. Candidates have until June 1 to submit all paperwork to appear on the Aug. 14 gubernatorial primary ballot. The winner of the Democrat primary will face Gov. Scott Walker who will have his 4th statewide run for Governor in 8 years.

Senate:

AL-Sen: At a press conference yesterday Beverly Young Nelson accused Roy Moore (R) of sexually assaulting her when she was 16 years old. Nelson produced a copy of her High School yearbook which Moore signed “To a sweeter more beautiful girl I could not say ‘Merry Christmas, Love, Roy Moore, D.A.”. As the scandal widens and polls show Democrat Doug Jones leading the election calls have increase for Roy Moore to step aside. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R) became the latest to call on Moore to “step aside” and NRSC Chair Cory Gardner said Roy Moore is “unfit to serve in the United States Senate and he should not run for office. If he refuses to withdraw and wins, the Senate should vote to expel him, because he does not meet the ethical and moral requirements of the … Senate.” It is becoming clear that the only shot the GOP has at keeping this seat would be through some sort of organized write-in campaign.

MI-Sen: A new poll shows Detroit businessman John James in the lead for the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate. John James is at 24%, Rep. Fred Upton (who is currently seeking re-election to the House) is at 19% and former Chief Justice Robert Young trails with 7%. The winner of the GOP primary will face Sen. Debbie Spenditnow Stabenow (D) who is probably breathing a heavy sigh of relief that her GOP opponent won’t have a nickname with the words “Kid” and “Rock” in it.

NJ-Sen: Jurors in the trial of Sen. Bob Menendez (D) seems to be deadlocked. They sent the judge a note on Monday saying they “can’t reach a unanimous verdict on any of the charges” and the judge ordered them deliberating to try and reach a verdict.

House:

MA-3: Former ambassador to Denmark Rufus Gifford (D) announced his candidacy for the open  D+9 seat Rep. Niki Tsongas (D) is retiring from. Gifford, who is gay, has not lived in Massachusetts in 20 years but is originally from Manchester-by-the-Sea which is well outside the district. Gifford gained some notoriety in 2012 as one of Obama’s top fundraisers. He sent over 10 million emails to people on Obama’s email list asking for money and was even called the “Spam King” by BuzzFeed.

NJ-5: Our friend Miles Coleman has plugged the New Jersey gubernatorial numbers into the New Jersey congressional districts and finds that in NJ-5 was a virtual tie with Murphy edging out Guadagno by a mere 231 votes. Freshman Rep. Josh Gottheimer won this district last year despite Trump winning the district by 1.3%.

OH-16: Former NFL wide receiver Anthony Gonzalez (R) picked up the endorsement of neighboring OH-7 Rep. Bob Gibbs (R) for this open R+8 district. Gibbs will headline a fundraiser for Gonzalez at the Brookside Country Club in Canton, OH which is the home of the Pro Football Hall of Fame.

PA-10: After several on again off again nominations for Drug Czar Rep. Tom Marino will seek re-election in 2018 to this fairly safe R+16 seat.

TX-29: In case you missed it, Rep. Gene Green (D) is retiring. Scroll down for our full write up and great mentioner on possible replacements for this D+19 seat.

SALT: The repeal of the state and local tax exemption could be the kiss of death for congressional Republicans in states like California, New York and New Jersey. Seven California Reps. Darrell Issa, Dana Rohrabacher, Mimi Walters, Ed Royce, Steve Knight, David Valadao and Jeff Denham could all face major blowback if the Republican “tax cuts” end up raising taxes on their constituents.

State, Local & Other:

PA-Lt Gov: I guess when you are living in a former Chevy dealership and off of the trust fund your parents set up for you an official residence in Harrisburg with a full staff of state workers waiting on you hand and foot must sound pretty good. With that in mind Braddock Mayor and former US Senate candidate John Fetterman (D) has announced he will challenge incumbent Lt. Gov (and friend to state troopers and household staff) Mike Stack III (D).

Albuquerque, NM-Mayor: Today is election day in Albuquerque. The latest Journal Poll published before the election had state Auditor Tim Keller (D) with a 16 point lead over City Councilman Dan Lewis (R). We will have a preview and open thread at Noon ET; our liveblog will start at 9PM.

New Orleans, LA-Mayor: The latest University of New Orleans Poll has Latoya Cantrell posting a 11 point lead over Desiree Charbonnet ahead of Saturday’s runoff election.

Political Roundup for November 10, 2017

Senate:

AL-Sen: As most people have no doubt heard by now, GOP nominee Roy Moore has been accused in a Washington Post story of having a sexual encounter with a 14-year old girl back in 1979 when Moore was a 32-year old assistant DA in Etowah County. Many, including Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R) and NRSC Chairman Sen. Cory Gardner (R) have said Moore needs to drop out of the race if the allegations are true(Moore is denying the allegations). However, it is too late to replace Moore on the ballot. Although, some have pointed out that was what we were told when New Jersey Democrats wanted to replace  scandal-plagued Rep. Robert Torricelli (D) on the ballot for US Senate in 2002 with former Sen. Frank Lautenberg (D), and the state’s Democratic-dominated judiciary essentially looked the other way. But, barring some similar legal maneuver(and getting Moore to agree to drop out, which may be even tougher), Republicans may be stuck with Moore and hoping that voters believe Moore’s denials or look past something that happened nearly 40 years ago(which, this being deep-red Alabama, wouldn’t be a total surprise).

PA-Sen/PA-LG: Businessman Jeff Bartos has dropped out of the US Senate race, and will instead run for LG, working in tandem with the gubernatorial campaign of state Sen. Scott Wagner (R). Bartos’s exit from the race helps Rep. Lou Barletta (R), as he was the strongest opponent still in the race. Barletta now only faces minor opposition in the GOP primary.

House:

HI-1: State Sen. Donna Mercado Kim (D) became the 2nd person to join this race on Wednesday. She joins state Rep. Kaniela Ing (D), who announced a bid earlier this week. Party-switching state Rep. Beth Fukumoto (R->D) and AG Doug Chin (D) have indicated an interest in running as well.

NV-3: Michelle Mortensen, a consumer reporter for a Las Vegas TV station, is leaving that job to run in the Republican primary for Congress. She joins state Sen. Scott Hammond (R), former state Assemblywoman Victoria Seaman (R) and former Clark County Republican Party chairman Dave McKeon in the Republican primary. Philanthropist and 2016 NV-4 congressional candidate Susie Lee is currently the only Democrat running.

NH-1: Executive Councilor Chris Pappas (D) has joined the race for this open seat. Pappas was recruited by national Democrats for the seat, and likely starts as the frontrunner. He joins former state AFL-CIO president Mark McKenzie, former Obama Administration Pentagon official Maura Sullivan, former Strafford County District Attorney Lincoln Soldati, and Rochester City Attorney Terence O’Rourke in the Democratic primary. State Rep. Mindi Messmer (D) and Somersworth Mayor Dana Hilliard are also considering. State Sen. Andy Sanborn (R) and former law enforcement official Eddie Edwards are running on the Republican side, with former NH GOP Vice Chairman Matt Mayberry considering. Trump won this district 48-45 last year.

TX-2: State Rep. Kevin Roberts (R) is the first person to jump into the race for this now-open seat. Roberts is in his first term representing a district in northwest Harris County. TX-2 lies wholly within Harris County, snaking around the northeast, north, northwest and west parts of the county.

TX-21: State Rep. Jason Isaac (R) has announced he is running for Congress. Isaac joins retired CIA operations officer Eric Burkhart as the only candidates to announce a run so far. Isaac doesn’t actually live in the district, but part of his state House district overlaps the congressional district.

VA-6: Two Republicans wasted no time in announcing campaigns in the wake of yesterday’s retirement announcement by Rep. Robert Goodlatte (R). State Del. Ben Cline (R) and attorney and RNC member Cynthia Dunbar have both jumped in the race. Cline has represented a seat in Rockbridge County since 2002 and was re-elected easily on Tuesday. Other Republicans are expected to get in the race. Two potential Democratic candidates have already taken themselves out of the running. Former TV news anchor Chris Hurst had been recruited by national Democrats to run, but he instead ran for the House of Delegates and defeated an incumbent Republican on Tuesday. Del. Sam Rasoul (D), who took 37% against Goodlatte as the Democratic nominee in 2008, the best showing for a Democrat in the district since Goodlatte’s first election in 1992, had been considered a possible candidate, but will not run.

WV-3: WV Republican Party chairman Conrad Lucas, is running for Congress. Lucas joins a Republican primary that includes state House Majority Whip Carol Miller (R), state Del. Rupie Phillips (R), and physician Ayne Amjad. Democrats have a primary between state Sen. Richard Ojeda (D), Huntington Mayor Steve Williams, and Tri-State Transit Authority CEO Paul Davis.

Governor/state offices:

CO-Gov: Attorney General Cynthia Coffman (R) entered the already crowded GOP primary for governor yesterday. She joins 8 other Republicans currently in the race, including Arapahoe County DA George Brauchler, State Treasurer Walker Stapleton, investment banker Doug Robinson(nephew of Mitt Romney), and former Rep. Tom Tancredo (R), who just joined the race last week. Brauchler, however is now considering dropping out of the race and running for AG(more on that below).

NY-Gov: Little surprise, but after his loss in the Westchester County Executive race on Tuesday, Rob Astorino has announced he will not run for governor next year. Astorino, who was the 2014 Republican nominee, had been talking about making another run.

CO-AG: Now that the Attorney General position is open, Arapahoe County DA George Brauchler, is now considering dropping out of the governor’s race and running for AG instead, seeing his possibilities in the governor’s race fading as the race becomes more crowded. One person who will not be running for AG is Rep. Ken Buck (R), who had said earlier in the year that he might run if Coffman didn’t run for re-election. Buck announced on Wednesday that he will instead run for re-election to Congress. Other Republicans who have expressed interest in running include state Rep. Cole Wist (R) and 2014 CO-2 Republican nominee George Leing.

TX-AG: Austin-based attorney Justin Nelson (D) is running for Attorney General. He is the first person to announce a challenge to AG Ken Paxton (R). He is part of a law firm that specializes in high-stakes civil litigation and is also the founder and former president of One Nation One Vote, a nonprofit organization pushing for eliminating the Electoral College and going to a national popular vote.

Political Roundup for October 31, 2017

Happy Halloween Everyone!  We are one week away from the biggest election day in 2017.  May the odds ever be in your favorite candidate’s favor!

President / National

Republican Wing of United Russia:  Former Trump campaign chairman and international political consultant Paul Manafort, together with business associate Richard Gates, have been charged by Special Counsel and former FBI Director Robert Mueller (R-House of Bush) in a money laundering scheme involving the use of banks in Cyprus (another place frequented by friends of United Russia) to hide receipt of funds for services rendered to Ukrainians working to restore the glory days of the Russian Empire or Soviet Union.  No word if the Spetsnaz GRU plans on extracting Manafort or if the Russians would accept him in a prisoner swap.

Democratic Wing of United Russia:  Cold Warrior Mueller is also going after Democrats who had no issues getting in bed with the Ukrainian lackeys of United Russia.  Tony Podesta has resigned from his namesake lobbying firm due to the pending perp walk he will be making.  Maybe the Trump administration and Clinton clan can get together and blame Mueller’s Cold Warrior prosecutions on him being an establishment Republican.

Obamacare/Tax Reform:  Senator Orrin Hatch (R) says that an Obamacare individual mandate repeal might be include in the yet to be presented tax reform bill.  Ironically this is the only thing holding Obamacare up from completely collapsing.

ABA/Trump:  One of President Trump’s judicial nominees has run afoul of a certain left-wing legal group known as the American Bar Association.  Leonard Steven Grasz, former Deputy Chief Attorney General for Nebraska, is an experienced litigator who has fought numerous cases at the Circuit Court of Appeals and Supreme Court level during his 11 year tenure, but it appears that is not good enough for the ABA whose deemed him not qualified for the 8th Circuit Court of Appeals.  Grasz’s offense appears to supporting pro-life legislation (oh the horror).

Congress

PA-18:  It appears the insider driven primary process is causing more headaches for the Democrats than the Republicans in the race to replaced disgraced former Congressman Tim Murphy (R-Abortions for Mistresses Only).  The Westmoreland Democratic Party and its leadership is being sued by Westmoreland County Commissioner Gina Cerilli (D) because she wants them to appoint several dozen committee members who will support her nomination while the Westmoreland Democratic Party along with the other county parties in PA-18 don’t want to have a pro-life, pro-gun, pro-coal candidate to challenge the Republicans.

FL-27:  Speaking of disgusting behavior, Miami Beach City Commissioner and Democratic congressional candidate Kristen Rosen Gonzalez (D) has accused Rafael Velasquez (D), a progressive activist and city commission candidate endorsed by Gonzalez, of “Harvey Weinsteining” her two weeks ago.  Velasquez refutes the claims and has provided text messages of the two being friendly last week.  This is after the Florida Democratic Party chairman resigned last week because of an affair and this seat featuring a Republican candidate claiming to have been abducted by space aliens.

States

PA-Lt. Governor:  Braddock Mayor John Fetterman (D-Bold Progressive!) is in the final stages of planning a run against Lt. Governor Mike Stack (D – Unendorsed).  Fetterman, possibly the most covered small city mayor on RRHElections, is essentially the Bernie Sanders of the Mon Valley and would be a formidable challenger to the ethically-challenged state trooper abusing Stack in the shotgun primary.

PA-Election Fraud:  PA Attorney General Josh Shapiro (D-What office is open next?) and Philadelphia District Attorney Kelley Hodge (D?) charged four elections officials for misbehaving in the 197th House District special election.  Sounds like the standard shady behavior we would expect in the poorest part of Philadelphia when the Democratic candidate got thrown off the ballot and had to run as a write-in.  The fact that Shapiro went after the Philly machine speaks volumes to how weak the machine has become.

Political Roundup for September 1, 2017

Senate:

AZ-Sen: Rep. Trent Franks (R) has confirmed that he has no interest in running for US Senate next year. In a radio interview he said he just can’t see him running against Sen. Jeff Flake (R) and God himself would have to tell him to do it. However he did not rule out running for the Senate in the future, just that it isn’t the right time at the moment. He did confirm that he, along with State Treasurer Jeff DeWit and former state Republican chairman Robert Graham met with President Trump when he was in Phoenix last week, and said he did not commit to supporting any particular candidate against Flake.

PA-Sen/PA-LG: Real estate executive Jeff Bartos, who has been running for Senate since April, is said to be considering dropping out of the race. Rumors have been going around that he might drop out of the race if a more high-profile candidate entered, and the entry of Rep. Lou Barletta (R) to the race may fit the bill. The same rumors say that if he drops out, he may decide to run for lieutenant governor instead. This week, he defended gubernatorial candidate state Sen. Scott Wagner (R) from charges of anti-Semitism after Wagner made a comment about left-wing billionaire George Soros’ Jewish heritage, which may indicate that he is seeking to be part of a gubernatorial campaign as a running mate. Currently, there are no Republicans who have announced they plan to run for LG.

House:

FL-27: Former Doral Councilwoman Bettina Rodriguez Aguilera has joined the Republican nomination to replace retiring Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R). Rodriguez Aguilera said she voted for Trump, contrasting herself with fellow GOP candidate former Miami-Dade School Board member Raquel Regalado, who did not support him. A 3rd candidate in the primary, Miami-Dade County Commissioner Bruno Barreiro, supported Trump as well. State Sen. Jose Javier Rodriguez (D) is the most high-profile candidate on the Democratic side, in a district that Democrats should have a good chance at picking up.

NV-3: Insurance agent Jack Love announced yesterday he is running for Congress, becoming the first Democrat to announce a run. State Sen. Scott Hammond (R) and state Rep. Victoria Seaman (R) have both announced runs on the Republican side. Pro golfer Natalie Gulbis (R) is also considering running. Rep. Jacky Rosen (D) is leaving the seat after just one term to challenge Sen. Dean Heller (R).

NY-11: Former Rep. Michael Grimm (R) has acknowledged publicly for the first time that he is considering running for his former job. Grimm resigned from Congress at the end of 2014 after his conviction on federal tax fraud charges and served 7 months in prison. Current Rep. Dan Donovan (R) was elected in the ensuing special election and re-elected last year. Grimm criticized Donovan, saying he is “doing a great job as a liberal Democrat” because he opposed President Trump on key issues such as the health care bill. Grimm says he will decide “fairly soon” whether to run.

WA-5: Rep. Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R) has drawn an unusually high profile opponent for 2018. Former state Senate Majority Leader and Washington State University Spokane chancellor Lisa Brown (D) has announced she is running for Congress. Two other candidates, Democrat Matthew Sutherland and Independent Eric Agnew are running in the all-party primary, but McMorris Rodgers and Brown are likely to meet in the general election. Although Brown is a more high-profile candidate than most Democrats who run for the seat, she should still have an uphill battle in a district that went for Trump by 13 points last year and has been Republican since 1994 when then-House Speaker Tom Foley (D) was defeated by Republican George Nethercutt.

Governor:

AL-Gov: Gov. Kay Ivey (R) is expected to decide in the next few weeks whether to run for governor next year. Sources close to her say she will make an announcement sometime between Labor Day and the Sept.26 runoff for US Senate between Roy Moore and Sen. Luther Strange (R). The possibility of Ivey running already forced one potential opponent, Public Service Commission Chair Twinkle Cavanaugh to run for LG instead, but the 8 other Republicans currently in the race say Ivey’s plans will not affect their plans to run.

CO-Gov: State Treasurer Walker Stapleton (R) is said to be looking at an early October formal entry into the governor’s race. Arapahoe County DA George Brauchler, businessman Doug Robinson, and former state Rep. Victor Mitchell are already in the GOP primary race and AG Cynthia Coffman is considering joining the race as well.

CT-Gov: State Comptroller Kevin Lembo (D), unexpectedly dropped out of the governor’s race yesterday and announced he would run for re-election to his current post instead. Lembo was expected to be a top-tier candidate and his departure from the race was a surprise to other candidates. Speculation on the Democratic side has now turned to LG Nancy Wyman (D), who has not yet announced her plans. But since Wyman has not yet begun fundraising, some take that and her silence about her plans to mean she isn’t running. Democrats who are still running or considering include Middleton Mayor Dan Drew, Bridgeport Mayor Joseph Ganim and former West Hartford Mayor and state consumer protection commissioner Jonathan Harris.

IL-Gov/IL-LG: State Sen. Daniel Biss (D) has chosen for his running mate Chicago Alderman Carlos Ramirez-Rosa. The move indicates Biss is playing to the left in his campaign as Ramirez-Rosa was a Bernie Sanders delegate to the 2016 Democratic National Convention, is part of the council’s Progressive Caucus and recently joined Democratic Socialists for America.

ME-Gov: Ex-Gov. John Baldacci (D) says he may seriously consider running again if he has concerns about the field of candidates running. He says he may run if there is not enough moderation or bipartisanship among the candidates. Baldacci was the predecessor to current Gov. Paul LePage (R) serving from 2003-2011.

NY-Gov: State Assembly Minority Leader Brian Kolb (R) is considering running for governor next year. He says he has been asked to run by party officials, other elected officials and members of the business community. Kolb has considered running and been asked to run for higher office before, turning down races for Congress in 2010 and 2012 and against Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand (D) in 2010. There are several other Republicans considering runs including former state comptroller candidate Harry Wilson, Dutchess County Executive Marc Molinaro, 2010 nominee Carl Paladino, 2014 nominee and Westchester County Executive Rob Astorino and state Sen. John DeFrancisco. Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D) is expected to run for re-election and any Republican nominee will have an uphill battle.

State & Local:

FL-AG: Fort Lauderdale Mayor Jack Seiler (D) is considering running for Attorney General. He will be leaving office next March due to term limits, and hasn’t yet decided what to run for next, if anything. But running for Attorney General or the Broward County Commission are said to be two possibilities. Seiler would give Democrats a more high-profile candidate for AG, as currently little-known consumer protection attorney Ryan Torrens is the only Democrat running.

Political Roundup for August 24, 2017

Good morning as we fly through our turbulent times.  Here is today’s roundup:

President/National

Kaisch/Hickenlooper:  Colorado Governor John Hickenlooper (D) has ruled out a unity ticket against both parties with Ohio Governor John Kaisch (Himself).   Kaisch and Hickenlooper have appeared together several times recently, but it appears that Hickenlooper has some semblance of human dignity and refuses to latch himself to a fail independent candidacy with someone more self-obsessed than President Trump (R?).

Trump-Information:  Chief of Staff John Kelly has established protocols to ensure all information reaching President Trump has been vetted by Kelly before Trump reviews it.  Unless Secretary of Defense Mattis has Cyber Command working on taking down Twitter and the Oval Office’s cable connection, this is only a minor fix.  It was so much easier when Sir Robert Warpole controlled the flow of information to the Hanoverians.

Congress

RNC-Primaries:  President Trump’s threat to primary Republicans who refuse to fall in line behind his agenda could complicate things for the RNC, who really cannot take sides in primaries especially against incumbents.

AZ-Sen:  Speaking of primary challengers, President Trump met with several potential challengers to Senator Jeff Flake (R-Undocumented) including Representative Trent Franks (R).

KS-2:  Roll Call is moving KS-2 to Lean Republican with former State House Minority Leader (and Democrat/RINO coalition leader) Paul Davis announced his run last week.  Representative Lynn Jenkins (R) is retiring after this cycle and the Republican side is far from settled at this point.

AL-Sen:  Alabama Democrats are praying for a miracle that the likely nomination of Roy Moore (R) will give them a chance of winning the Senate seat.  National Democrats should pray for Moore to win so they can use him against national Republicans.

States

VA-GOV:  Republican candidate Ed Gillespie (RNC) is having a good time mocking ESPN (Do they do sports or just political correctness these days) for removing sportscaster Robert Lee from a game at UVA.

MI-GOP/VI-GOP:  The Detroit News has a good write-up on famous (or infamous depending on your world view) Michigan (or Virgin Islands?) political consultant John Yob and his news website Conservative Intel, which some are accusing of being Fake News.  Yob uses the site to frequently tout clients and trash their opponents.

KY-AG:  Governor Matt Bevin (R) is happy that State Senator Whitney Westerfield (R) will run against Attorney General Andy Beshear (D-Endangered Species in Kentucky) again in 2019.  Beshear beat Westerfield by only  2,201 despite outspending Westerfield by over $2 million.

PA-LG:  Typically Lt. Governor’s don’t have to worry about bruising reelection primary battles in Pennsylvania, but Lt. Governor Michael Stack is getting numerous challengers (potential and actual) including Braddock Mayor John Fetterman (D-Bernie of the Mon Valley) and Chester County (Consolation Prize) Commissioner Kathi Cozzone (D-Incompetent County Party).

Political Roundup for August 15, 2017

Programming Update:  Tonight at 8pm Eastern Time, we will have our live blog coverage of the Alabama US Senate and UT-3 primaries.

As Supreme Leader Kim Jong-Un has backed off his threat to tip Guam over and Trump gave his most composed address ever, it is time for today’s roundup:

President/National/International

Pardon:  President Trump (R?) is pondering a pardon of former Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio (R-Border Wall).  Arpaio was recently convicted of criminal contempt for failing to follow a state court judge’s order barring his deputies from making traffic stops specifically to enforce immigration laws.

France:  French President Emmanuel Macron (Corporate Center-Left) continues to lose support as his approval ratings are in the mid-30s.  Macron seems to be suffering due to voters realizing that behind the hype that very few voters actually want a socially liberal fiscal moderate to conservative.

Congress

AL-Sen: Leading up to today’s special election primary, President Trump (R?) is making robocalls for Senator Luther Strange (R).  Trump originally tried to stay out of the race, but has increasingly getting behind Strange.

MI-Sen:  My name is Kid Rock… I mean Robert Ritchie.  Rockstar Kid Rock (R) would most likely not be able to run under his stage name, but some variation of his legal name.  That said, if Kid Rock cannot get voters to know who Robert Ritchie is by election day, he deserves to lose.

CO-7:  Representative Earl Perlmutter (D) is reconsidering his decision to not seek reelection.  Perlmutter recently dropped out of the Democratic nomination race for Governor and announced he was not seeking reelection as well.  If Perlmutter decides to run for Congress again, he would be the strong favorite to win the primary and general.

FL-19:  Representative Francis Rooney (R) could not get enough of battling slimy characters during Congressional sessions so he spent the summer recess catching invasive pythons in the Everglades.  Rooney killed 5 during the hunt.

VA-6: Peter Volosin (D), a political novice, will challenge Representative Bob Goodlatte (R).  Volosin appears to be running on the same generic “politics isn’t working” so lets be Bold Progressives despite having 8 years of a Democratic president recently shtick that many others are doing.

States

AL-Gov:  Governor Kay Ivey (R) will likely run for a full term as Governor.  Ivey became Governor when former Governor Robert Bentley (R) was ran out town for being a crook.

PA-LG: State Senator David Argall (R) wants to take part in a shotgun wedding… I mean he wants to run for Lt. Governor of Pennsylvania.  Argall is one of three candidates considering a run for the Republican nomination. The other two are former state Representative Gordon Denlinger (R) and former Revenue Secretary Dan Meuser (R).

Political Roundup for July 7, 2017

Senate:

NV-Sen: Rep. Jacky Rosen (D) formally announced her candidacy for US Senate yesterday and has the support of former Sen. Harry Reid (D). But that is not stopping Rep. Dina Titus (D) from considering getting into the race herself. Titus and Reid have clashed behind the scenes in the past-she defeated former Henderson Mayor Jim Gibson, who was Reid’s handpicked candidate in the 2006 Democratic gubernatorial primary and won the 2012 Democratic primary in NV-1 despite Reid supporting then state Sen. Ruben Kihuen (D)-Kihuen later dropped out of that race and won in NV-4 in 2016.

TN-Sen: State Sen. Mark Green (R) is being encouraged to run for US Senate by a group of conservatives frustrated with Sen. Bob Corker (R). Green previously planned to run for governor, but dropped out after being nominated by President Trump to be Secretary of the Army. Green later withdrew his name from consideration, but did not re-enter the governor’s race. Corker has not declared his intention whether to seek re-election or retire. State Rep. Andy Holt (R) is also considering running.

House:

CO-3: State Rep. Diane Mitsch Bush (D) announced yesterday she plans to challenge Rep. Scott Tipton (R) next year. Bush, who is from Steamboat Springs in the northern edge of the expansive district, plans to resign her state House seat soon to run for the seat full-time. She is the first Democrat to announce a campaign for the seat, but Grand Junction City Councilman Chris Kennedy and former CIA officer Bob Baer have been named as other possible contenders.

IL-12: St. Clair County State’s Attorney Brendan Kelly (D) has announced he plans to run for Congress next year against Rep. Mike Bost (R). Kelly is the 4th Democrat to get in the race, but easily the most high profile candidate. The others running are local museum director Dean Pruitt, small businessman and non-profit director David Bequette, former federal employee Adam King and Pat McMahan, a city councilman in the small town of Mascoutah. Businessman Nate Colombo also says he plans to run but has not formally announced a candidacy and nonprofit director Chris Miller is raising money online for a run.

IN-9: Dan Canon, a civil rights lawyer is the 3rd Democrat to announce a run against Rep. Trey Hollingsworth (R). He joins orthodontist and small business owner(and video game collector) Tod Curtis and Indiana University instructor Tom Pappas in the Democratic primary. Despite being seen as vulnerable because he carpetbagged into the seat from Tennessee, Hollingsworth won by a fairly comfortable 14% margin in 2016 and the DCCC does not have IN-9 currently on its list of districts where they are looking to invest in challengers.

IA-3: Theresa Greenfield, a Des Moines businesswoman announced a run for Congress on Wednesday. Greenfield joins two other Des Moines-area businesswomen running for the Democratic nomination to face Rep. David Young (R). They are Cynthia Axne and Heather Ryan. Ryan ran for Congress before in Kentucky, taking 36% against then-Rep. Ed Whitfield (R) in 2008. Pete D’Alessandro, an advisor to Bernie Sanders’ 2016 Iowa presidential campaign, is also considering a run.

NV-3: State Sen. Scott Hammond (R) has become the first candidate to officially enter this open seat race. 2016 nominee Danny Tarkanian and professional golfer Natalie Gulbis are other Republicans who are considering running.

PA-7: It’s official-bold progressive state Sen. Daylin Leach (D) is in for the Democratic nomination for this seat next year. In his announcement, he sounded more like he was running against President Trump than Rep. Pat Meehan (R). He had nice things to say about Meehan while blasting Trump. Leach previously ran in PA-13 in 2014, finishing a distant 3rd in the Democratic primary. 5 other Democrats are running for the Democratic nomination.

VA-2: Retired construction company owner Garry Hubbard entered the Democratic nomination for Congress on Wednesday, becoming the 2nd Democrat in as many days to announce a bid against Rep. Scott Taylor (R). He joins Virginia Beach Democratic Party chair and retired Air Force officer Dave Belote, who entered the race on Tuesday. The 2nd District Democratic Party has not chosen yet how to choose their nominee, whether through a traditional primary or convention or a “firehouse primary”-a primary run by the party and not the state.

State & Local:

AL-AG: Lawyer and criminal court judge Chess Bedsole (R) is running for Attorney general next year. Bedsole worked on Donald Trump’s presidential campaign and was also an advisor to US Attorney General Jeff Sessions; he also ran in the 2006 primary for State Auditor Appointed AG Steve Marshall (R) is planning to run for a full term, while former deputy AG Alice Martin (R) is also in the race.

GA-SOS: State Sen. Joshua McKoon (R) has entered the race for Secretary of State. Current SOS Brian Kemp (R) is running for governor. He joins state Reps. Buzz Brockway (R) and Brad Raffensberger (R) and Alpharetta Mayor David Belle Isle in the GOP primary. Democrats running include state Rep. Dee Dawkins-Haigler (D) and Democratic activist RJ Hadley.

LA-Treas.: State Rep. Julie Stokes (R) is dropping out of the October special election for state Treasurer because of a recent breast cancer diagnosis. Stokes was the first candidate to enter the race and was expected to be a major contender. State Rep. John Schroder (R) and state Sen. Neil Riser (R) are still in the race.

PA-LG: Democrat Aryanna Berringer plans to run for LG next year. Berringer is an information technology manager for a supermarket chain and has run for political office before, taking 39% in 2012 against then-Rep. Joseph Pitts (R) in PA-16.  Current LG Mike Stack plans to run for a 2nd term.

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